Ukraine’s bond market: Investors focus on longer maturities. Last week, investors’ interest in UAH bonds with longer maturities sharply increased as they tried to lock in current YTMs for longer. Taking advantage of the high demand, the Ministry of Financ... #BondMarketUkraine #BondSalesUkraine #financeUkraine #investments #UkraineBond #UkraineMonetaryPolicy
The deposit yield for businesses and individuals in Ukraine has fallen. According to the Banking Sector Survey for the first quarter, banks reduced deposit rates for both commercial and consumer loans. The national bank notes that since the beginning of the year, the disc... #BankDepositsinUkraine #DiscountRateUkraine #financeUkraine #nbu #UkraineDeposits #UkrainianBanks
Piraeus Bank Executive: Ukraine’s banking system has shown outstanding resiliency, and international businesses should take note. The Ukrainian Banking Day in London gathered 150 finance executives from all over the world to listen to their colleagues who work in Ukraine and share their views on the financial sector’s cur... #financeUkraine #IoannisKyriakopoulos #nbu #PiraeusBank #UkraineBankingSystem #YannisKyriakopoulos
What does the NBU think about the new easing of currency restrictions and the return of currency extortion? NBU Chairman Andriy Pyshnyi said: “Our decisions are fully in line with our declared strategy of easing currency restrictions, transitioning to greater exchange rate flexibility and returning to... #AndriiPyshnyi #CurrencyLiberalization #CurrencyMarket #CurrencyRestrictions #financeUkraine #nbu
The NBU has introduced its largest package of measures to ease FX restrictions. Most changes came into effect on May 4, but the ability to repatriate new dividends will begin on May 13, 2024. It is emphasized that these changes aim to improve the conditions for conducting busines... #AndriiPyshnyi #CurrencyLiberalization #CurrencyMarket #financeUkraine #nbu
The National Bank has indicated the presence of prerequisites for further reduction of the key policy rate. The NBU sees room for further discount rate reduction after its reduction to 13.5% on April 26, 2024. The condition for the next step is the preservation of favorable macro-financial trends. In partic... #DepositsinUkraineBanks #financeUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #ukrainebonds
The first stage of currency liberalization announced by the National Bank will cost Ukraine $5.5B. However, the NBU says it will significantly expand business opportunities, improve the conditions for attracting investment and private capital participation in reconstruction, and, as a result, posit... #AndriiPyshnyi #CurrencyLiberalization #financeUkraine #internationalReserves #nbu
The devaluation of the national currency against the dollar will continue in 2024. According to analysis from the ICU: “Given the NBU’s desire for devaluation and increased exchange rate volatility, we have revised the year-end exchange rate forecast to ₴42.3 per $1 comp... #CurrencyLiberalization #financeUkraine #foreignexchangemarket #Hryvnia #hryvniadevaluation #nbu
The NBU is considering lifting restrictions on currency withdrawals to service old debts. The head of the NBU, Andriy Pyshnyi, said: “Currently, we see the presence of sufficient prerequisites for continuing the process of currency liberalization following the strategy approved as pa... #AndriiPyshnyi #CurrencyLiberalization #CurrencyRestrictions #financeUkraine #nbu
Bank of America believes that Ukrainian dollar bonds have growth potential. Strategists at BofA Securities, an American multinational investment banking division under the auspices of Bank of America, believe that Ukrainian dollar bonds show significant growth potential. Mean... #BankOfAmerica #CurrencyBond #DebtRestructuring #financeUkraine #UkraineBond #UkraineEconomy
Ukrainian banks expect an increase in lending and an increase in portfolio quality. Banks expect an increase in consumer and commercial lending volume over the next 12 months, and for the first time since the end of 2021, they forecast an increase in loan portfolio quality, the NBU r... #ConsumerLending #CreditPortfolio #financeUkraine #Lending #MortgagesUkraine #nbu #UkrainianBanks
Ukraine will propose a $20B debt restructuring plan by May. Ukraine has prepared a $20B debt restructuring plan for private bondholders and plans to present it by the beginning of May. It is noted that it is critical for Ukraine to conclude a debt restructurin... #DebtRestructuring #DebtSecurities #financeUkraine #UkraineBond #ukrainedebt #UkraineSecurities
Ukraine’s hard currency bonds extended their losses after the US House of Representatives approved the financial and military aid package. According to Bloomberg, Ukrainian currency bonds initially jumped after the US House of Representatives approved a financial and military aid package worth nearly $61B. However, positive sentiment ero... #BondSalesUkraine #CurrencyBond #DebtRestructuring #financeUkraine #financialaidforUkraine #UkraineBond
Ukrainians have begun to borrow money more actively and increase their deposits, but experts predict a rate decrease. The head of the Finance Committee, Danylo Hetmantsev, commenting on NBU data, notes that lending increased slightly in March but generally stagnated. The balance of hryvnia loans granted to businesses... #BankDepositsinUkraine #CreditPortfolio #DanyloHetmantsev #financeUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkrainianBanks
Experts confirm the recovery of consumer lending in Ukraine. According to the NBU, as of March 1, 2024 the portfolio of bank loans to individuals amounted to ₴230.9B, 12.1% more than on the same date last year. For comparison, as of March 1, 2022, customer debt... #ConsumerLending #financeUkraine #FinancialBroker #LendingInUkraine #nbu #Rozetka
Bankers predict a yield decrease for hryvnia deposits at the end of April. At the beginning of April, rates on hryvnia deposits will remain stable. However, from the second half of the month, we should expect a slight drop in profitability, said Dmytro Zamotayev, director of... #BankDepositsinUkraine #DmytroZamotaev #financeUkraine #GlobusBank #HryvniaDeposits
Demand for microcredit grew by 50% last year but failed to reach pre-war levels. Last year, Ukrainians signed more than 8.2 million microcredit contracts for a total amount of ₴40.62B, Opendatabot reports. “However, it is too early to claim that Ukrainians have become impove... #financeUkraine #MicroCrediting #Microloan
Following the discount rate decrease, Ukrainian bonds’ yield fell as well. At the first auction, after the NBU decided to lower the discount rate, the Ministry of Finance lowered rates for OVDP by 20-30 basis points. The secondary market also reacted by lowering rates for hr... #financeUkraine #imf #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #OVDPselling #UkraineBond #ukrainedebt
The key policy rate in Ukraine may drop to 11-12% by the end of the year. Some members of the Monetary Policy Committee of the National Bank have not ruled out a lowering of the key policy rate to 11%–12% this year. This rate will be consistent with expected moderate inflat... #CurrencyLiberalization #financeUkraine #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine is unable to pay its bond owners $4.5B, so it is starting debt restructuring negotiations. Beginning in August, Ukraine must pay Eurobond holders $4.5B to service its debt. In 2024, Ukraine is scheduled to pay $910M that will be applied to the principle and $3.61B in interest. However, this... #DanyloHetmantsev #DebtRestructuring #financeUkraine #ukrainebonds #UkraineBudget #Єврооблігації
In February, hryvnia bonds were 50% more profitable than bank deposits. According to the Ministry of Finance, last month the weighted average yield of hryvnia government bonds amounted to 17.32%, while the Ukrainian rate index for consumer deposits was only 11.34%. The an... #BankDepositsinUkraine #financeUkraine #HryvniaDeposits #UkraineBond
The key rate in Ukraine has again decreased to 14.5%, and the National Bank predicts further weakening. The National Bank’s board has decided to reduce the discount rate by 0.5 percentage point to 14.5% beginning March 15. In addition, the NBU reported that the rates on three-month deposit certificates ... #AndriiPyshnyi #BankDepositsinUkraine #financeUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy
Ukrainians have increased bank deposits by 14%; the majority trust the banking system despite turbulence. From February 2023 to February 2024, the volume of funds in consumer bank accounts increased by 14% (by ₴133B) thanks to hryvnia funds, said the top manager of the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of U... #BankDepositsinUkraine #DmytroGlinskyi #financeUkraine #UkraineBankingSector
Moody’s updated its forecast for the largest Ukrainian banks. International rating agency Moody’s confirmed the long-term and short-term ratings of Privatbank, Oschadbank, Ukreximbank, Raiffeisen Bank, Taskombank, Vostok and Pivdenny banks in hryvnia and f... #financeUkraine #Moodys #oschadbank #PrivatBank #RaiffeisenBank #UkrainianBanks
Bankers predict a decrease in the share of NPLs in 2024. More than a third of loans issued by Ukrainian banks, or 37.4%, have been overdue for more than 90 days. Experts are convinced that in 2024, the share of NPLs in Ukraine’s banking system will decrease... #BankLoans #financeUkraine #GlobusBank #NPL #UkrainianBanks #UNEXbank
Bankers are predicting an increase in the yield of hryvnia deposits in Ukraine. In March, the rates on stock hryvnia deposits, depending on the term of placement of funds, may reach 17% per annum, predicts the top manager of Globus Bank, Dmytro Zamotaev. He specified that until t... #financeUkraine #GlobusBank #HryvniaDeposits #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkrainianBanks
How many Ukrainians use microcredit, and how often? The services of microfinance organizations are used by about 13% of the adult population of Ukraine. In comparison, the share of borrowers who took a loan to meet their daily needs while waiting for t... #financeUkraine #MicroCrediting #MicroFinanceUkraine
Banks’ profit in January increased by 14%, analysts explained why. In January 2024, Ukrainian banks produced ₴16.7B in net profit, ₴2.068B or 14% more than in January 2023. Net profit increased despite the increase in the tax rate: In January 2023, banks paid 18% tax... #financeUkraine #TaxesUkraine #UkraineBanksProfits #UkrainianBanks
The currency deficit in Ukraine has increased by 100%. The hryvnia fell to record-low levels but later stabilized. Last week, the National Bank increased the sale of dollars from reserves in connection with the growing currency deficit. The dollar rate in... #CurrencyMarket #CurrencySale #financeUkraine #hryvniaexchangerate #nbu
Ukrainian businesses increased the volume of soft loans by 34% over the year. The total volume of loans granted under the Affordable Loans 5-7-9% program increased by 2% in the fourth quarter of 2023 and by 34% for the entire year, according to the Banking Sector Review for Feb... #5-7-9loanprogram #AffordableLoans #CreditPortfolio #financeUkraine #LoansUkraine #nbu
Last year, banks in Ukraine earned 100% more than before the beginning of the war and almost completely paid off their refinancing debts. In 2023, Ukrainian banks produced almost ₴160B in pre-tax profit, 100% more than before the start of the full-scale invasion. Banks will have to pay a tax of half their total profit – more than ... #financeUkraine #nbu #TaxesUkraine #UkraineBanksProfits #UkrainianBanks
During the war, the exodus of foreign exchange from Ukraine increased by 100%. The NBU plans to gradually abolish currency restrictions, but at the same time, asks businesses to return foreign exchange revenues on time and in full and avoid fictitious import schemes, said NBU Ch... #AndriiPyshnyi #CurrencyMarket #CurrencyRestrictions #financeUkraine #nbu
Ukrainians have begun withdrawing money from banks, and the volume of deposits decreased for the first time in a year and a half. Consumer deposits in Ukrainian banks decreased by 2.1% to ₴2.35T in January of this year. A decline was recorded for the first time since August 2022. According to the NBU, household deposits decrease... #DanyloHetmantsev #financeUkraine #HryvniaDeposits #nbu #UkraineDeposits
Bank loans for Ukrainians are becoming more expensive, but the profitability of deposits is decreasing. According to the NBU, the national currency’s average interest rates on new consumer loans in January 2024 amounted to 34.6% per annum. The hryvnia’s nominated loan rates increased by 0.9 ... #BankDepositsinUkraine #BankLoans #CreditPortfolio #financeUkraine #HryvniaDeposits #nbu
Ukraine has increased its budget revenues, but the deficit reaches 34% of all revenues. From January 1 to February 8, budget revenues increased by 26.9% compared to last year, the NBU reported. Without international financial aid, they increased by 60% due to a 70% increase in tax revenu... #BudgetDeficit #financeUkraine #nbu #TaxesUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineBudgetRevenue #UkraineEconomy
Over the past year, the share of NPL loans in the banking system decreased to 37.4%. As noted by the NBU, this is 0.8 percentage points below the January 1, 2023, indicator. The volume of NPL decreased by ₴9.7B for the year to ₴422.4B. The regulator explained that the key factor in re... #financeUkraine #LoanPortfolio #nbu #NPL #NPLukraine #UkraineBankingSystem
Credit rating agency Fitch Ratings has assessed Ukraine’s banking sector. Ukraine’s banking sector has demonstrated considerable resilience during the war, aided by supportive monetary policy and lenient regulation, Fitch Ratings notes. “We expect the main lendi... #CreditRatingUkraine #financeUkraine #FitchRatings #UkraineBankingSector #UkraineEconomy
The NBU is preparing for the second stage of currency policy liberalization. The head of the National Bank, Andriy Pyshnyi, said at a meeting with businesses: “The NBU is determined to continue currency liberalization despite all the challenges posed by the war. We will ... #AndriiPyshnyi #CurrencyLiberalization #financeUkraine #nbu #Ukrsibbank #YuriGeletiy
The NBU predicts a further decrease in the key policy rate. Most of the members of the Monetary Policy Committee of the National Bank predict a reduction of the discount rate to 14% by the end of the year. They believe that the NBU can return to lowering the d... #financeUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy #UkraineMonetaryPolicy
The NBU explains why the hryvnia strengthened at the beginning of the year. In January 2024, the situation on Ukraine’s foreign exchange market gradually improved, recovering amidst the fading effects of significant budget expenditures at the end of the year, explained NBU De... #AndriiPyshnyi #financeUkraine #Hryvnia #hryvniaexchangerate #nbu #UkraineEconomy #YuriGeletiy
The banking sector expects loan portfolios to grow during the year. According to the results of a quarterly NBU survey on lending conditions, improvement in the main indicators continues to be observed – most respondents expect an increase in lending to enterpri... #financeUkraine #LoanPortfolio #LoansUkraine #MortgagesUkraine #nbu
Eurobond prices are up amid lingering uncertainty about US aid. According to ICU, Ukrainian Eurobond prices rose last week in response to the anticipated approval of the EU aid package for Ukraine, while assistance from the US is still uncertain. Last Tuesday ende... #EFFprogram #financeUkraine #financialaidforUkraine #UkraineSecurities #Єврооблігації
Ukraine is preparing for the second stage of currency liberalization. The head of the National Bank, Andriy Pyshnyi, specified that he foresees an easing of trade financing and the possibility of paying interest on the obligations of Ukrainian issuers. At the same time,... #AndriiPyshnyi #CurrencyLiberalization #financeUkraine #ICC #nbu #VolodymyrShchelkunov
The NBU decides to keep its key policy rate at 15%. Thus, the National Bank has suspended the cycle of lowering the discount rate, which began in July last year, NBU Chairman Andriy Pyshnyi said. As he noted, the decision is consistent with the need to... #AndriiPyshnyi #financeUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu
The Ministry of Finance raises ₴2.5B less from the sale of government bonds than a week earlier. At primary auctions on January 23, the agency placed OVDP in the amount of ₴6B, a week earlier, it was ₴8.51B. ₴289.33M was received from the sale of annual bonds at 16.8% per annum, ₴1.64B from bonds... #financeUkraine #OVDPselling #UkraineBond
Experts have recognized the “harm” of currency restrictions in Ukraine for economic recovery. Currency restrictions made sense at the beginning of the war in order to maintain economic stability, but now these restrictions only hold back the development of the economy and the attraction of pot... #CurrencyRestrictions #financeUkraine #InvestmentsinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
The Ministry of Finance received ₴552B from the sale of bonds; Ukrainians have doubled their investments in OVDP. Since the beginning of martial law, it has been possible to attract more than ₴1.2T to the state budget by issuing OVDP bonds. The government raised ₴552.6B ($14.5B) in 2023. The Ministry of Finance n... #Bondssale #financeUkraine #nbu #OVDPselling #UkraineBond
The National Bank predicts that loans will become cheaper. After the discount rate’s reduction to 15% in December, loans in Ukraine are likely to become cheaper, according to Deputy Chairman of the NBU Serhiy Nikolaychuk. As he explained, loan rates depend ma... #financeUkraine #LoansUkraine #nbu #SerhiiNikolaychuk #UkraineDeposits
In Ukraine, the yield on deposits has increased, but loans have become more expensive. In December 2023, the average bank interest rate on new consumer hryvnia deposits amounted to 11.7% per annum. A year ago, the figure was 8.2%, NBU data shows. Rates on new consumer deposits in forei... #BankDepositsinUkraine #financeUkraine #HryvniaDeposits #LoansUkraine #nbu
ICU analysts provide a forecast for OVDP rates for the next six months. In the coming months, there will be no noticeable reduction in the rates for OVDP because this trend has already played out in the second half of 2023 in response to the gradual decrease in the NBU di... #BondsUkraine #financeUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #OVDPselling
