Ukraine will need $300B in investment for its post-war recovery. According to a KSE report, Ukraine’s GDP is projected to grow by about 3% in 2025, and after the war ends in 2026-2027, the growth rate is expected to accelerate. One critically important factor in ma... #financialaidforUkraine #InvestmentsinUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineRecovery
The IMF recommends increasing several tax rates to satisfy Ukraine’s 2026 state budget. At the 2025 Spring Meetings in Washington, the IMF provided Ukrainian government officials with various recommendations on addressing the state budget for 2026. It is noted that representatives from U... #DanyloHetmantsev #imf #TaxesUkraine #TaxIncrease #UkraineBudget #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine’s national debt has reached another historic high of nearly $172B. According to the Ministry of Finance, Ukraine’s total public (direct and guaranteed) debt increased by 1.56%, or $2.64B, in March, totaling $171.73B compared to the previous month. Direct extern... #GDPinUkraine #imf #UkraineBudget #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomy
Nearly 50% of Ukrainian retail operates in the shadows. The extent of shadow activity in Ukrainian retail trade has reached a critical level: According to various estimates, up to 45% of all retail transactions may take place outside of Ukraine’s tax... #retailUkraine #TaxesUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineEconomy #UkraineShadowEconomy
Ukraine’s privatization revenue in 2024 near a record ₴12B. The total amount of revenue from large and small privatizations may reach almost ₴12B ($292M) after the completion of all of 2024’s transactions, the Ministry of Economy reports. According to th... #Aeroc #HotelUkraina #investments #PrivatizationUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineEconomy #UMCC #YuliyaSvyridenko
Even under a baseline scenario, Ukraine’s public debt will exceed 100% of GDP. Ukraine’s public debt is already approaching 100% of GDP, and financing needs for recovery are currently around $600B. Even under the baseline scenario, the peak value of public debt is 103.9% of GDP,... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineBudget #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The NBU has improved its forecast for Ukraine’s international aid for the coming years. According to the NBU, Ukraine is expected to receive about $42B in international financing for 2024, $38B in 2025, and $25B in 2026. By the end of 2024, Ukraine will receive $4.8B under the SPUR progr... #financialaidforUkraine #G7 #nbu #SupportUkraine #UkraineBudget #worldbank
Ukraine plans to reserve part of the $50B G7 loan for its financial needs after 2025. The G7 initiative for Ukraine that will provide $50B secured by revenues from frozen Russian assets eliminates the state budget deficit for 2025. However, the government plans to keep part of these fu... #DenysShmyhal #G7 #imf #LoanForUkraine #RussianAssetsProfits #UkraineBudget #UkraineFacility
Ukraine has introduced a new regulation of the export of grain, honey, and nuts to combat the shadow economy. The Cabinet of Ministers introduced an export support regime for operations involved with exporting certain agricultural goods during martial law in Ukraine. This regime will establish minimum export ... #agroexportukraine #agroUkraine #TarasKachka #UkraineBudget #UkraineShadowEconomy
Over the last two years, small-scale privatization has replenished the Ukrainian budget by almost ₴10B. In the two years since the restoration of small-scale privatization, the State Property Fund has held 839 successful online auctions, which have provided ₴6.65B in direct revenue to Ukraine. As specif... #kyiv #Odesa #PrivatizationUkraine #SPFU #UkraineBudget #Львів
In 2025, Ukraine risks losing 50% of its aid from foreign partners. According to the Kiel Institute of World Economy, “Ukraine is going through uncertain times regarding further support from Western allies. A Donald Trump US presidency or the use of new lending ... #DonaldTrump #financialaidforUkraine #MilitaryAidforUkraine #SupportUkraine #UkraineBudget
The final adoption of a bill raising taxes may negatively affect the economy: Businesses offer an alternative. The current version of the draft law provides for an increase in the military tax from 1.5% to 5%, a 50% tax on bank profits in 2024, and 25% for non-bank financial institutions. The bill foresees add... #ReformsinUkraine #ShadowEconomy #TaxesinUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineBudgetDeficit #UkraineEconomy
The IMF will decide on the next tranche for Ukraine in the coming weeks but keeps insisting on mobilizing domestic revenues for critical expenses. The IMF Executive Board plans to consider the issue of approving the results of the EFF program’s fifth revision and the allocation of the next tranche to Ukraine within a few weeks, IMF spokesw... #imf #JulieKozack #TaxesUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineBudgetDeficit
Ukraine completed its $20.5B Eurobond restructuring, reducing the national debt by $9B. The restructuring process included the exchange of 13 series of government Eurobonds and one series of state-guaranteed Ukravtodor Eurobonds worth about $20.5B, approximately $24B including capitalize... #DebtRestructuring #Eurobond #UkraineBudget #ukrainedebt #ukravtodor
The IMF pushes Ukraine to raise taxes and depreciate the hryvnia, with $1.1B in new financial aid at stake. Ukrainian officials expect the IMF this week to push the country toward faster currency devaluation, lower interest rates, and to increase tax collection efforts to close the country’s budget de... #BudgetDeficit #financeUkraine #hryvniadevaluation #imf #nbu #UkraineBudget
In August, the Ukrainian budget received $8.4B in external support, and 65% of the funds do not have to be repaid. In August, the state budget’s general fund received about $8.4B in external financing. As noted by the Ministry of Finance, $5.5B comprised grants (65%), and $2.9B arrived through preferential f... #AidforUkraine #financialaidforUkraine #UkraineBudget
Ukraine is increasing its national debt, but its value has decreased by 10.3% since the beginning of the year. As of June 30, the state and state-guaranteed debt of Ukraine amounted to ₴6.16T ($152.2B), including external debt – ₴4.45T ($109.9B), internal debt – ₴1.71T ($42.2B), the Ministry of Finance s... #Creditors #DebtRestructuring #InternationalAid #UkraineBudget #ukrainedebt
The Ministry of Finance links the multibillion-dollar hole in the budget to delayed aid from the US and calls on the G7 to provide Ukraine with a $50B loan. Finance Minister Serhiy Marchenko has called on Ukraine’s Western allies to accelerate the $50B loan to Ukraine, arguing that delays in arms deliveries have led to a growing budget deficit, forc... #Creditors #G7 #imf #LoanForUkraine #RussianAssetsProfits #SerhiyMarchenko #UkraineBudget #UkraineBudgetDeficit
Ukraine needs to reduce the size of its shadow economy to continue receiving help from Western partners. As FT writes, Ukrainian authorities are trying to improve the country’s financial condition by implementing several scenarios simultaneously, which can be called a mixture of debt restructuring,... #AmChamUkraine #ForeignInvestor #ReformsinUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineEconomy #UkraineShadowEconomy
What threats does the reduction of international financial aid to $21.1B in 2026 pose to Ukraine? The NBU’s basic scenario envisages the preservation of significant volumes of external financing for Ukraine, which, however, will slowly decrease as Ukraine’s ability to fund its budget e... #financialaidforUkraine #LoanForUkraine #nbu #RussianAssetsProfits #SupportUkraine #UkraineBudget
Given the war’s continuation, Ukraine will need up to $15B in additional funding next year. According to Finance Minister Serhiy Marchenko, Ukraine and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimate the country’s additional financial need for 2025 from Western partners at between $12B ... #imf #MilitaryLevy #SerhiyMarchenko #TaxesUkraine #UkraineBudget
The Ministry of Finance is ready for a compromise with the parliament regarding tax increases. According to Minister of Finance Serhii Marchenko, this strictly depends on the how the parliament plans to secure an additional ₴120B in revenue by the end of 2024. The Ministry of Finance has propos... #MilitaryLevy #PennyPritzker #SerhiyMarchenko #TaxesUkraine #UkraineBudget
Where will Ukraine spend the $2.2B tranche recently received from the IMF? This is part of the funds provided by the $16B Extended Fund Facility (EFF) program. Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal said this will help the government finance critical budget expenditures, social assist... #DenysShmyhal #EFFprogram #financialaidforUkraine #imf #ReformsinUkraine #UkraineBudget
The Ukrainian government predicts a reduction in the gap between exports and imports in the next three years. In 2025-2027, Ukraine is expected to accelerate the growth of its export of goods and services against moderate growth rates in imports. This should reduce the negative trade balance of goods and serv... #UkraineBudget #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport #UkraineImport #UkraineTrade #Ukrainetradedeficit
Ukrainian eurobonds drop in value following creditors’ refusal to write part of the debt off. The value of Ukrainian Eurobonds fell during trading on June 17, showing one of the worst performances for emerging markets. The country’s eurobonds weakened across the curve, with bonds maturin... #DebtRestructuring #Eurobond #financeUkraine #SerhiyMarchenko #UkraineBond #UkraineBudget
The G7 officially announced a $50B loan secured by Russian assets for Ukraine. Following the summit, the G7 leaders adopted a declaration outlining the details of the mechanism through which Ukraine will receive up to $50B in aid secured by frozen Russian assets. The leaders of ... #G7 #LoansForUkraine #ReparationsForUkraine #RussianAssetsProfits #SerhiyMarchenko #UkraineBudget
Ukraine is unable to pay its bond owners $4.5B, so it is starting debt restructuring negotiations. Beginning in August, Ukraine must pay Eurobond holders $4.5B to service its debt. In 2024, Ukraine is scheduled to pay $910M that will be applied to the principle and $3.61B in interest. However, this... #DanyloHetmantsev #DebtRestructuring #financeUkraine #ukrainebonds #UkraineBudget #Єврооблігації
S&P Global Ratings expects that Ukraine will receive the entire volume of international financial assistance in 2024. In the coming years, support will remain for Ukraine from the international community, but the amount may be lower. The Ukrainian government expects to receive $38B from all donors in 2024, including ... #financialaidforUkraine #StandartandPoor #SupportUkraine #UkraineBudget #USaidforUkraine
ICU analysts explain what exactly ensured the growth of Ukraine’s economy by 5% last year. Ukrainian GDP growth of almost 5% resulted from stabilization following the previous year’s drop of 29.1%, ICU group analyst Vitaly Vavryshchuk said. “Additional investments or infrastructure pr... #BlackSeaCorridor #financialaidforUkraine #ICU #UkraineBudget #UkraineEconomy #VitalyVavryshchuk
The NBU is considering additional taxation of non-critical imports. In response to the risk of reduced international support, through which a high foreign trade deficit is being financed during wartime conditions, it is worth considering the possibility of limiting no... #nbu #SerhiiNikolaychuk #UkraineBudget #UkraineImport #UkraineTrade #Ukrainetradedeficit
Ukraine takes a risk with tax collection rates higher than the pre-war period. Tax and interest deductions from the economy for 2022-2023 in Ukraine doubled. For example, tax revenues to the consolidated budget have increased by 110% over the past two years, thanks mainly to rev... #BohdanDanylyshyn #TaxesUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineEconomy
Last year, the budget received more than ₴1.2 trillion in tax revenues. According to the State Tax Service, income (balance) to the consolidated budget in 2023 from taxes will amount to ₴1.213T. The Ministry of Finance of Ukraine’s budget indicators for the collected reve... #financeUkraine #TaxesinUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineBudgetRevenue
The IMF supports a moratorium on Ukraine’s national debt payment until 2027. To that end, the restructuring will be carried out by the middle of 2024, said the head of the IMF mission in Ukraine, Gavin Gray. “An ambitious external commercial debt restructuring should be ... #DebtRestructuring #GavinGray #imf #UkraineBudget #ukrainedebt
Ukraine strives to solve its financing problems, but there are risks. Kyiv plans to cover its budget deficit primarily through more than $40B in external financing next year. At the same time, more than two-thirds of this amount has not yet been confirmed. Therefore, Uk... #CurrencyRestrictions #financeUkraine #nbu #UkraineBudget #UkraineBudgetDeficit
The Fitch agency is convinced that international financial support for Ukraine will not weaken in 2024. International agency Fitch Ratings expects that international aid to Ukraine for 2024 will be only slightly lower than the amount forecasted for 2023, $43B, despite the political risks associated with... #DragonCapital #EFFprogram #financialaidforUkraine #FitchRatings #UkraineBudget #UkraineFacility
The receipt of international aid lags behind the needs of the Ukrainian budget. The head of a specialized parliament committee, Danylo Hetmantsev reported that $37.43B was received from international partners to finance state budget expenditures this year, including $2B in Novemb... #DanyloHetmantsev #financialaidforUkraine #SupportUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineBudgetDeficit
Ukraine’s state debt risks exceeding ₴5 trillion and will amount to 90% of GDP. As of October 31, Ukraine’s state and state-guaranteed debt amounted to ₴4.96T. According to November’s results, the national debt will probably exceed the ₴5T mark, having increased by ₴2.3T (+... #DanyloHetmantsev #GDPinUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineEconomy #UkraineStateDebt
The World Bank supplies$400M for the Ukrainian budget, and the EBRD provides €200M for gas purchases. The state budget of Ukraine received a $400M loan under Great Britain’s guarantee through the World Bank Trust Fund. The funds are part of the fifth financing round of the PEACE in Ukraine project. Th... #ebrd #LoansForUkraine #Naftogaz #PeaceInUkraine #UkraineBudget #worldbank
Processing enterprises paid the most taxes for 10 months of the year. According to Ukraine’s Tax Service, such enterprises paid 18% of the total tax to the Consolidated Budget of Ukraine. Also, significant tax contributions were provided by: Wholesale and retail t... #ProcessingPlantUkraine #TaxesUkraine #UkraineBudget
The EU is looking for ways to finance the Ukrainian budget deficit next year, and Ukraine is expecting to receive more than $30B in funding. The EC is considering all possible options to finance and support Ukraine but hopes that the EU Council will approve the Ukrainian Fund, which will provide funds to Kyiv from 2024 to 2027, said Execut... #BudgetDeficit #DenysShmyhal #UkraineBudget #ValdisDombrovskis
The Ukrainian Treasury lost ₴45M in the first month after introducing a flexible exchange rate. The State Treasury’s hryvnia revenues from the sale of foreign currency following the abolition of the fixed dollar exchange rate were ₴45.18M less than they could have been if the exchange rate had r... #CurrencySale #dollarexchangerate #financeUkraine #UkraineBudget
The White House is asking Congress to approve nearly $12B in Ukrainian budget aid. US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, Secretary of State Antony Blinken, and Director of the US Agency for International Development Samantha Power urged Congress to appr... #JanetYellen #UkraineBudget #UkraineBudgetDeficit #USfinancionaidforUkraine #USsupportsUkraine
By the end of the year, Ukraine needs to attract more than $9B in international aid, which will decrease in 2024-2025. The amount of international financial aid that Ukraine has received this year will exceed $45B, but in the next two years it will gradually decrease to $38.5B and $25B, respectively, the NBU predicts.... #financialaidforUkraine #imf #nbu #SupportUkraine #UkraineBudget
Without international financial support, Ukraine will face a $29B budget deficit next year, and the EU will also suffer. The Ukrainian Minister of Finance, Serhiy Marchenko, emphasized the importance of maintaining macroeconomic stability because Ukraine may also face an economic crisis and additional military conflict.... #financialaidforUkraine #SerhiyMarchenko #SupportUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineBudgetDeficit #UkraineFacility
The government specifies 2023 macroeconomic indicators for GDP and the hryvnia exchange rate. The Cabinet of Ministers approved the draft of the 2024 State Budget for the second reading. The revenue has been increased by ₴22.2B compared to the first reading and is foreseen at ₴1.768 trillion. ... #GDPinUkraine #hryvniaexchangerate #UkraineBudget #UkraineEconomy
In September, Ukraine attracted $2.8B in grants and preferential financing from its international partners. Grant funds comprised more than 40% of the total volume of financial assistance. Among the donors in October 2023 were the EU with $1.6B (concessional financing) and the US with $1.15B (grant). Funds ... #financialaidforUkraine #GrantsforUkraine #PeaceInUkraine #SupportUkraine #UkraineBudget
How much debt should Ukraine pay off by 2049? Over the next 25 years, Ukraine must pay off more than ₴7T in external and internal debt (in the equivalent). It is worth noting that the Ministry of Finance’s current plans will most likely be adjust... #UkraineBudget #ukrainedebt #ukraineexternaldebt #UkraineInternalDebt
The European Commission’s proposal to increase the common budget by €100B for 2021-2027 was resisted by EU members. According to the FT, half of the total amount, €17B in grants and €33B in loans, is intended for Ukraine. There is almost unanimous agreement within the bloc on this matter, although some countries ha... #EUbudget #EuropeanCommission #financialaidforUkraine #UkraineBudget
Where is Ukraine’s revenue coming from this year? The primary sources of funding for Ukraine’s 2023 state budget are Ukraine’s international partners, former members of the National Bank Council Bohdan Danylyshyn said, based on data from the Mi... #BohdanDanylyshyn #financialaidforUkraine #UkraineBond #UkraineBudget
Since introducing the “Google tax” in Ukraine, the state budget has received ₴10.2B. According to a special committee of the Ukrainian Parliament, 98 non-resident providers of digital services have paid this tax in Ukraine. They paid ₴4.3B in 2022 and ₴5.9B in 2023 (as of October 1). ... #Google #GoogleTax #OnlyFans #TaxesinUkraine #UkraineBudget
