The IMF pushes Ukraine to raise taxes and depreciate the hryvnia, with $1.1B in new financial aid at stake. Ukrainian officials expect the IMF this week to push the country toward faster currency devaluation, lower interest rates, and to increase tax collection efforts to close the country’s budget de... #BudgetDeficit #financeUkraine #hryvniadevaluation #imf #nbu #UkraineBudget
Financial analysts and businesses predict what will happen to prices and the dollar exchange rate in Ukraine. Inflation in Ukraine will accelerate over the next 12 months but will not exceed 9%. Such is the forecast given by bankers, financial analysts, and heads of enterprises. In July, financial analysts pr... #dollarexchangerate #financeUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Ukrainians are building up hryvnia savings in bank accounts. In July, the amount of funds in household hryvnia accounts temporarily decreased, but at the beginning of August, they recovered and continued to grow without affecting the banking system’s fina... #financeUkraine #HryvniaDeposits #nbu #UkraineBankingSystem
How have Ukrainian bank deposit portfolios and investment returns changed? According to the year’s first half results, as of June the financial institutions with the two largest deposit portfolios were Privatbank (₴490.83B) and Oschadbank (₴201.4B). Also among the lead... #BankDepositsinUkraine #financeUkraine #InterestRate #nbu #oschadbank #PrivatBank #PUMB #UkrainianBanks #UniversalBank
Ukrainians’ interest in hryvnia assets is weakening. In June, for the first time in a long time, there was a reduction in the volume and share of hryvnia time deposits in the banking system despite maintaining positive rates in real terms. The Committee... #financeUkraine #HryvniaAssets #HryvniaDeposits #nbu #OVDP #UkraineBond
In July, Ukraine’s international reserves decreased by 1.8%, but a grant from the US raised August’s total to $40B. As of August 1, Ukraine’s international reserves amounted to $37.2B. In July, they decreased by 1.8%, the National Bank reported. Last month, the dynamics of international reserves were determin... #financeUkraine #GrantForUkraine #imf #internationalReserves #nbu #UkraineBudget2024
The necessary conditions for further discount rate reductions in Ukraine are no longer present. Thanks to favorable macro-financial trends, the National Bank of Ukraine has reduced the discount rate from 25% to 13% in one year. However, the NBU does not currently see further prerequisites for lo... #CurrencyMarket #financeUkraine #InflationinUkraine #InterestRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy
After currency liberalization in May, companies’ demand for currency increased to $322M. Forbes has calculated that the additional demand for currency following the introduction of a large currency liberalization program in May amounted to $322.6M. During the liberalization’s introd... #CurrencyLiberalization #CurrencyRestrictions #financeUkraine #nbu #ukrainianbusiness
NBU: Banks will continue lowering deposit rates. Almost all banks expect a further decrease in deposit rates for households and corporations over the next 12 months, according to the results from an NBU survey. In the third quarter, banks expect an ... #BankDepositsinUkraine #Depositrates #financeUkraine #nbu
The NBU: Demand for bank loans is growing in Ukraine. Banks expect an increase in demand for all types of corporate and retail loans and loan portfolio volumes, NBU data shows. Most banks will increase their corporate and retail portfolios, though their ... #BankLoans #CreditPortfolio #financeUkraine #LoansforBusiness #nbu
Capital markets in Ukraine show slow growth and development. Despite all the challenges brought about by the war, and contrary to forecasts, capital markets in Ukraine not only avoided collapse but also persisted in demonstrating slow growth and development. Al... #CapitalMarket #CapitalMarketUkraine #financeUkraine #investments #UkraineBond
The NBU leaves the key policy rate unchanged due to accelerated inflation. Ukraine halted a run of three interest-rate cuts after an acceleration in inflation prompted policymakers to signal that easing will only be possible to resume next year, reported Bloomberg. The Natio... #financeUkraine #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy
Ukrainians continue to deposit more money into their savings; in the first half of the year, deposits increased by ₴60.2B. According to the Deposit Guarantee Fund for Individuals, as of July 1, 2024, the total amount of deposits of individuals and entrepreneurs in Ukrainian banks reached ₴1,295T, which is ₴28.9B more than... #BankDepositsinUkraine #DepositGuaranteeFund #financeUkraine #UkrainianBanks
Banks invested 25% of assets in OVDP, so the NBU sees no need for further stimulation. The National Bank believes there is no need to stimulate banks to increase investments in domestic government bonds (OVDP). In January 2023, banks introduced the possibility of covering mandatory rese... #financeUkraine #nbu #OVDP #UkraineBond #UkrainianBanks
The NBU insists on further narrowing the state’s 5-7-9% preferential lending program. The Affordable Loans 5-7-9% state program, despite recent changes that narrowed the financing limit of working capital to ₴5M, is still not sufficiently focused on helping businesses that need it, com... #5-7-9loanprogram #AffordableLoans #financeUkraine #LoansforBusiness #nbu
Deposit yields in Ukraine continue to fall, but loan rates are also falling. In June, the average interest rates on new hryvnia consumer deposits amounted to 10.8% per annum, 0.2 percentage points lower than a month ago, according to the National Bank. Interest rates on new de... #BankLoans #Depositrates #financeUkraine #ForeignCurrencyDeposits #HryvniaDeposits #nbu #UkraineDeposits
In June, the Ministry of Finance attracted more funds from OVDP auctions than it paid out to investors. In June, the Ministry of Finance raised ₴38.41B and $407.33M from the issuance of domestic government bonds. ₴35.3B of the total volume of OVDP issued in June were military bonds. The refinancing perc... #financeUkraine #investments #MiiltaryBonds #nbu #UkraineBond
At the IMF’s request, Ukraine will work on creating a postal bank. Ukraine’s memorandum with the IMF says that the Ukrainian authorities plan to create a specialized bank to ensure access to financial services for residents in remote settlements, de-occupied te... #financeUkraine #financialservices #IhorSmilyansky #imf #nbu #PostalBank #Ukrposhta
The largest Ukrainian state bank predicts interest rate decreases on loans and deposits. As PrivatBank noted, these dynamics will be determined by the reduction of the NBU’s discount rate. A member of the NBU board, Yevhen Zaigraev, noted that the situation with client funds reflect... #Depositrates #financeUkraine #InterestRate #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #PrivatBank
Ukrainians are increasing their bank account deposits, leading to a ₴31.3B increase in five months. Since the beginning of 2024, the increase in consumer deposits amounts to ₴31.3B, the Deposit Guarantee Fund reported. In particular, it is clarified that as of June 1 the total amount of deposits bel... #BankDepositsinUkraine #financeUkraine #HryvniaDeposits #UkrainianBanks
Ukrainian bankers predict a further key policy rate decrease to 12%. Seven members of the Monetary Policy Committee of the National Bank have reported the potential to cut the key rate to 12-12.5% by the end of the year, given that the risks to the inflation forecast... #financeUkraine #InterestRate #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineBankingSystem #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine’s banking regulator names the key risks to financial stability in the banking market. Banks in Ukraine have maintained financial stability and their clients’ trust while increasing lending and their participation in financing the budget deficit, the NBU reported. The regulator states t... #ConsumerLending #financeUkraine #LoansforBusiness #nbu #UkraineBankingSystem #UkraineEconomy
Bankers predict an interest rate decrease for business loans in Ukraine. Following the NBU’s reduction of the discount rate to 13% and the introduction of its lending strategy, banks will be able to significantly reduce interest rates on loans for enterprises in strategic ... #CreditPortfolio #financeUkraine #GlobusBank #InterestRate #LoansforBusiness #URC2024
Ukrainian eurobonds drop in value following creditors’ refusal to write part of the debt off. The value of Ukrainian Eurobonds fell during trading on June 17, showing one of the worst performances for emerging markets. The country’s eurobonds weakened across the curve, with bonds maturin... #DebtRestructuring #Eurobond #financeUkraine #SerhiyMarchenko #UkraineBond #UkraineBudget
These are the main trends in Ukraine’s bank deposits. According to financiers, the decreasing yields on hryvnia deposits will continue until the end of May. However, despite this, hryvnia deposits remain attractive to citizens due to their passive income... #financeUkraine #ForeignCurrencyDeposits #HryvniaDeposits #nbu
Ukraine’s bond market: Investors focus on longer maturities. Last week, investors’ interest in UAH bonds with longer maturities sharply increased as they tried to lock in current YTMs for longer. Taking advantage of the high demand, the Ministry of Financ... #BondMarketUkraine #BondSalesUkraine #financeUkraine #investments #UkraineBond #UkraineMonetaryPolicy
The deposit yield for businesses and individuals in Ukraine has fallen. According to the Banking Sector Survey for the first quarter, banks reduced deposit rates for both commercial and consumer loans. The national bank notes that since the beginning of the year, the disc... #BankDepositsinUkraine #DiscountRateUkraine #financeUkraine #nbu #UkraineDeposits #UkrainianBanks
Piraeus Bank Executive: Ukraine’s banking system has shown outstanding resiliency, and international businesses should take note. The Ukrainian Banking Day in London gathered 150 finance executives from all over the world to listen to their colleagues who work in Ukraine and share their views on the financial sector’s cur... #financeUkraine #IoannisKyriakopoulos #nbu #PiraeusBank #UkraineBankingSystem #YannisKyriakopoulos
What does the NBU think about the new easing of currency restrictions and the return of currency extortion? NBU Chairman Andriy Pyshnyi said: “Our decisions are fully in line with our declared strategy of easing currency restrictions, transitioning to greater exchange rate flexibility and returning to... #AndriiPyshnyi #CurrencyLiberalization #CurrencyMarket #CurrencyRestrictions #financeUkraine #nbu
The NBU has introduced its largest package of measures to ease FX restrictions. Most changes came into effect on May 4, but the ability to repatriate new dividends will begin on May 13, 2024. It is emphasized that these changes aim to improve the conditions for conducting busines... #AndriiPyshnyi #CurrencyLiberalization #CurrencyMarket #financeUkraine #nbu
The National Bank has indicated the presence of prerequisites for further reduction of the key policy rate. The NBU sees room for further discount rate reduction after its reduction to 13.5% on April 26, 2024. The condition for the next step is the preservation of favorable macro-financial trends. In partic... #DepositsinUkraineBanks #financeUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #ukrainebonds
The first stage of currency liberalization announced by the National Bank will cost Ukraine $5.5B. However, the NBU says it will significantly expand business opportunities, improve the conditions for attracting investment and private capital participation in reconstruction, and, as a result, posit... #AndriiPyshnyi #CurrencyLiberalization #financeUkraine #internationalReserves #nbu
The devaluation of the national currency against the dollar will continue in 2024. According to analysis from the ICU: “Given the NBU’s desire for devaluation and increased exchange rate volatility, we have revised the year-end exchange rate forecast to ₴42.3 per $1 comp... #CurrencyLiberalization #financeUkraine #foreignexchangemarket #Hryvnia #hryvniadevaluation #nbu
The NBU is considering lifting restrictions on currency withdrawals to service old debts. The head of the NBU, Andriy Pyshnyi, said: “Currently, we see the presence of sufficient prerequisites for continuing the process of currency liberalization following the strategy approved as pa... #AndriiPyshnyi #CurrencyLiberalization #CurrencyRestrictions #financeUkraine #nbu
Bank of America believes that Ukrainian dollar bonds have growth potential. Strategists at BofA Securities, an American multinational investment banking division under the auspices of Bank of America, believe that Ukrainian dollar bonds show significant growth potential. Mean... #BankOfAmerica #CurrencyBond #DebtRestructuring #financeUkraine #UkraineBond #UkraineEconomy
Ukrainian banks expect an increase in lending and an increase in portfolio quality. Banks expect an increase in consumer and commercial lending volume over the next 12 months, and for the first time since the end of 2021, they forecast an increase in loan portfolio quality, the NBU r... #ConsumerLending #CreditPortfolio #financeUkraine #Lending #MortgagesUkraine #nbu #UkrainianBanks
Ukraine will propose a $20B debt restructuring plan by May. Ukraine has prepared a $20B debt restructuring plan for private bondholders and plans to present it by the beginning of May. It is noted that it is critical for Ukraine to conclude a debt restructurin... #DebtRestructuring #DebtSecurities #financeUkraine #UkraineBond #ukrainedebt #UkraineSecurities
Ukraine’s hard currency bonds extended their losses after the US House of Representatives approved the financial and military aid package. According to Bloomberg, Ukrainian currency bonds initially jumped after the US House of Representatives approved a financial and military aid package worth nearly $61B. However, positive sentiment ero... #BondSalesUkraine #CurrencyBond #DebtRestructuring #financeUkraine #financialaidforUkraine #UkraineBond
Ukrainians have begun to borrow money more actively and increase their deposits, but experts predict a rate decrease. The head of the Finance Committee, Danylo Hetmantsev, commenting on NBU data, notes that lending increased slightly in March but generally stagnated. The balance of hryvnia loans granted to businesses... #BankDepositsinUkraine #CreditPortfolio #DanyloHetmantsev #financeUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkrainianBanks
Experts confirm the recovery of consumer lending in Ukraine. According to the NBU, as of March 1, 2024 the portfolio of bank loans to individuals amounted to ₴230.9B, 12.1% more than on the same date last year. For comparison, as of March 1, 2022, customer debt... #ConsumerLending #financeUkraine #FinancialBroker #LendingInUkraine #nbu #Rozetka
Bankers predict a yield decrease for hryvnia deposits at the end of April. At the beginning of April, rates on hryvnia deposits will remain stable. However, from the second half of the month, we should expect a slight drop in profitability, said Dmytro Zamotayev, director of... #BankDepositsinUkraine #DmytroZamotaev #financeUkraine #GlobusBank #HryvniaDeposits
Demand for microcredit grew by 50% last year but failed to reach pre-war levels. Last year, Ukrainians signed more than 8.2 million microcredit contracts for a total amount of ₴40.62B, Opendatabot reports. “However, it is too early to claim that Ukrainians have become impove... #financeUkraine #MicroCrediting #Microloan
Following the discount rate decrease, Ukrainian bonds’ yield fell as well. At the first auction, after the NBU decided to lower the discount rate, the Ministry of Finance lowered rates for OVDP by 20-30 basis points. The secondary market also reacted by lowering rates for hr... #financeUkraine #imf #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #OVDPselling #UkraineBond #ukrainedebt
The key policy rate in Ukraine may drop to 11-12% by the end of the year. Some members of the Monetary Policy Committee of the National Bank have not ruled out a lowering of the key policy rate to 11%–12% this year. This rate will be consistent with expected moderate inflat... #CurrencyLiberalization #financeUkraine #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine is unable to pay its bond owners $4.5B, so it is starting debt restructuring negotiations. Beginning in August, Ukraine must pay Eurobond holders $4.5B to service its debt. In 2024, Ukraine is scheduled to pay $910M that will be applied to the principle and $3.61B in interest. However, this... #DanyloHetmantsev #DebtRestructuring #financeUkraine #ukrainebonds #UkraineBudget #Єврооблігації
In February, hryvnia bonds were 50% more profitable than bank deposits. According to the Ministry of Finance, last month the weighted average yield of hryvnia government bonds amounted to 17.32%, while the Ukrainian rate index for consumer deposits was only 11.34%. The an... #BankDepositsinUkraine #financeUkraine #HryvniaDeposits #UkraineBond
The key rate in Ukraine has again decreased to 14.5%, and the National Bank predicts further weakening. The National Bank’s board has decided to reduce the discount rate by 0.5 percentage point to 14.5% beginning March 15. In addition, the NBU reported that the rates on three-month deposit certificates ... #AndriiPyshnyi #BankDepositsinUkraine #financeUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy
Ukrainians have increased bank deposits by 14%; the majority trust the banking system despite turbulence. From February 2023 to February 2024, the volume of funds in consumer bank accounts increased by 14% (by ₴133B) thanks to hryvnia funds, said the top manager of the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of U... #BankDepositsinUkraine #DmytroGlinskyi #financeUkraine #UkraineBankingSector
Moody’s updated its forecast for the largest Ukrainian banks. International rating agency Moody’s confirmed the long-term and short-term ratings of Privatbank, Oschadbank, Ukreximbank, Raiffeisen Bank, Taskombank, Vostok and Pivdenny banks in hryvnia and f... #financeUkraine #Moodys #oschadbank #PrivatBank #RaiffeisenBank #UkrainianBanks
Bankers predict a decrease in the share of NPLs in 2024. More than a third of loans issued by Ukrainian banks, or 37.4%, have been overdue for more than 90 days. Experts are convinced that in 2024, the share of NPLs in Ukraine’s banking system will decrease... #BankLoans #financeUkraine #GlobusBank #NPL #UkrainianBanks #UNEXbank
