Ukrainian businesses remain positive about their long-term perspectives. Despite geopolitical instability, long-term economic forecasts for Ukrainian businesses have improved. The optimism index rose from 0.11 to 0.15 points, based on a monthly survey of business leaders b... #OECD #UkraineBusinessActivity #UkraineBusinessExpectation #UkraineEconomy #ukrainianbusiness
Dragon Capital has updated its macroeconomic forecast to reflect a potential peace agreement. Ukraine’s real GDP growth in 2025 could accelerate to 3.5-5.5% if Ukraine and Russia reach an agreement on a long-term ceasefire. If the war continues, Ukraine’s economic growth will slow ... #DragonCapital #GDPinUkraine #Hryvnia #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Cold storage facilities remain one of the scarcest and most strategically important segments of Kyiv’s warehouse real estate market. Cold storage facilities in Ukraine have suffered significantly during the war, and today there is particularly high demand for temperature-controlled premises, reports CBRE. The shortage of cold stora... #ColdStorageFacilities #CommercialRealEstate #kyiv #UkraineEconomy #Warehouse
How is the Ukrainian retail sector evolving during the war? Andriy Zhuk, Chairman of the Retailers Association of Ukraine (RAU), observed that last year pharmacy retail was the most actively developing segment, accounting for 45% of all new retail locations. N... #PharmaceuticalMarketUkraine #retailUkraine #ShoppingCenters #UkraineEconomy #UkrainianMarket
Ukrainian employers have pinpointed the most sought-after professions and voiced concerns regarding job seekers’ unrealistic salary expectations. A labor market study reveals that the most in-demand roles largely consist of blue-collar specialties. The top professions listed include agricultural tractor driver, mechanic-repairman, electric and ... #ATBmarket #JobInUkraine #LaborMarketUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkrainianRailways
Only 25% of businesses in Ukraine plan for active growth in 2025. According to a study, 20% of companies plan to actively hire employees, while 39% will limit themselves to selective recruitment, and 34% will not change their personnel levels. At the same time, 7% o... #BusinessDevelopment #investments #UkraineEconomy #ukrainianbusiness
April’s inflation in Ukraine exceeded 15% for the first time in two years. In April 2025, inflation in the consumer market was 0.7%. In annual terms, price growth accelerated to 15.1%, compared to 14.6% in March, as reported by the State Statistics Service. Prices for food p... #InflationinUkraine #OECD #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
For every new individual enterprise in Ukraine, there are currently 1.5 closures. According to the Opendatabot analytical portal, 81,928 individual entrepreneurs have opened in Ukraine since the beginning of the year, which is 9% less than during the same period last year. Meanwhil... #DanyloHetmantsev #IndividualEnterprise #UkraineEconomy #ukrainianbusiness #UkrainianEnterprises
The war has raised the cost of a square meter of housing in Ukraine by 100%. Over the three years of the war, the cost of housing construction in Ukraine has increased by an average of 90-115%, depending on the housing class, and it continues to grow. The reasons lie not only ... #BuildingMaterials #ConstructioninUkraine #HousingConstruction #RealEstateUkraine #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine will need $300B in investment for its post-war recovery. According to a KSE report, Ukraine’s GDP is projected to grow by about 3% in 2025, and after the war ends in 2026-2027, the growth rate is expected to accelerate. One critically important factor in ma... #financialaidforUkraine #InvestmentsinUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineRecovery
In response to structural challenges in the labor market, demographic changes, and the consequences of war, Ukraine is developing an employment strategy. The main goal of the initiative is to promote economic development by reducing unemployment, ensure equal access to quality jobs, and create a flexible, inclusive employment system. It is predicted th... #EmployeeDeficit #JobInUkraine #LaborMarketUkraine #ReformsinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
The IMF recommends increasing several tax rates to satisfy Ukraine’s 2026 state budget. At the 2025 Spring Meetings in Washington, the IMF provided Ukrainian government officials with various recommendations on addressing the state budget for 2026. It is noted that representatives from U... #DanyloHetmantsev #imf #TaxesUkraine #TaxIncrease #UkraineBudget #UkraineEconomy
Ukrainian companies’ debt reduction exceeded foreign direct investment by 200%. Ukrainian businesses reduced their net debt over 2022-2024 by increasing their liquid funds and deposits and reducing debt to Ukrainian banks by $21B, which is 200% more than foreign investment over t... #ConcordeCapital #investments #nbu #UkraineEconomy #ukrainianbusiness
In April, businesses evaluated their current economic activity more cautiously, approaching a neutral level, according to the NBU Business Activity Expectations Index (BAEI). Among the reasons for the weakened assessments indicated by respondents are significant declines in weather conditions, ongoing uncert... #BusinessExpectation #nbu #UkraineBusinessActivity #UkraineEconomy #ukrainianbusiness
Ukraine is the most attractive destination for European investment, as it has the potential to become an industrial hub within the EU during its recovery process. The most promising location for European investment is Ukraine. Given that the country’s recovery will adhere to EU standards, the country is positioned to evolve into a dynamic industrial hub i... #EUexpansion #EuropeanIntegration #IndustryUkraine #InvestmentsinUkraine #MartaKos #UkraineEconomy #UkraineRecovery
Ukraine’s national debt has reached another historic high of nearly $172B. According to the Ministry of Finance, Ukraine’s total public (direct and guaranteed) debt increased by 1.56%, or $2.64B, in March, totaling $171.73B compared to the previous month. Direct extern... #GDPinUkraine #imf #UkraineBudget #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomy
What are the possible consequences of reducing Ukraine’s financial assistance? If Ukraine’s budget gap increases in the next two years and the situation with external financing does not improve, a large-scale reduction in the NBU’s reserves and a sharp devaluation of... #BudgetDeficit #hryvniadevaluation #nbu #UkraineBudget2025 #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomy
South Korean ITOXI invests in two glass factories in Ukraine. The two glass factories will be developed by City One Development and located in the City of Glass industrial park in Berezan, Kyiv region, and the Galicia industrial park in Kalush, Ivano-Frankivsk r... #CityOneDevelopment #GlassFactory #GlassProduction #investments #ITOXI #SouthKorea #UkraineEconomy
Ukrainian businesses created over 22,000 jobs last year and raised salaries by 23%. Large businesses with revenues of over ₴1B ($24M) increased the number of full-time employees by 22,200 in 2024, according to the results of a labor market study. It is noted that these enterprises em... #JobInUkraine #LaborMarketUkraine #SalaryUkraine #UkraineEconomy #ukrainianbusiness
The launch of the sea corridor has opened new markets for Ukrainian exporters. The introduction of the Ukrainian Black Sea Corridor in 2023 significantly impacted the geographical structure of goods exports. It enabled the resumption of deliveries to traditional destinations in ... #BlackSeaCorridor #SeaExport #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport #UkraineMaritimeCorridor
The Ukrainian IT market is currently facing the toughest set of challenges it has seen in recent years. In January 2025, exports of IT services dropped to $489M, down $19M compared to the same period in 2024. This marks the worst start to a year since the onset of the full-scale war. While the Ukrainian... #ITexport #ITsectorinUkraine #ITukraine #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine’s real GDP growth in the first quarter was 1.1%. The IER reports that in March, due to better access to electricity and the gradual recovery of demand, Ukraine’s economic situation improved slightly – real GDP growth was 1.3%. In contrast, in ... #agroUkraine #energyukraine #GDPinUkraine #MiningUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The IMF has downgraded its global economic growth forecast but expects a moderate recovery for Ukraine. According to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook (WEO), global economic growth will slow in the coming years. This year, global GDP is projected to grow by only 2.8% and by 3% in 2026. For comparis... #GDPinUkraine #GlobalGDP #imf #IMFforecast #TradeWar #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #worldeconomy
One of Europe’s largest manufacturers of window and door hardware continues to invest in its Dnipro factory. AXOR Industry’s total investment in launching, expanding, and developing its factory that produces window and door hardware in Dnipro has reached €40M. According to Minister of Economy Yulia Svy... #AXOR #investments #UkraineEconomy #ukrainianbusiness #YuliyaSvyridenko
Ukraine’s defense industry is driving demand for metal products needed in mechanical engineering by 25 to 30%. Since 2023, the Ukrainian market for metal products used in machine building has shown a gradual recovery, growing by 25 to 30% based on last year’s results. Estimates indicate that in 2024 the Ukrain... #DefenseIndustryUkraine #MachineBuilding #MetallurgyUkraine #MetalProductsMarket #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine’s reconstruction is driving the growth of the metal products market for the construction industry. The market for metal structures used in construction in Ukraine grew by 15% in 2024, reaching 91,000 tons. Last year, the construction segment in Ukraine accounted for 24% of total steel consumption, ... #ConstructionUkraine #MetallurgyUkraine #MetalProductsMarket #UkraineEconomy #UkraineReconstruction
Business expectations improved in the first quarter of the year, with more than a third of companies ready to invest. In the first quarter of 2025, the Business Expectations Index (BEI) for Enterprises rose to 108.2%, up from 101.8% in the fourth quarter of 2024. The NBU noted that hostilities and their consequences ... #investments #nbu #UkraineBusinessActivity #UkraineBusinessExpectation #UkraineEconomy #ukrainianbusiness
The National Bank of Ukraine keeps the discount rate unchanged at 15.5%. The Board of the NBU has decided to hold the discount rate steady at 15.5% to sustain the foreign exchange market’s stability, control inflation expectations, and gradually reduce inflation to t... #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineMonetaryPolicy
Analysts compare the size of Ukraine’s shadow economy with those of other countries. Prior to the full-scale war in 2021, Ukraine’s shadow economy was estimated to be around 30% of GDP. Last year, the Ministry of Economy reported that potentially 40% of the economy could take pl... #Ernst&Young #ShadowEconomy #UkraineEconomy #UkraineShadowEconomy #worldeconomy
Ukraine’s economy is expected to grow by 3%, while inflation is anticipated to slow significantly. ICU analysts observe that that the Ukrainian economy has shown modest growth since the third quarter of 2024, and predict a low probability of a substantial acceleration in recovery. The need to gradu... #Hryvnia #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
What drove construction growth in Ukraine in 2024? In 2023-2024, the Ukrainian construction market showed positive dynamics owing to increased economic activity in the central and western regions, as well as the restoration of infrastructure damaged i... #BusinessRelocation #CommercialRealEstate #ConstructionUkraine #RealEstateUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineRecovery
Nearly 50% of Ukrainian retail operates in the shadows. The extent of shadow activity in Ukrainian retail trade has reached a critical level: According to various estimates, up to 45% of all retail transactions may take place outside of Ukraine’s tax... #retailUkraine #TaxesUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineEconomy #UkraineShadowEconomy
Ukraine has a severe labor force shortage, prompting employers to seek help from pensioners. The personnel shortage is particularly acute in the capital, where there are 75,000 open vacancies, yet only 3,000 registered unemployed individuals, as stated by Yulia Zhovtyak, Director of the State... #EmployeeDeficit #LaborMarketUkraine #PensionersinUkraine #UkraineEconomy #VacanciesUkraine
ICU downgrades Ukraine’s economic growth forecast to 3% for 2025, down from the previous outlook of 3.4%. A report from the ICU investment company notes that Ukraine’s real GDP increased by only 2.9% in 2024, significantly below market expectations and their earlier forecasts. Economic growth weakened con... #agroUkraine #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Despite the insignificant impact of Trump’s tariffs on Ukraine, it is ready to zero out tariffs on American products and negotiate with the US. For Ukraine, the predominant negative consequence of the global trade war may be lower volumes of macro-financial assistance from European partners economically weakened by tariffs. In addition, Ukrai... #DonaldTrump #DutyTariff #ImportDuties #TarasKachka #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport #UkraineImport #UkraineTrade
Metallurgy’s contribution to Ukraine’s GDP increased to 7.2% last year. Industries in Ukraine’s mining and metallurgical complex (MMC) contributed 7.2% to Ukraine’s GDP in 2024, up from 5.7% in 2023. The increase in the MMC’s share resulted from a rise i... #GDPinUkraine #investments #MetallurgyUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkrainianMetalExport
The National Bank of Ukraine has outlined the reasons for rising inflation in the country. In February 2025, both general and core inflation continued to rise in Ukraine. According to the NBU, inflation maintained its upward trend in March. The primary factors driving inflation’s acce... #ConsumerInflation #IndustrialInflation #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomy
Why did Ukraine’s economic recovery slow down last year compared to 2023? Ukraine’s real GDP grew by 2.9% in 2024. Although the economy experienced growth for the second consecutive year amid the full-scale war, the pace of recovery decelerated compared to 2023, when ... #GDPinUkraine #GVAukraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Trump has introduced large-scale tariffs; how will Ukraine be affected? Commenting on the introduction of import tariffs by US President Trump, Ukraine’s Minister of Economy Yulia Svyrydenko, noted: “It is difficult, but not critical. A general tariff of 10% w... #DonaldTrump #DutyTariff #UkraineEconomy #UkraineForeignTrade #USduty #YuliyaSvyridenko
Microenterprises have the most optimistic expectations about future operations in Ukraine. According to the Institute of Economic Research, the index of anticipated changes in business activity in February, as in January, is 0.1. The share of those planning to expand their activities is 15.... #MicroEnterprises #SmallBusinessUkraine #UkraineBusinessExpectation #UkraineEconomicActivity #UkraineEconomy #ukrainianbusiness
For the first time in 11 months, businesses have report positive expectations for their activities. In March, the Business Activity Expectations Index (BAEI) surpassed the neutral level for the first time in 11 months, registering at 51.8 compared to 46.9 in February 2025 (and 52 in March 2024). The... #BusinessActivityExpectations #nbu #UkraineBusinessActivity #UkraineEconomy #UkraineIndustry
Dragon Capital plans to invest $100M in Ukraine in 2025, citing improved macroeconomic predictability. Investment company Dragon Capital, which invested about $700M in Ukraine between 2015 and 2021, in addition to reinvestment of several hundred million dollars more, plans to invest $100M in 2025, said... #DragonCapital #investments #InvestmentsinUkraine #TomasFiala #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Kyiv has urged the EU to extend the duty-free trade regime to avoid devastating Ukraine’s economy. Ukraine has warned that the expiration of duty-free trade with the EU on June 5 could result in ”serious damage” to its economy. Kyiv hopes the EU will extend the duty-free trade regime, especially gi... #DutyFreeTrade #FreeTradeAgreement #SerhiyMarchenko #TradeRestriction #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport
Industrial inflation in Ukraine hits 40%, with food products seeing an 18% price increase. In February 2025, wholesale prices for industrial producers rose by 37% compared to February of the previous year. Domestic prices surged by 40%, while export prices increased by 15.9%, according to t... #FoodPrices #IndustrialInflation #InflationinUkraine #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
The Ukrainian economy will reach its pre-war level in 10 years. The Finance Committee of the Ukrainian Parliament believes that, considering current economic growth trends, Ukraine’s real GDP in 2025 will be 20% lower than in 2021, excluding temporarily occu... #ElectricityDeficitUkraine #EmployeeDeficit #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport
A British company plans to establish a production facility in an industrial park in the Ternopil region. An unnamed British company is considering a 3,000-square-meter building within the Western Ukrainian Industrial Hub industrial park. Located near Ternopil, the park has commissioned two new industrial... #BritishBusiness #IndustrialPark #investments #Ternopil #UkraineEconomy
Shelling and business uncertainty slowed real GDP growth in Ukraine to 0.5% in February. The growth rate of real Ukrainian GDP decreased to 0.5% during the same month. This downturn is attributed to the damaging effects of Russian shelling on various industries and heightened uncertainty ... #GDPinUkraine #GVAukraine #UkraineEconomy #ukrainianbusiness #WarinUkraine
Every seventh Ukrainian is unemployed. According to 2024’s results, Ukraine’s average unemployment rate decreased to 14.3%. In 2023 the unemployment rate was 17.4%, in 2022 – 18.5%, the Center for Economic Strategy notes. ̶... #EmployeeDeficit #JobInUkraine #LaborMarketUkraine #SalaryUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UnemploymentUkraine
Ukrainian financiers anticipate inflation to slow over the next year after reaching 13.4% in February. Consequently, according to the NBU, financial analysts in February 2025 maintained their inflation forecast at 7.8% for the upcoming 12 months. The public’s inflation expectations have improved ... #financeUkraine #hryvniadevaluation #InflationinUkraine #UkraineCurrencyRate #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine’s business activity index has fallen to zero. According to the Institute for Economic Research, the business activity recovery index in Ukraine also fell to zero in February, marking the worst result in the last two months. Consequently, the bala... #UkraineBusinessActivity #UkraineBusinessExpectation #UkraineEconomy #ukrainianbusiness
