Fitch has maintained Ukraine’s rating at Restricted Default but expects macroeconomic indicators to deteriorate. Fitch has affirmed Ukraine’s rating at Restricted Default for the second consecutive time in response to its foreign currency debts. The national currency rating stands at CCC+, indicating a ver... #DefaultUkraine #FitchRatings #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The European Commission has revised its economic forecast for Ukraine, lowering its GDP growth prediction for 2025 from 2.8% in November to 2%. This adjustment is attributed to ongoing war pressures that severely impact production capacity and business confidence. For 2026, the GDP growth forecast has been decreased from 5.9% to 4.7%. A decli... #EuropeanCommission #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport #UkraineImport
Dragon Capital has updated its macroeconomic forecast to reflect a potential peace agreement. Ukraine’s real GDP growth in 2025 could accelerate to 3.5-5.5% if Ukraine and Russia reach an agreement on a long-term ceasefire. If the war continues, Ukraine’s economic growth will slow ... #DragonCapital #GDPinUkraine #Hryvnia #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
April’s inflation in Ukraine exceeded 15% for the first time in two years. In April 2025, inflation in the consumer market was 0.7%. In annual terms, price growth accelerated to 15.1%, compared to 14.6% in March, as reported by the State Statistics Service. Prices for food p... #InflationinUkraine #OECD #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine will need $300B in investment for its post-war recovery. According to a KSE report, Ukraine’s GDP is projected to grow by about 3% in 2025, and after the war ends in 2026-2027, the growth rate is expected to accelerate. One critically important factor in ma... #financialaidforUkraine #InvestmentsinUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineRecovery
Ukraine’s real GDP growth in the first quarter was 1.1%. The IER reports that in March, due to better access to electricity and the gradual recovery of demand, Ukraine’s economic situation improved slightly – real GDP growth was 1.3%. In contrast, in ... #agroUkraine #energyukraine #GDPinUkraine #MiningUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The IMF has downgraded its global economic growth forecast but expects a moderate recovery for Ukraine. According to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook (WEO), global economic growth will slow in the coming years. This year, global GDP is projected to grow by only 2.8% and by 3% in 2026. For comparis... #GDPinUkraine #GlobalGDP #imf #IMFforecast #TradeWar #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #worldeconomy
The National Bank of Ukraine keeps the discount rate unchanged at 15.5%. The Board of the NBU has decided to hold the discount rate steady at 15.5% to sustain the foreign exchange market’s stability, control inflation expectations, and gradually reduce inflation to t... #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineMonetaryPolicy
Ukraine’s economy is expected to grow by 3%, while inflation is anticipated to slow significantly. ICU analysts observe that that the Ukrainian economy has shown modest growth since the third quarter of 2024, and predict a low probability of a substantial acceleration in recovery. The need to gradu... #Hryvnia #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
ICU downgrades Ukraine’s economic growth forecast to 3% for 2025, down from the previous outlook of 3.4%. A report from the ICU investment company notes that Ukraine’s real GDP increased by only 2.9% in 2024, significantly below market expectations and their earlier forecasts. Economic growth weakened con... #agroUkraine #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Why did Ukraine’s economic recovery slow down last year compared to 2023? Ukraine’s real GDP grew by 2.9% in 2024. Although the economy experienced growth for the second consecutive year amid the full-scale war, the pace of recovery decelerated compared to 2023, when ... #GDPinUkraine #GVAukraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Dragon Capital plans to invest $100M in Ukraine in 2025, citing improved macroeconomic predictability. Investment company Dragon Capital, which invested about $700M in Ukraine between 2015 and 2021, in addition to reinvestment of several hundred million dollars more, plans to invest $100M in 2025, said... #DragonCapital #investments #InvestmentsinUkraine #TomasFiala #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The Ukrainian economy will reach its pre-war level in 10 years. The Finance Committee of the Ukrainian Parliament believes that, considering current economic growth trends, Ukraine’s real GDP in 2025 will be 20% lower than in 2021, excluding temporarily occu... #ElectricityDeficitUkraine #EmployeeDeficit #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport
Ukrainian financiers anticipate inflation to slow over the next year after reaching 13.4% in February. Consequently, according to the NBU, financial analysts in February 2025 maintained their inflation forecast at 7.8% for the upcoming 12 months. The public’s inflation expectations have improved ... #financeUkraine #hryvniadevaluation #InflationinUkraine #UkraineCurrencyRate #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
To curb inflation, the NBU raised its key policy rate to 15.5%. The Board of the National Bank of Ukraine decided to increase the discount rate by one percentage point to 15.5% per annum and adjust the parameters of its interest rate policy framework. These decisi... #financeUkraine #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineMonetaryPolicy
Economists forecaste Ukraine’s GDP growth, inflation, and international aid. Analysts from the Institute of Economic Research projected that, despite the devastating impact of the full-scale Russian invasion, Ukraine’s economy is showing resilience. The forecasted GDP gr... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineBudgetDeficit #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The EBRD downgrades Ukraine’s economic growth forecast for 2025, calls for 5% growth in 2026. The EBRD has downgraded its forecast for Ukraine’s economic growth in 2025 to 3.5%. Last September, the bank forecasted growth of 4.7%. It is noted that Ukraine started 2025 with weak economic i... #ebrd #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Reconstruction will stimulate Ukraine’s GDP growth, but it will require €500B. Kateryna Rozhkova, Deputy Head of the National Bank, stated during FinYear 2025 that despite the numerous challenges Ukraine faced, the economy adapted and grew last year. “Last year’s GDP... #DenysShmyhal #KaterynaRozhkova #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineReconstruction #UkraineRecovery #WarLosses
Ukraine’s business sentiment has significantly improved this year. In Ukraine, the percentage of companies expecting their business situation to worsen has decreased to 29%, down from 56% in July 2024. Additionally, the number of those who believe the situation will ... #BusinessExpectation #UkraineBusinessActivity #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #ukrainianbusiness
By the end of March, inflation in Ukraine is expected to rise to 14%. Danylo Hetmantsev, the head of the parliamentary finance committee, noted that the NBU predicts inflation will accelerate to 14.3% in the first quarter of 2025. The politician stated that the primary ... #DanyloHetmantsev #hryvniaexchangerate #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The NBU forecast: What will happen to inflation and GDP in 2025-2026? Inflation in Ukraine is expected to decrease during 2025-2026, dropping to 5%. According to the National Bank’s forecast, inflation will peak in the second quarter of 2025, and begin to decline ... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The National Bank has worsened its 2025 key macro indicator forecasts. Considering security risks and the difficult situation in the labor market, the NBU has worsened its forecast for Ukraine’s 2025 GDP growth from 4.3% to 3.6%. At the same time, the bank predicts... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineBudget2025 #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Despite the war, Ukraine has achieved a record GDP per capita; the World Bank worsens its forecast for 2025. Ukraine’s real GDP growth in 2024 was 3.6%. “If we look at the level of GDP by the level of the available population, we have now reached a record GDP per capita,” said Deputy Minist... #GDPinUkraine #SalaryUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #worldbank
Businesses have increased their activity and investment forecasts for the next 12 months. For the second month in a row, businesses have improved their business activity estimates for the next 12 months, maintaining optimistic forecasts for attracting investment but anticipating moderate i... #BusinessExpectation #investments #nbu #UkraineBusinessActivity #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The Central Bank of Ukraine expects inflation to accelerate at the beginning of the year. In the first months of 2025, inflation will likely continue to accelerate because of lower harvests, pressure from business spending on energy supplies and labor, and the effects of a weakening hryvni... #Inflation #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Analysts predict Ukraine’s real GDP growth will be about 3% in 2025. Ukraine demonstrated moderate economic growth in 2024 at 3.8%, and real GDP growth in 2025 will be approximately 3%, according to the Institute for Economic Research (IER). Access to the Ukrainian Sea... #BlackSeaCorridor #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport #UkraineFacility #UkraineImport
Ukraine’s GDP growth slowed to 0.7% at the end of the year due to attacks on energy infrastructure. The real GDP growth rate slowed from 1.1% year-on-year in October to 0.7% in November. The reason is Russian shelling of energy and industrial infrastructure, the Institute for Economic Research (IER)... #GDPUkraine #GVAukraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Investors have shared their 2025 macroeconomic forecast for Ukraine. The growth rate of Ukraine’s economy in 2025 will decrease to 3.4% compared to the expected result of 4% in 2024. At the same time, inflation will slow from 11.5% to 7%. ICU predicts that Ukrain... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #LaborMarketUkraine #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
This year, Ukraine’s economy grew by 4%; the agricultural sector’s share of GDP is about 20%. Over the 11 months of the year, the Ukrainian economy grew by 4% [±0.5%], according to the Ministry of Economy. “The drivers of growth remain the transport and construction industries, processin... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #VitaliyKoval #YuliyaSvyridenko
Fitch has maintained Ukraine’s rating at RD – Restricted Default. Fitch Ratings has affirmed Ukraine’s long-term foreign currency rating at restricted default (RD) as Ukraine continues to restructure its external debt. “Ukraine’s foreign currency i... #DefaultUkraine #FitchRatings #UkraineBudget2025 #UkraineBudgetDeficit #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast
FitchRatings: What awaits the Ukrainian economy and when the war will end. Fitch Ratings predicts a slowdown in Ukraine’s economic growth. In 2024, GDP growth is predicted to reach 4%, facilitated by the normalization of Black Sea trade activity, high government spendi... #FitchRatings #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #WarEnding #WarinUkraine
Even under a baseline scenario, Ukraine’s public debt will exceed 100% of GDP. Ukraine’s public debt is already approaching 100% of GDP, and financing needs for recovery are currently around $600B. Even under the baseline scenario, the peak value of public debt is 103.9% of GDP,... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineBudget #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Inflation is accelerating in Ukraine, but the NBU predicts it will decrease next year. In October 2024, consumer prices increased by 1.8% compared to September; annual inflation accelerated to 9.7% (8.6% in September), according to the Ukrainian State Statistics Service. Since the begin... #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
How did Russia’s destruction of energy infrastructure affect the IMF’s forecast for Ukraine’s economy? The IMF’s latest forecast for Ukraine’s economic growth in 2024-2025 was significantly lowered, primarily due to Russia’s destruction of the Ukrainian energy infrastructure and uncertainty... #AlfredKammer #EnergyInfrastructure #imf #KristalinaGeorgieva #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The IMF encourages Ukraine to make profound tax changes but not to raise rates. IMF experts unveiled their proposals for reducing Ukraine’s national debt as part of their recommendations. The IMF’s Deputy Director of the Fiscal Affairs department, , noted that their r... #EraDablaNorris #imf #TaxesUkraine #TaxIncrease #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
In September, prices for goods and services in Ukraine rose faster than the National Bank’s forecast. Consumer inflation accelerated to 8.6% year-on-year in September against 7.5% in August. “The actual pace of price growth was higher than the forecast published in the Inflation Report for July ... #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The NBU maintains this year’s economic growth forecast of 3.7% despite the situation in the energy sector and expects positive results from tax increases. As noted by the head of the National Bank, Andriy Pyshnyi, the regulator remains largely confident in the forecast it presented in July. “The economy will grow by 3.7% this year. The assumption ... #AndriiPyshnyi #ElectricityDeficitUkraine #EnergyRestore #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Despite the war, Ukraine’s industrial production increased by 8.1%. The volume of the industrial output in Ukraine in January-June 2024 increased by 8.1% compared to the same period in 2023. In June, the indicator decreased by 0.3% compared to the corresponding month ... #IndustrialProduction #MetallurgyUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport
The share of businesses in Ukraine that expect growth in production and export is growing. According to the monthly survey of enterprises by the Institute of Economic Research, 38.2% of respondents expect an increase in production (against 35.7% in July) in the next three to four months. Ex... #BusinessExpectation #businessinukraine #BusinessProblem #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
National Bank: inflation will grow at a higher rate than predicted. Last week, the State Statistics Service announced that consumer inflation accelerated to 7.5% annually in August from 5.4% in July. In monthly terms, prices increased by 0.6%. However, the NBU noted t... #Hryvnia #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The IMF has worsened its GDP growth and inflation forecasts for Ukraine. The IMF predicts the growth of Ukraine’s real GDP at 3% in 2024 with inflation at 9%, the National Bank reported following the IMF mission. The IMF emphasized that Ukrainian fiscal policy, high ... #GDPinUkraine #imf #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Financial analysts and businesses predict what will happen to prices and the dollar exchange rate in Ukraine. Inflation in Ukraine will accelerate over the next 12 months but will not exceed 9%. Such is the forecast given by bankers, financial analysts, and heads of enterprises. In July, financial analysts pr... #dollarexchangerate #financeUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The National Bank predicts a slowdown in inflation next year. The NBU will allow exchange rate fluctuations that will make it possible to maintain control over inflation expectations and achieve the 5% inflation target, said National Bank Chairman Andriy Pyshnyi... #AndriiPyshnyi #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The S&P assesses the duration and consequences of the war for Ukraine’s economy. The international rating agency S&P Global Ratings notes high uncertainty regarding the scope, results, and consequences of the Russian war in Ukraine. “If the economy begins to recover, giv... #FitchRatings #GDPinUkraine #StandartandPoor #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #WarinUkraine
The NBU updated its forecast for key indicators in the Ukrainian economy. The NBU predicts the growth of Ukraine’s GDP in 2024 at 3.7% (April’s forecast was 3%). Economic growth in the year’s first half continued, although it has slowed down in recent mont... #foreignexchangemarket #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The Ukrainian government clarified its 2024 forecast for developing the Ukrainian economy. The Ministry of Economy updated its statistical data and revised their assumptions and forecast for Ukraine’s economic and social development in 2024. Accordingly, by the end of 2024, nominal GD... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #SalaryUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UnemploymentUkraine
The government predicts an acceleration of inflation in the coming months. As noted by the Ministry of Economy, in January through May the trend of slowing inflation continued; consumer inflation was the lowest in recent years – 2% since the beginning of the year. Annual inf... #ConsumerInflation #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The World Bank moved Ukraine to the category of countries with higher-than-average incomes. The country’s income is estimated by the World Bank at $5,070 per capita. The World Bank generally divides the world’s economies into four income groups: low, lower than average, higher th... #GDPinUkraine #GNIukraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #worldbank
The IMF published a pessimistic scenario for Ukraine’s economy the war becomes protracted. The IMF’s negative scenario assumes that the war will end by the end of 2025 (compared to the end of 2024 in the baseline scenario) and that the shock will start in the third quarter of 2024. Th... #imf #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineRecovery #WarinUkraine
The IMF has worsened expectations for Ukraine’s economy and predicts an electricity shortage until 2026. The IMF has downgraded Ukraine’s economic growth forecast for 2024 and 2025 due to the consequences from Russian shelling of energy infrastructure. The revised forecast states that Ukraine’... #ElectricityDeficitUkraine #imf #KristalinaGeorgieva #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #WarLosses
