Ukraine takes a risk with tax collection rates higher than the pre-war period. Tax and interest deductions from the economy for 2022-2023 in Ukraine doubled. For example, tax revenues to the consolidated budget have increased by 110% over the past two years, thanks mainly to rev... #BohdanDanylyshyn #TaxesUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineEconomy
The UN does not see positive prospects for the global economy, but they recognize the stability of the Ukrainian economy. In the UN Report on the World Economic Situation and Prospects for 2024, analysts predict that the growth rate of the world economy will slow from 2.7% last year to 2.4% in 2024. Economists predict th... #GlobalEconomy #Globalinflation #UkraineEconomy #UN #WorldEconomyForecast
Traders predict a 10% increase in retail trade turnover in Ukraine. According to the director of the UTG, Yevgenia Loktionova, the main reason for the rise in consumption, entertainment, and restaurant visits is to combat stress and negative news. “In the new ye... #RetailTradeTurnover #UkraineEconomy #UkraineTradeTurnover
Ukrainian wages have been growing for three quarters in a row, and inflation has fallen below the NBU’s target for the first time in three years. The revival of the economy and the slowdown of inflation have both contributed to the recovery of the growth in real wages since the second quarter of 2023. According to the National Bank of Ukraine, ... #InflationinUkraine #nbu #SalaryUkraine #UkraineEconomy
Several key economic sectors in Ukraine expect to reduce the number of employees. According to NBU data, industrial enterprises are predicting a deterioration in the results of their economic activity for the second month in a row. The reasons for this are a decrease in the volume ... #JobInUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineLaborMarket #UnemploymentUkraine
Capitalization of agricultural holdings decreased by almost €2B. Agricultural holdings’ capitalization decreased during the IV quarter of 2023 compared to the same period in 2022. According to experts, this is related to the internal situation in these compan... #AgroBusinessUkraine #AgroholdingAstarta #KernelGroup #MHPAgroholding #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine and Japan are increasing their trade volume and planning to cooperate in renewable energy. Trade between the countries averaged $1.5B per year. At the beginning of the full-scale invasion, trade volume decreased to half of the current indicator. Still, in 2023 it increased, approaching almo... #JapanandUkraine #RenewableEnergy #SerhiyKorsunskyi #UkraineEconomy #UkraineTrade
Analysts believe that the Ukrainian economy performed surprisingly well in 2023. As noted in the Atlantic Council, in the fall of 2022 Ukraine was forced to print money, and in December 2022, inflation rose to 27%. However, the budget deficit was offset with $40B of international ... #CurrencyMarket #financeUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineEconomy #Ukraineinternationalreserves
Ukrainian IT exports began to grow at the end of the year. According to the NBU, in November 2023 Ukrainian IT companies exported services worth $564M, $35M more than in October, and $43M more than in September 2023. However, compared to November 2022 ($580M)... #ITexport #UkraineEconomy #UkraineITexport #UkrainianITcompany
What will the exchange rate be at the beginning of the year? At the start of 2024, the average exchange rate of the dollar may be in the range of ₴37.90-₴38.40, and the average exchange rate of the euro ₴42.10-₴42.60, analysts from the Center of Exchange Techno... #financeUkraine #hryvniaexchangerate #nbu #UkraineEconomy
Businesses in Ukraine have downgraded their expectations for business activity. In December 2023, for the third month in a row, Ukrainian businesses have provided their restrained estimates of their current activity’s results. The Business Activity Expectations Index (BAEI) was 4... #BusinessExpectation #nbu #UkraineBusinessActivity #UkraineBusinessExpectation #UkraineEconomy #бізнесвУкраїні
The IMF says it will help Ukraine attract additional revenues to its budget. The IMF is focused on supporting the work of the Ukrainian state and its social obligations, and not on the military sphere, said Alfred Kemmer, director of the European Department of the IMF. “... #AlfredKemmer #financialaidforUkraine #imf #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineEconomy
The Minister of Finance summarized this year’s budget financing and outlined the prospects for the following years. In 2023, Ukraine attracted $42B through external financing just to cover budget needs and support a record amount of borrowing on the domestic market, Minister of Finance Serhiy Marchenko said. This a... #financialaidforUkraine #SerhiyMarchenko #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineEconomy #UkraineFacility
Ukrainians think that the country’s economic condition has worsened. In December, assessments of the economic situation in Ukraine worsened, and optimism about the country’s economic situation in the medium-term perspective also decreased. It is noted that Ukrain... #EconomicConditionUkraine #financeUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The government and the NBU predict an increase in the cost of living in Ukraine. The head of the NBU, Andriy Pyshnyi, said that product prices will rise sharply at the beginning of January. For the first month of the year, growth will be, on average, 5%. As for causes, first, the ... #AndriiPyshnyi #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #SerhiyMarchenko #UkraineEconomy
The opening of negotiations with the EU has a positive economic effect on Ukraine, but economic relations with Poland must be restarted. “Asian countries have begun to turn more to Ukraine regarding the opportunities our country’s EU membership creates for their investors,” said the Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Dmytro K... #DmytroKuleba #EuropeanIntegration #InvestmentsinUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineEU
The government presents the largest investment projects in the Dnipropetrovsk region. Minister of Economy Yulia Svyridenko has described investment projects by large companies in the Dnipropetrovsk region. Interpipe is implementing three projects, the largest of which is constructing a... #ArcelorMittal #Biosphere #BusinessInvestments #InterpipeUkraine #UkraineEconomy #YuliyaSvyridenko
The government has issued a three-year forecast of Ukraine’s economic and social development: What will happen to GDP, inflation, and salaries? Next year, GDP will grow by 4.6%, in 2025, the growth rate will accelerate to 6.8%, and in 2026, it will slow to 6.6%. The growth of consumer prices (inflation), comparing December to December of the ... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #SalaryUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine’s foreign trade deficit decreased by 30%. According to the results from November, the foreign trade deficit in Ukraine decreased to $2.12B ($2.96B in October). Imports of goods amounted to $5.07B, which is 10.1% less compared to October, whil... #BorderBlockade #Foreigntradedeficit #UkraineEconomy #UkraineForeignTrade #ВідвантаженнятоварівУкраїна
Despite the war, Ukrainian retailers significantly expanded their store networks. As of the end of October 2023, 17,692 stores in the main retail sectors (including the entertainment sector) were operating in Ukraine, which is 1.9% more than in 2021. In 10 months of this year, 1,97... #PharmaceuticalMarketUkraine #retailUkraine #UkraineEconomy #бізнесвУкраїні
American Chamber of Commerce: What foreign and Ukrainian businesses expect in 2024. This year, 74% of AmCham members in Ukraine achieved their planned financial results, while 24% were not able to do so. Next year, 46% of surveyed companies hope for an increase in revenues, 41% belie... #AmericanChamberCommerce #BusinessExpectation #UkraineEconomy #бізнесвУкраїні
The volume of Ukrainian industrial production increased by 2.4% in the last three quarters. At the same time, in September the indicator increased by 11.7% compared to September last year. Metallurgy production and finished metal products over three quarters of the year decreased by 3.6% com... #IndustrialProductionUkraine #MetallurgiaUkraine #MiningCompanyUkraine #UkraineEconomy
The volume of completed construction works increased by almost 21% this year. The index of completed construction works in Ukraine increased by 20.4% in January-September compared to last year. The volume of completed construction works during this period in monetary terms reac... #ConstructionUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineReconstruction #UkraineRecovery
The business community names the key obstacles to its development and investment in Ukraine. According to the EBA, compared to last year, the number of those considering tax legislation to be of high quality decreased from 26% to the current 9%. According to the interviewees, constant changes... #TaxesinUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineTaxSystem #бізнесвУкраїні
The IMF has revised the forecast for Ukraine’s real GDP growth in 2023 to 4.5%. Ukraine’s macroeconomic indicators have been stronger than expected despite the ongoing war. This contributed to the upward revision of the IMF’s forecast for economic growth. The IMF revi... #GavinGray #GDPinUkraine #imf #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Concorde Capital gives its forecast regarding Ukraine’s key economic indicators. GDP growth in 2023 will be 5-6%. Currently, it is primarily supported by consumer demand.In 2024, this demand will decrease, and the projected GDP growth will be 2-3%, according to Ihor Mazepa, the fo... #ConcordeCapital #GDPinUkraine #IhorMazepa #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
Fitch has confirmed Ukraine’s likely default and improved Ukraine’s GDP growth forecast to 5.1% this year. International rating agency, Fitch Ratings, has confirmed Ukraine’s long-term issuer default rating (EDR) in foreign currency at the CC level. Fitch expects the war to continue through 2024. At ... #defaultinukraine #FitchRatings #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #WarinUkraine
Investment companies raise their 2024 economic forecasts for Ukraine. Based on 2023’s results, the ICU investment company predicts GDP growth between 5.8% and 5% in the coming year. It is also assumed that at the end of 2023 inflation will be 6.2%. Inflation is expected... #DragonCapital #GDPinUkraine #HryvniaForcast #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
The US names six main conditions for attracting investment to Ukraine. Security, reforms, new support tools, infrastructure development, compensation for the damages caused by Russia, and the integration of refugees and veterans are six key elements necessary to attract ... #InvestmentsinUkraine #PennyPritzker #UkraineEconomy #UkraineRecovery
Turnover at Ukrainian shopping malls is increasing, and foot traffic has exceeded pre-war indicators. The largest Ukrainian shopping and entertainment centers noted a significant increase in turnover in hryvnia, by 40%-100% compared to last year, and foot traffic, which has exceeded pre-war indicators... #RespublikaPark #ShoppingCentersUkraine #ShoppingMallTraffic #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine’s economy is recovering faster than forecast, but how will it do in the next two years? The rate of recovery of the Ukrainian economy in 2023 exceeded initial forecasts, and the locomotive of positive change was the ability of Ukrainian businesses to adapt to the challenging conditions o... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The government of Ukraine gives a price forecast for the near future. The growth of consumer prices in Ukraine will slightly accelerate in the coming months, but overall inflation will remain moderate. As noted in the Ministry of Economy’s review, price growth is ... #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
In Ukraine, non-transparent capital flows are twice as large as transparent ones. According to the Center for Economic Strategy, the share of domestic private constructive capital in Ukraine is about 22%, while corrosive capital is about 46%. Corrosive capital represents opaque cap... #ConstructiveCapital #CorrosiveCapital #financeUkraine #UkraineEconomy
How does migration affect the Ukrainian economy? Since achieving its independence, Ukraine has experienced several waves of migration caused by economic and geopolitical factors. The largest of them is the most recent, triggered by Russia’s full-sca... #RepatriationInUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineRefugees #UnemploymentUkraine
Ukraine has lost almost ₴10B through the Polish border blockade; The EC seeks to preserve transport visa-free. Ukraine’s losses are associated with a 40% export drop due to blocked checkpoints. The state budget of Ukraine lost ₴9.3B due to the loss of these customs payments, said the head of the specialized pa... #AdinaValean #BorderBlockade #DanyloHetmantsev #transportvisafree #UkraineEconomy
Concorde Capital has pointed out the shortcomings of the Ukrainian war economy. Ihor Mazepa, the founder of the investment company Concorde Capital, noted that the first and most crucial problem of Ukraine’s military economy is a significant lack of qualified personnel. Thi... #ConcordeCapital #IhorMazepa #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine has a backup plan for a lack of financial assistance from the West. With uncertainty surrounding financial assistance from the US and the EU for the 2024 state budget, Ukraine is working on preparing a plan B, analysts say. They believe that with a reduction in extern... #financialaidforUkraine #SupportUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine’s state debt risks exceeding ₴5 trillion and will amount to 90% of GDP. As of October 31, Ukraine’s state and state-guaranteed debt amounted to ₴4.96T. According to November’s results, the national debt will probably exceed the ₴5T mark, having increased by ₴2.3T (+... #DanyloHetmantsev #GDPinUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineEconomy #UkraineStateDebt
This fall, Ukrainian consumers’ optimism has fallen to its lowest level since last summer. The Ukrainian consumer sentiment index decreased by 2.8 points to 79.9 points in October. This is the lowest that the indicator has been since August 2022, when it was 75.3 points. At the same time, t... #BusinessActivityExpectations #ConsumerPrices #financeUkraine #UkraineEconomy
Which enterprises have become the Ukrainian wholesale trade market’s leaders during the war? Almost half of the 10 most successful Ukrainian wholesalers are businesses that trade solid, liquid, and gaseous fuels alongside similar products, reported Opendatabot. In particular, Okko, WOG, West ... #Kernel #nibulon #okko #retailUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkrainianEnterprises
In October, Ukraine’s GDP grew by more than 10%. The Ukrainian economy continues to demonstrate positive dynamics despite adverse external factors. According to preliminary estimates from the Ministry of Economy, GDP growth in October 2023 compared ... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineRecovery
Food prices in Ukraine have begun to rise again. Average consumer prices for food in October increased by 1% compared to September, thereby ending the decline that had been ongoing since July of this year. The prices of vegetables (+14%), eggs (+10.... #BorderBlockade #FoodPrices #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
Economic damage from the Polish-Ukrainian border blockade may reach $400M. The interruption of the supply of Ukrainian goods by truck through Poland will affect both the export and import of goods to Ukraine. According to preliminary calculations by the National Bank, in 202... #BorderBlockade #nbu #UkraineEconomy #UkraineForeignTrade #UkrainePolandCheckpoints
Concorde Capital forecast for Ukraine’s GDP growth is 6% this year and no more than 3% in the future. The Ukrainian economy will grow by about 6% in 2023, and in the future, economic growth will not exceed 3% per year, predicts the CEO of investment company Concorde Capital, Ihor Mazepa. “We wer... #ConcordeCapital #GDPinUkraine #IhorMazepa #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine’s real GDP growth slowed to 6.5% in October. In September, this indicator was at 11.1%. The reason for the slowdown was the lower contribution from agriculture due to the higher statistical base in October last year, reported the Institute for E... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineTrade
A 20% increase in railway freight rates threatens to reduce acreage in 2024. The Ukrainian Grain Association expressed concern about the upcoming 20% increase in tariffs for freight rail transportation and the use of freight cars in 2024 and called on the government and Ukrain... #FreightTransportationPrice #UkraineEconomy #UkrainianRailways #UZtarrifs
The demand for imports can create 600 processing enterprises in Ukraine with a production capacity of $90B. According to Parliament Member Dmytro Kysylevsky, the volume of raw materials and the demand for goods in Ukraine make it reasonable to create approximately 600 processing enterprises in Ukraine. The ... #JobInUkraine #ProcessingPlantUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineRecovery
The EC has significantly improved its forecast for Ukraine’s 2023 GDP from 0.6% to 4.8%. At the same time, the forecast for 2024 was reduced from 4% to 3.7%; in 2025 GDP growth is expected to be 6.1%. “Despite serious problems caused by Russia’s aggressive war, Ukraine’s... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineEconomy #UkraineGDPforecast
Most Ukrainians count on an economic boom in post-war Ukraine. Currently, 21.2% of Ukrainians believe that rapid economic growth (5-7% of GDP per year) will begin in Ukraine within 1-2 years after the end of the war. Also, 48.5% think economic growth will start w... #SociologicalSurvey #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The IMF has improved its expectations for Ukrainian economic growth to 4.5%. In the IMF’s notification regarding the arrangements for the second review of the program as part of the expanded financing of the EFF, it is noted that the Ukrainian economy continues to demons... #EFFprogram #GDPinUkraine #imf #IMFprogramforUkraine #UkraineEconomy
