The European Commission has revised its economic forecast for Ukraine, lowering its GDP growth prediction for 2025 from 2.8% in November to 2%. This adjustment is attributed to ongoing war pressures that severely impact production capacity and business confidence. For 2026, the GDP growth forecast has been decreased from 5.9% to 4.7%. A decli... #EuropeanCommission #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport #UkraineImport
Dragon Capital has updated its macroeconomic forecast to reflect a potential peace agreement. Ukraine’s real GDP growth in 2025 could accelerate to 3.5-5.5% if Ukraine and Russia reach an agreement on a long-term ceasefire. If the war continues, Ukraine’s economic growth will slow ... #DragonCapital #GDPinUkraine #Hryvnia #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine’s national debt has reached another historic high of nearly $172B. According to the Ministry of Finance, Ukraine’s total public (direct and guaranteed) debt increased by 1.56%, or $2.64B, in March, totaling $171.73B compared to the previous month. Direct extern... #GDPinUkraine #imf #UkraineBudget #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine’s real GDP growth in the first quarter was 1.1%. The IER reports that in March, due to better access to electricity and the gradual recovery of demand, Ukraine’s economic situation improved slightly – real GDP growth was 1.3%. In contrast, in ... #agroUkraine #energyukraine #GDPinUkraine #MiningUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The IMF has downgraded its global economic growth forecast but expects a moderate recovery for Ukraine. According to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook (WEO), global economic growth will slow in the coming years. This year, global GDP is projected to grow by only 2.8% and by 3% in 2026. For comparis... #GDPinUkraine #GlobalGDP #imf #IMFforecast #TradeWar #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #worldeconomy
ICU downgrades Ukraine’s economic growth forecast to 3% for 2025, down from the previous outlook of 3.4%. A report from the ICU investment company notes that Ukraine’s real GDP increased by only 2.9% in 2024, significantly below market expectations and their earlier forecasts. Economic growth weakened con... #agroUkraine #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Metallurgy’s contribution to Ukraine’s GDP increased to 7.2% last year. Industries in Ukraine’s mining and metallurgical complex (MMC) contributed 7.2% to Ukraine’s GDP in 2024, up from 5.7% in 2023. The increase in the MMC’s share resulted from a rise i... #GDPinUkraine #investments #MetallurgyUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkrainianMetalExport
Why did Ukraine’s economic recovery slow down last year compared to 2023? Ukraine’s real GDP grew by 2.9% in 2024. Although the economy experienced growth for the second consecutive year amid the full-scale war, the pace of recovery decelerated compared to 2023, when ... #GDPinUkraine #GVAukraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The Ukrainian economy will reach its pre-war level in 10 years. The Finance Committee of the Ukrainian Parliament believes that, considering current economic growth trends, Ukraine’s real GDP in 2025 will be 20% lower than in 2021, excluding temporarily occu... #ElectricityDeficitUkraine #EmployeeDeficit #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport
Shelling and business uncertainty slowed real GDP growth in Ukraine to 0.5% in February. The growth rate of real Ukrainian GDP decreased to 0.5% during the same month. This downturn is attributed to the damaging effects of Russian shelling on various industries and heightened uncertainty ... #GDPinUkraine #GVAukraine #UkraineEconomy #ukrainianbusiness #WarinUkraine
Economists forecaste Ukraine’s GDP growth, inflation, and international aid. Analysts from the Institute of Economic Research projected that, despite the devastating impact of the full-scale Russian invasion, Ukraine’s economy is showing resilience. The forecasted GDP gr... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineBudgetDeficit #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The EBRD downgrades Ukraine’s economic growth forecast for 2025, calls for 5% growth in 2026. The EBRD has downgraded its forecast for Ukraine’s economic growth in 2025 to 3.5%. Last September, the bank forecasted growth of 4.7%. It is noted that Ukraine started 2025 with weak economic i... #ebrd #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The NBU forecast: What will happen to inflation and GDP in 2025-2026? Inflation in Ukraine is expected to decrease during 2025-2026, dropping to 5%. According to the National Bank’s forecast, inflation will peak in the second quarter of 2025, and begin to decline ... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The war’s cost: State debt has surged by 100% in three years, but default was avoided. Since the onset of Russia’s full-scale invasion, Ukraine’s state debt has risen by 156% (+₴4.25T) in hryvnia and by 78% (+$72.7B) in foreign currency, according to Danylo Hetmantsev, chair... #DanyloHetmantsev #DefaultUkraine #EFFprogram #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineStateDebt
The National Bank has worsened its 2025 key macro indicator forecasts. Considering security risks and the difficult situation in the labor market, the NBU has worsened its forecast for Ukraine’s 2025 GDP growth from 4.3% to 3.6%. At the same time, the bank predicts... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineBudget2025 #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Despite the war, Ukraine has achieved a record GDP per capita; the World Bank worsens its forecast for 2025. Ukraine’s real GDP growth in 2024 was 3.6%. “If we look at the level of GDP by the level of the available population, we have now reached a record GDP per capita,” said Deputy Minist... #GDPinUkraine #SalaryUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #worldbank
Ukraine’s national debt reached 92% of GDP. As of the end of 2024, Ukraine’s national debt reached to approximately ₴7T. Forbes analysts calculated that the ratio of national debt to GDP has reached 92%. This is the total national debt, w... #GDPinUkraine #hryvniadevaluation #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomy
Analysts predict Ukraine’s real GDP growth will be about 3% in 2025. Ukraine demonstrated moderate economic growth in 2024 at 3.8%, and real GDP growth in 2025 will be approximately 3%, according to the Institute for Economic Research (IER). Access to the Ukrainian Sea... #BlackSeaCorridor #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport #UkraineFacility #UkraineImport
The advantage is on Ukraine’s side: What is happening with the economies of the warring countries? The Economist notes that the Ukrainian economy looks “healthier” than the Russian economy did after the start of the full-scale war. Ukraine’s economy has been rebuilt to navigate th... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #RussianEconomy #UkraineBudgetDeficit #UkraineEconomy #WarinUkraine
Investors have shared their 2025 macroeconomic forecast for Ukraine. The growth rate of Ukraine’s economy in 2025 will decrease to 3.4% compared to the expected result of 4% in 2024. At the same time, inflation will slow from 11.5% to 7%. ICU predicts that Ukrain... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #LaborMarketUkraine #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
This year, Ukraine’s economy grew by 4%; the agricultural sector’s share of GDP is about 20%. Over the 11 months of the year, the Ukrainian economy grew by 4% [±0.5%], according to the Ministry of Economy. “The drivers of growth remain the transport and construction industries, processin... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #VitaliyKoval #YuliyaSvyridenko
Even under a baseline scenario, Ukraine’s public debt will exceed 100% of GDP. Ukraine’s public debt is already approaching 100% of GDP, and financing needs for recovery are currently around $600B. Even under the baseline scenario, the peak value of public debt is 103.9% of GDP,... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineBudget #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Why did the IMF improve its economic forecast, and what are the key areas for Ukraine’s GDP growth? An IMF team has improved its economic growth forecast for Ukraine this year from 3% to 4%, as the Ukrainian economy has performed better than expected in the previous two quarters, IMF spokeswoman Jul... #EFFprogram #GDPinUkraine #imf #JulieKozack #SerhiyMarchenko #UkraineEconomy
In October, Ukraine’s GDP growth slowed three times, while the export figure exceeded the previous year’s volume. Ukraine’s economy grew by 4.2% over the 10 months of the year, and in October growth slowed to 1.3% against 3.8% in September, reports the Ministry of Economy. It is noted that the drivers of gr... #AgroHarvestUkraine #GDPinUkraine #ProcessingIndustry #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport
Here are the main economic activity factors in Ukraine for the first half of the year. Macroeconomic indicators of the Ukrainian economy in 2024 show growth, but positive dynamics are slowing down. The growth potential represented by the economic recovery from the fall in 2022 has been ... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicActivity #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine will restructure government derivatives tied to GDP growth rates. Yuriy Butsa, the government commissioner for public debt management, notes that Ukraine issued GDP warrants in 2015. According to the terms, any GDP growth above 3% per year triggers payments to warra... #Creditors #financeUkraine #GDPinUkraine #GDPwarrants #UkraineBond #UkraineEconomy
At the end of the summer, economic growth accelerated in Ukraine. In August, the Ukrainian economy grew by 3.5% (±1%) compared to August last year. Based on the results of eight months of the year, GDP growth is estimated at 3.9% against the corresponding period of ... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicActivity #UkraineEconomy #YuliyaSvyridenko
The IMF has worsened its GDP growth and inflation forecasts for Ukraine. The IMF predicts the growth of Ukraine’s real GDP at 3% in 2024 with inflation at 9%, the National Bank reported following the IMF mission. The IMF emphasized that Ukrainian fiscal policy, high ... #GDPinUkraine #imf #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Despite widespread blackouts, GDP growth accelerates in Ukraine. In July, Ukraine’s GDP growth accelerated to 2.7% after rising 1.6% in June in response to early harvesting. For January-July, growth is estimated at 4% [±1%], which generally corresponds with t... #ElectricityDeficitUkraine #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineMaritimeCorridor
The implementation of an investment project in Ukraine to develop hydrogen energy involves attracting about €33B in investment capital. Scientists presented research on the development of investment projects in Ukraine: To achieve the goals of the Development of hydrogen energy in Ukraine project, a total investment of €32.882B will b... #FreightCars #GDPinUkraine #hydrogenEnergy #investments #Titaniumproduction #UkraineEconomy
The S&P assesses the duration and consequences of the war for Ukraine’s economy. The international rating agency S&P Global Ratings notes high uncertainty regarding the scope, results, and consequences of the Russian war in Ukraine. “If the economy begins to recover, giv... #FitchRatings #GDPinUkraine #StandartandPoor #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #WarinUkraine
The NBU updated its forecast for key indicators in the Ukrainian economy. The NBU predicts the growth of Ukraine’s GDP in 2024 at 3.7% (April’s forecast was 3%). Economic growth in the year’s first half continued, although it has slowed down in recent mont... #foreignexchangemarket #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine needs an additional 4.5 million workers for its GDP to grow by 7%. The demographic situation in Ukraine, particularly the availability of labor resources, is one of the most critical factors that is currently affecting the economy today and will affect the dynamics o... #GDPinUkraine #JobInUkraine #Migration #UkraineEconomy #UkraineLaborMarket #Ukrainianworkers
Despite a slowdown in the second quarter, the GDP grew by 4.1% in the first half of the year. In June, Ukraine’s GDP grew by 1.1% compared to June last year. However, Ukraine’s economic growth continues to slow down – in May, GDP grew by 3.7%, in April – by 4.3%. The Ministry of Ec... #ElectricityDeficitUkraine #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineLaborMarket #UkraineMaritimeCorridor
The Ukrainian government clarified its 2024 forecast for developing the Ukrainian economy. The Ministry of Economy updated its statistical data and revised their assumptions and forecast for Ukraine’s economic and social development in 2024. Accordingly, by the end of 2024, nominal GD... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #SalaryUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UnemploymentUkraine
The World Bank moved Ukraine to the category of countries with higher-than-average incomes. The country’s income is estimated by the World Bank at $5,070 per capita. The World Bank generally divides the world’s economies into four income groups: low, lower than average, higher th... #GDPinUkraine #GNIukraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #worldbank
The Ukrainian economy grew by 6.5% in the first quarter, reaching almost 82% of its pre-war level. According to the results from the first quarter of 2024, Ukraine’s real GDP increased by 6.5% compared to the same period last year, according to the State Statistical Service. A year earlier, a... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineRecovery
The CES provides a forecast for key macro indicators through the end of the year. The Ukrainian economy will grow by 3-4% by the end of 2024, which is less than 2023, according to the macro forecast from the Center for Economic Strategy (CES). As experts explain, the pessimism rega... #dollarexchangerate #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Since the beginning of the year, Ukraine’s GDP has grown by 4.3%. According to the Ministry of Economy, in May 2024 Ukraine’s GDP increased by 3.7%, and in January-May 2024, by 4.3%. GDP growth continued thanks to high export rates supported by the stable oper... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineBusinessActivity #UkraineEconomy #ukrainianbusiness
The EC forecasts Ukraine’s GDP growth to be 6.2%, subject to the implementation of the Ukraine Plan for the Ukraine Facility program. This forecast was shared by Marlene Madsen, a top European Commission official, during URC2024 in Berlin. According to her, the selection and schedule of crucial reforms are very important. Emphasis s... #GDPinUkraine #MarleneMadsen #ReformsinUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineFacility #URC2024
Ukraine needs up to $30B in annual investment, and the government has identified five priorities for rapid recovery. Ukraine needs from $10 to $30B in annual investments for the next 10 years, Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal said. “Our budget deficit is about 20% of GDP. It is important that the support is predic... #DenysShmyhal #GDPinUkraine #InvestmentsinUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineEconomy
A Ukrainian investment company revises its economic forecast for Ukraine. Investment group Dragon Capital has improved its inflation forecast in 2024 from 8% to 7.6%. At the same time, the previous estimate of a 4% increase in GDP in 2024 has been maintained thanks to the r... #DragonCapital #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The NBU has downgraded its growth forecast for the Ukrainian economy over losses in the energy sector. The National Bank worsened its 2024 growth forecast for Ukraine’s economy from 3.6% to 3% due to the severe consequences from Russia’s missile attacks on energy infrastructure. The central... #ebrd #energyukraine #GDPinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #WarinUkraine
The Ministry of Economy of Ukraine estimates GDP growth in April to be 4.3%. In April 2024, Ukraine’s GDP growth compared to April last year was about 4.3%. For January-April, the economic department noted that the growth is estimated at the level of 4.4% compared to the... #energyukraine #GDPinUkraine #IndustryUkraine #UkraineEconomy #YuliyaSvyridenko
Real GDP growth slowed in Ukraine due to Russian attacks on the energy system. The growth rate of real GDP in Ukraine has slowed down somewhat. The key problem is reduced access to a constant electricity supply and sufficient amounts of electricity. According to the IER, GDP in ... #ElectricityDeficitUkraine #energyukraine #GDPinUkraine #GVAukraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport
The EBRD predicts a slowdown in the Ukrainian economy’s growth. According to an EBRD forecast, Ukraine’s economy will grow by 3% in 2024 and by 6% in 2025. This pace is lower than the 5.3% rise in 2023 following a sharp drop in 2022 caused by the Russian inv... #ebrd #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineMaritimeCorridor
Ukraine’s economic growth will slow to 3% this year, and the budget deficit will reach 20.7% of GDP. “The National Bank of Ukraine predicts that economic growth will slow to 3% in 2024 due to the loss of energy infrastructure and an expected electricity deficit of about 5%. In 2025-2026, GDP growth w... #BudgetDeficit #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineBudget2024 #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomy
How Ukraine’s military economy will grow: the government’s forecast. Despite the war, the Ukrainian economy will grow by approximately 4.6% in 2024, although Russian missile attacks may worsen this indicator, said Minister of Economy Yulia Svyrydenko at the Kyiv Invest... #DefenseIndustryUkraine #GDPinUkraine #UkraineDevelopment #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #YuliyaSvyridenko
The government noted an acceleration of GDP growth in March to 4.6%, but analysts predict a further decline. The Ministry of Economy estimated GDP growth in March to be at the level of 4.6%, while in January, the growth was at 3.5%, and in February, 3.9%. The GDP growth trend is supported by stable seaport o... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The Ukrainian government predicts the improvement of key macroeconomic indicators and economic growth, whether the war ends in 2024 or drags on longer. The Ministry of Economy notes that, despite all the difficulties caused by the war, the positive dynamics of key macroeconomic indicators are evidence of the economy’s adaptation to wartime cond... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineReconstruction #WarinUkraine
