Investors have shared their 2025 macroeconomic forecast for Ukraine. The growth rate of Ukraine’s economy in 2025 will decrease to 3.4% compared to the expected result of 4% in 2024. At the same time, inflation will slow from 11.5% to 7%. ICU predicts that Ukrain... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #LaborMarketUkraine #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
This year, Ukraine’s economy grew by 4%; the agricultural sector’s share of GDP is about 20%. Over the 11 months of the year, the Ukrainian economy grew by 4% [±0.5%], according to the Ministry of Economy. “The drivers of growth remain the transport and construction industries, processin... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #VitaliyKoval #YuliyaSvyridenko
Fitch has maintained Ukraine’s rating at RD – Restricted Default. Fitch Ratings has affirmed Ukraine’s long-term foreign currency rating at restricted default (RD) as Ukraine continues to restructure its external debt. “Ukraine’s foreign currency i... #DefaultUkraine #FitchRatings #UkraineBudget2025 #UkraineBudgetDeficit #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast
FitchRatings: What awaits the Ukrainian economy and when the war will end. Fitch Ratings predicts a slowdown in Ukraine’s economic growth. In 2024, GDP growth is predicted to reach 4%, facilitated by the normalization of Black Sea trade activity, high government spendi... #FitchRatings #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #WarEnding #WarinUkraine
Even under a baseline scenario, Ukraine’s public debt will exceed 100% of GDP. Ukraine’s public debt is already approaching 100% of GDP, and financing needs for recovery are currently around $600B. Even under the baseline scenario, the peak value of public debt is 103.9% of GDP,... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineBudget #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Inflation is accelerating in Ukraine, but the NBU predicts it will decrease next year. In October 2024, consumer prices increased by 1.8% compared to September; annual inflation accelerated to 9.7% (8.6% in September), according to the Ukrainian State Statistics Service. Since the begin... #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
How did Russia’s destruction of energy infrastructure affect the IMF’s forecast for Ukraine’s economy? The IMF’s latest forecast for Ukraine’s economic growth in 2024-2025 was significantly lowered, primarily due to Russia’s destruction of the Ukrainian energy infrastructure and uncertainty... #AlfredKammer #EnergyInfrastructure #imf #KristalinaGeorgieva #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The IMF encourages Ukraine to make profound tax changes but not to raise rates. IMF experts unveiled their proposals for reducing Ukraine’s national debt as part of their recommendations. The IMF’s Deputy Director of the Fiscal Affairs department, , noted that their r... #EraDablaNorris #imf #TaxesUkraine #TaxIncrease #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
In September, prices for goods and services in Ukraine rose faster than the National Bank’s forecast. Consumer inflation accelerated to 8.6% year-on-year in September against 7.5% in August. “The actual pace of price growth was higher than the forecast published in the Inflation Report for July ... #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The NBU maintains this year’s economic growth forecast of 3.7% despite the situation in the energy sector and expects positive results from tax increases. As noted by the head of the National Bank, Andriy Pyshnyi, the regulator remains largely confident in the forecast it presented in July. “The economy will grow by 3.7% this year. The assumption ... #AndriiPyshnyi #ElectricityDeficitUkraine #EnergyRestore #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Despite the war, Ukraine’s industrial production increased by 8.1%. The volume of the industrial output in Ukraine in January-June 2024 increased by 8.1% compared to the same period in 2023. In June, the indicator decreased by 0.3% compared to the corresponding month ... #IndustrialProduction #MetallurgyUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport
The share of businesses in Ukraine that expect growth in production and export is growing. According to the monthly survey of enterprises by the Institute of Economic Research, 38.2% of respondents expect an increase in production (against 35.7% in July) in the next three to four months. Ex... #BusinessExpectation #businessinukraine #BusinessProblem #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
National Bank: inflation will grow at a higher rate than predicted. Last week, the State Statistics Service announced that consumer inflation accelerated to 7.5% annually in August from 5.4% in July. In monthly terms, prices increased by 0.6%. However, the NBU noted t... #Hryvnia #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The IMF has worsened its GDP growth and inflation forecasts for Ukraine. The IMF predicts the growth of Ukraine’s real GDP at 3% in 2024 with inflation at 9%, the National Bank reported following the IMF mission. The IMF emphasized that Ukrainian fiscal policy, high ... #GDPinUkraine #imf #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Financial analysts and businesses predict what will happen to prices and the dollar exchange rate in Ukraine. Inflation in Ukraine will accelerate over the next 12 months but will not exceed 9%. Such is the forecast given by bankers, financial analysts, and heads of enterprises. In July, financial analysts pr... #dollarexchangerate #financeUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The National Bank predicts a slowdown in inflation next year. The NBU will allow exchange rate fluctuations that will make it possible to maintain control over inflation expectations and achieve the 5% inflation target, said National Bank Chairman Andriy Pyshnyi... #AndriiPyshnyi #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The S&P assesses the duration and consequences of the war for Ukraine’s economy. The international rating agency S&P Global Ratings notes high uncertainty regarding the scope, results, and consequences of the Russian war in Ukraine. “If the economy begins to recover, giv... #FitchRatings #GDPinUkraine #StandartandPoor #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #WarinUkraine
The NBU updated its forecast for key indicators in the Ukrainian economy. The NBU predicts the growth of Ukraine’s GDP in 2024 at 3.7% (April’s forecast was 3%). Economic growth in the year’s first half continued, although it has slowed down in recent mont... #foreignexchangemarket #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The Ukrainian government clarified its 2024 forecast for developing the Ukrainian economy. The Ministry of Economy updated its statistical data and revised their assumptions and forecast for Ukraine’s economic and social development in 2024. Accordingly, by the end of 2024, nominal GD... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #SalaryUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UnemploymentUkraine
The government predicts an acceleration of inflation in the coming months. As noted by the Ministry of Economy, in January through May the trend of slowing inflation continued; consumer inflation was the lowest in recent years – 2% since the beginning of the year. Annual inf... #ConsumerInflation #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The World Bank moved Ukraine to the category of countries with higher-than-average incomes. The country’s income is estimated by the World Bank at $5,070 per capita. The World Bank generally divides the world’s economies into four income groups: low, lower than average, higher th... #GDPinUkraine #GNIukraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #worldbank
The IMF published a pessimistic scenario for Ukraine’s economy the war becomes protracted. The IMF’s negative scenario assumes that the war will end by the end of 2025 (compared to the end of 2024 in the baseline scenario) and that the shock will start in the third quarter of 2024. Th... #imf #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineRecovery #WarinUkraine
The IMF has worsened expectations for Ukraine’s economy and predicts an electricity shortage until 2026. The IMF has downgraded Ukraine’s economic growth forecast for 2024 and 2025 due to the consequences from Russian shelling of energy infrastructure. The revised forecast states that Ukraine’... #ElectricityDeficitUkraine #imf #KristalinaGeorgieva #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #WarLosses
The Ukrainian economy grew by 6.5% in the first quarter, reaching almost 82% of its pre-war level. According to the results from the first quarter of 2024, Ukraine’s real GDP increased by 6.5% compared to the same period last year, according to the State Statistical Service. A year earlier, a... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineRecovery
The CES provides a forecast for key macro indicators through the end of the year. The Ukrainian economy will grow by 3-4% by the end of 2024, which is less than 2023, according to the macro forecast from the Center for Economic Strategy (CES). As experts explain, the pessimism rega... #dollarexchangerate #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The World Bank maintains Ukraine’s economic growth forecast for the current year and provides $109M in grant funding. The World Bank predicts the growth of the Ukrainian economy to be 3.2% in 2024, according to the bank’s June report, Global Economic Prospects 2024. In January, the forecast was identical. The b... #GrantsforUkraine #HOPEproject #REPowerEU #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #worldbank
A Ukrainian investment company revises its economic forecast for Ukraine. Investment group Dragon Capital has improved its inflation forecast in 2024 from 8% to 7.6%. At the same time, the previous estimate of a 4% increase in GDP in 2024 has been maintained thanks to the r... #DragonCapital #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The NBU has downgraded its growth forecast for the Ukrainian economy over losses in the energy sector. The National Bank worsened its 2024 growth forecast for Ukraine’s economy from 3.6% to 3% due to the severe consequences from Russia’s missile attacks on energy infrastructure. The central... #ebrd #energyukraine #GDPinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #WarinUkraine
Economic experts have identified dangerous economic trends in Ukraine. In the last four months, Ukraine exported goods worth $13.5B, the same as last year. Ukraine rapidly increased the physical volume of exports from 36 to 49 million tons against significantly lower wor... #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport #UkraineForeignTrade #UkraineImports #Ukrainetradedeficit
The EBRD predicts a slowdown in the Ukrainian economy’s growth. According to an EBRD forecast, Ukraine’s economy will grow by 3% in 2024 and by 6% in 2025. This pace is lower than the 5.3% rise in 2023 following a sharp drop in 2022 caused by the Russian inv... #ebrd #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineMaritimeCorridor
The NBU predicts that consumer price growth will accelerate moderately in the coming months, although in April, it was lower than the regulator predicted. “The deviation from the forecast was provided by the dynamics of little-forecasted factors of a temporary nature, first of all, a sh... #ConsumerPrices #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
How Ukraine’s military economy will grow: the government’s forecast. Despite the war, the Ukrainian economy will grow by approximately 4.6% in 2024, although Russian missile attacks may worsen this indicator, said Minister of Economy Yulia Svyrydenko at the Kyiv Invest... #DefenseIndustryUkraine #GDPinUkraine #UkraineDevelopment #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #YuliyaSvyridenko
The government noted an acceleration of GDP growth in March to 4.6%, but analysts predict a further decline. The Ministry of Economy estimated GDP growth in March to be at the level of 4.6%, while in January, the growth was at 3.5%, and in February, 3.9%. The GDP growth trend is supported by stable seaport o... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The Ukrainian government predicts the improvement of key macroeconomic indicators and economic growth, whether the war ends in 2024 or drags on longer. The Ministry of Economy notes that, despite all the difficulties caused by the war, the positive dynamics of key macroeconomic indicators are evidence of the economy’s adaptation to wartime cond... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineReconstruction #WarinUkraine
The IMF expects Ukraine’s GDP to grow by 3.2% this year. Next year, Ukraine’s GDP growth will be 6.5%, according to the World Economic Outlook report. According to the IMF forecast, consumer inflation in Ukraine will decrease from 12.9% in 2023 to 6.4... #EFFprogram #GDPinUkraine #imf #SerhiyMarchenko #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
World Bank: The Ukrainian economy has reached a turning point. The World Bank offered its assessment in its regional Economic Review, as concerns about the timing and volume of future aid payments to Ukraine are growing. The World Bank predicts that Ukraine’... #GDPinUkraine #InvestmentsinUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #worldbank
The International Monetary Fund has updated its macro forecast for Ukraine. According to the IMF, the expectation for nominal GDP in 2024 has increased to ₴7.75T from the ₴7.64T predicted in December last year’ However, 2025’s forecast remains almost unchanged at ₴8.86T. At t... #GDPinUkraine #imf #InflationinUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineBudgetDeficit #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
IMF: Due to the intensification of the war, the shock to Ukraine’s economy will begin in the second quarter. According to the IMF, in a negative scenario, the war will end by the end of 2025 and not at the end of 2024 as in the base scenario. At the same time, “the shock will begin in the second quarte... #GDPinUkraine #imf #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #WarinUkraine
Top ICU analysts forecast the recovery of the Ukrainian economy in the coming years. The ICU’s Head of the Macroeconomic Research Department, Vitaliy Vavryshchuk, said the economy will mostly recover at rates between 3% and 5% over the next two to three years. However, an economic jum... #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineRecovery #VitalyVavryshchuk
Ukrainians think that the country’s economic condition has worsened. In December, assessments of the economic situation in Ukraine worsened, and optimism about the country’s economic situation in the medium-term perspective also decreased. It is noted that Ukrain... #EconomicConditionUkraine #financeUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The government has issued a three-year forecast of Ukraine’s economic and social development: What will happen to GDP, inflation, and salaries? Next year, GDP will grow by 4.6%, in 2025, the growth rate will accelerate to 6.8%, and in 2026, it will slow to 6.6%. The growth of consumer prices (inflation), comparing December to December of the ... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #SalaryUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The IMF has revised the forecast for Ukraine’s real GDP growth in 2023 to 4.5%. Ukraine’s macroeconomic indicators have been stronger than expected despite the ongoing war. This contributed to the upward revision of the IMF’s forecast for economic growth. The IMF revi... #GavinGray #GDPinUkraine #imf #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Fitch has confirmed Ukraine’s likely default and improved Ukraine’s GDP growth forecast to 5.1% this year. International rating agency, Fitch Ratings, has confirmed Ukraine’s long-term issuer default rating (EDR) in foreign currency at the CC level. Fitch expects the war to continue through 2024. At ... #defaultinukraine #FitchRatings #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #WarinUkraine
Ukraine’s economy is recovering faster than forecast, but how will it do in the next two years? The rate of recovery of the Ukrainian economy in 2023 exceeded initial forecasts, and the locomotive of positive change was the ability of Ukrainian businesses to adapt to the challenging conditions o... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The government of Ukraine gives a price forecast for the near future. The growth of consumer prices in Ukraine will slightly accelerate in the coming months, but overall inflation will remain moderate. As noted in the Ministry of Economy’s review, price growth is ... #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Concorde Capital forecast for Ukraine’s GDP growth is 6% this year and no more than 3% in the future. The Ukrainian economy will grow by about 6% in 2023, and in the future, economic growth will not exceed 3% per year, predicts the CEO of investment company Concorde Capital, Ihor Mazepa. “We wer... #ConcordeCapital #GDPinUkraine #IhorMazepa #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Most Ukrainians count on an economic boom in post-war Ukraine. Currently, 21.2% of Ukrainians believe that rapid economic growth (5-7% of GDP per year) will begin in Ukraine within 1-2 years after the end of the war. Also, 48.5% think economic growth will start w... #SociologicalSurvey #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The World Bank has improved its economic forecast for Ukraine. The World Bank forecasts Ukraine’s GDP to grow by 3.5% in 2023 and 4% in 2024, which is 1.5 and 0.5 percentage points higher than its June estimates, according to the updated economic forecast f... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #worldbank
The EU predicts Ukraine’s GDP will grow this year. The Spring 2023 Economic Forecast states that Ukraine’s economy will stabilize this year, and GDP may grow by 0.6%. And after a year, growth may reach 4%. This growth is forecast even though dur... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine was included in the European economic forecasts for the first time in the Spring 2023 Economic Forecast. On July 16, during the meeting of the G7 financial bloc, EU Economic Commissioner Paolo Gentiloni emphasized that in 2023 Ukraine will be included in the regular review of structural features, economi... #GDPinUkraine #PaoloGentiloni #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
