NBU: Commercial and consumer lending is trending up in Ukraine. In 2024, Ukrainian banks saw their net commercial loan portfolios grow by ₴65B (21%) and their consumer loan portfolios increase by ₴62B (39%), said Andriy Pyshnyy, Chairman of the NBU. According to h... #AndriiPyshnyi #CreditPortfolio #financeUkraine #LendingProgramsUkraine #nbu #NPL
The National Bank of Ukraine has raised the key policy rate to 14.5% per annum. The NBU increased rates on overnight certificates of deposit, three-month certificates of deposit, and refinancing loans by 1 percentage point – to 14.5%, 17%, and 17.5%, respectively. This decision a... #BankDepositsinUkraine #CurrencyMarket #financeUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu
The National Bank has worsened its 2025 key macro indicator forecasts. Considering security risks and the difficult situation in the labor market, the NBU has worsened its forecast for Ukraine’s 2025 GDP growth from 4.3% to 3.6%. At the same time, the bank predicts... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineBudget2025 #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
VisionFund Ukraine Starts Lending to Support Small Businesses in Ukraine. Despite the war, international companies slowly continued entering the market, looking for high returns and post-war new market opportunities. VisionFund Ukraine, after two years on the market, receiv... #LendingInUkraine #nbu #VisionFund #VisionFundUkraine #WesleyJordan
Businesses have increased their activity and investment forecasts for the next 12 months. For the second month in a row, businesses have improved their business activity estimates for the next 12 months, maintaining optimistic forecasts for attracting investment but anticipating moderate i... #BusinessExpectation #investments #nbu #UkraineBusinessActivity #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The NBU says buying a home has become more profitable, but Ukrainians are shying away from risk because of the war. Currently, price conditions in the real estate market are more favorable than before the full-scale invasion, but due to war risks, Ukrainians are not ready to invest in housing, the national bank sai... #HousingsalesUkraine #nbu #PrimaryHousing #RealEstateUkraine #SecondaryMarket
The Central Bank of Ukraine expects inflation to accelerate at the beginning of the year. In the first months of 2025, inflation will likely continue to accelerate because of lower harvests, pressure from business spending on energy supplies and labor, and the effects of a weakening hryvni... #Inflation #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
How did Ukraine spend the nearly $42B in international financial assistance it received last year? Last year, Ukraine received about $42B in financial support. In addition, the country received more than $3.5B by placing foreign currency government bonds. The money, according to People’s Depu... #CurrencyMarket #financialaidforUkraine #imf #internationalReserves #nbu #UkraineBudget2024
State banks were the most profitable through 11 months of 2024; the banking sector increased its tax payments by 70%. According to the NBU, solvent Ukrainian banks generated ₴131B ($3.2B) in net profit after tax from January-November 2024. The leaders in the banking sector were: PrivatBank with ₴56.3B, Oschadbank wit... #nbu #oschadbank #PrivatBank #RaiffeisenBankUkraine #UkraineBanksProfits #UkrainianBanks
New historical record: Ukraine’s international reserves have exceeded $43.78B. As reported by the National Bank, as of January 1 2025, Ukraine’s international reserves reached over $43.787B, increasing by 9.7% during December. The volume of international reserves became th... #financialaidforUkraine #imf #internationalReserves #nbu #worldbank
In Ukraine, economic activity in the coal and metallurgical industries slowed down. As reported by the NBU, in December 2024 a slowdown in economic activity was observed in several sectors, primarily the coal and metallurgical industries. At the same time, investments in gas and oil ... #CoalUkraine #DanubeShipping #MetallurgyUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicActivity #UkraineEconomy
The National Bank has identified the reasons behind the acceleration of price growth in Ukraine. According to the NBU, in November 2024 consumer inflation in Ukraine increased to 11.2% annually, exceeding the forecasts in the October NBU Inflation Report. Core inflation reached 9.3% annually. The... #ConsumerInflation #InflationUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
The National Bank continues easing currency restrictions: What has changed? Changes that ease currency restrictions in three areas came into force on December 21. This easing will support domestic producers and improve the conditions for doing business in Ukraine. At the same... #CurrencyMarket #CurrencyRestrictions #Energoatom #financeUkraine #nbu
How will the hryvnia exchange rate change against the dollar in 2025? The dollar exchange rate will grow moderately during 2025, the ICU investment company predicts. It is noted that the hryvnia exchange rate now depends entirely on the NBU’s vision of its optimal... #CurrencyMarket #dollarexchangerate #financeUkraine #foreignexchangemarket #Hryvnia #nbu
How much do loans for businesses and individuals cost in Ukraine? In November 2024, banks reduced loan rates, according to data from the National Bank of Ukraine. The average interest rate on new bank loans to individuals in the national currency were 33.8% per annu... #BankLoans #CreditPortfolio #financeUkraine #KaterynaRozhkova #LoansforBusiness #nbu
Due to inflation, the key rate in Ukraine was increased from 13% to 13.5%. The Board of the National Bank of Ukraine increased the discount rate to 13.5% per annum. This takes place after inflation accelerated to 11.2% per annum in November. It is noted that the inflationary... #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineBudgetDeficit #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine’s international reserves increased by 9.1% in November to $39.92B. The National Bank explains that this dynamic is due, on the one hand, to significant volumes received from international partners and, on the other hand, to a decrease in the volume of net currency sa... #CurrencyMarket #CurrencySale #financeUkraine #internationalReserves #nbu #OVDP #UkraineDebtPayment
Banks’ hryvnia deposit portfolios have grown by ₴100B this year, or almost 7%. According to Deputy Chairman of the NBU Serhiy Nikolaychuk, since the beginning of the full-scale invasion the increase has exceeded ₴830B (+90%). At the same time, 56% of customers’ hryvnia cur... #BankDeposits #financeUkraine #HryvniaDeposits #nbu #OVDP
How strong will the hryvnia end the year against the dollar? In the last week of November, the NBU allowed the hryvnia to weaken to a new record low of ₴41.60 per $1, according to ICU. The total foreign exchange deficit last week increased due to increased dema... #DollarDemand #financeUkraine #foreignexchangemarket #Hryvnia #nbu
The hryvnia continues to weaken under the National Bank’s control. Last week, the National Bank kept the intervention volume below this year’s average weekly figure. It allowed the hryvnia exchange rate to weaken slightly. The market’s total foreign excha... #CurrencyMarket #financeUkraine #Hryvnia #hryvniaexchangerate #nbu
The NBU lifts some currency restrictions to support foreign trade and international technical assistance programs. On November 20, the National Bank made changes to currency restrictions. “On the one hand, the NBU eased several restrictions to support international cooperation in foreign trade and internatio... #CurrencyRestrictions #financeUkraine #nbu #UkraineForeignTrade
The hryvnia’s fate: Experts provide their forecasts. Bankers, households, and financial analysts expect the dollar to the hryvnia exchange rate to rise over the next 12 months. Banks predict that the exchange rate will be ₴44.92 per $1, which is higher ... #CurrencyMarket #financeUkraine #hryvniaexchangerate #HryvniaRating #nbu
Lending to businesses and households in Ukraine has been growing for a year and a half; rates have been reduced for both loans and deposits. According to the NBU, in the third quarter of 2024 loan portfolio volume increased by 22.4%. Hryvnia business loans grew by 6.9%, and individual loans increased by 9.7%. Loans in wholesale trade and t... #BankDeposits #eOselya #financeUkraine #LendingProgram #nbu
The NBU has improved its forecast for Ukraine’s international aid for the coming years. According to the NBU, Ukraine is expected to receive about $42B in international financing for 2024, $38B in 2025, and $25B in 2026. By the end of 2024, Ukraine will receive $4.8B under the SPUR progr... #financialaidforUkraine #G7 #nbu #SupportUkraine #UkraineBudget #worldbank
There are 14 million people of working age left in Ukraine, almost 42,000 are unemployed, and an acute shortage of personnel is pushing up salaries. After the start of the full-scale war and mass emigration in Ukraine, the working population decreased from 18 to 14 million people, said economist and member of the Economic Discussion Club, Oleg Pen... #EmployeeDeficit #JobInUkraine #LaborMarketUkraine #nbu #SalaryUkraine #UkraineEconomy
Inflation is accelerating in Ukraine, but the NBU predicts it will decrease next year. In October 2024, consumer prices increased by 1.8% compared to September; annual inflation accelerated to 9.7% (8.6% in September), according to the Ukrainian State Statistics Service. Since the begin... #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The West is changing its position toward confiscation of frozen Russian assets. “If earlier the West spoke very cautiously about the possibility of using these assets, now we hear the statements of the G7 that these assets will remain immobilized. This is a ‘break in ... #AndriiPyshnyi #G7 #LoanForUkraine #nbu #RussianAssetsArrested #SanctionsAgainstRussia
Bankers do not expect a change in the key policy rate by the end of the year, but there are risks. Ukrainian bankers believe that the Board of the NBU will leave the discount rate at the current level of 13% per annum at a meeting on Thursday. “However, a return to tightening monetary policy ... #financeUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #OTPbank #PravexBank #RaiffeisenBank #UkrainianBanks
Ukraine will settle nonperforming loans, which will help to attract private investment. The National Bank of Ukraine and the IFC signed an agreement to create an infrastructure for resolving nonperforming loans (NPL) in the Ukrainian banking system. The agreement envisages the creation o... #ifc #nbu #NonPerformingLoans #NPL #UkraineBankingSystem
Ukrainians have bought the equivalent of 33% of Ukraine’s international aid for their savings. The purchase of foreign currency by the Ukrainian population has increased by 250% compared to the previous year. In the last 12 months, the population bought foreign currency worth $10.6B, including ... #BohdanDanylyshyn #CurrencyLiberalization #CurrencyMarket #CurrencySale #financeUkraine #nbu
Ukrainians are increasingly buying foreign currency. The NBU had to increase interventions to a three-month high. According to ICU analysts, demand for foreign currency among Ukrainians remains at a very high level and is forcing the NBU to sell large volumes of it from its international reserves to maintain the ... #currencyexchange #CurrencyMarket #financeUkraine #nbu
In September, prices for goods and services in Ukraine rose faster than the National Bank’s forecast. Consumer inflation accelerated to 8.6% year-on-year in September against 7.5% in August. “The actual pace of price growth was higher than the forecast published in the Inflation Report for July ... #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The MoF raises a record ₴30B from the sale of government bonds, and the NBU expands the list of required benchmark domestic government debt securities. On October 8, the Ministry of Finance placed bonds of the domestic state loan (OVDP) for a total amount of ₴30.26B ($750M). This is more than for the month of August (₴29.1B) and is the largest figure... #BondsUkraine #financeUkraine #nbu #OVDP #UkraineSecurities
In September, Ukraine’s international reserves decreased by 8.1% to $38.9B. As noted by the National Bank, this dynamic results from the NBU’s currency interventions to cover the structural currency deficit on the market and smooth out exchange rate fluctuations, as wel... #Creditors #financeUkraine #internationalReserves #nbu #OVDP #UkraineDebtRepayment #worldbank
Price increases accelerated in August: The NBU explains why. According to the National Bank, in August consumer inflation accelerated to 7.5% in annual terms (from 5.4% in July), as was expected. At the same time, core inflation increased more significantly tha... #FoodPrices #FuelPricesUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
The Ministry of Economy names four critical price growth factors in Ukraine. In August, consumer prices increased by 0.6% for the month. On an annualized basis (August 2024 compared to August 2023), inflation accelerated to 7.5% from 5.4% a month earlier, according to the Moni... #ElectricityDeficitUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
The NBU maintains this year’s economic growth forecast of 3.7% despite the situation in the energy sector and expects positive results from tax increases. As noted by the head of the National Bank, Andriy Pyshnyi, the regulator remains largely confident in the forecast it presented in July. “The economy will grow by 3.7% this year. The assumption ... #AndriiPyshnyi #ElectricityDeficitUkraine #EnergyRestore #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
What are the NBU’s plans regarding the key policy rate? Almost all (10 out of 11) of the NBU’s Monetary Policy Committee members support keeping the discount rate at 13%. The NBU notes that the majority believes that the current rate level provides n... #AndriiPyshnyi #financeUkraine #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy
Ukrainians are increasing their debt – lending increased by 5.3%. In the second quarter, financial services companies and pawnshops showed an increase in the volume of basic types of services, even against a total reduction of assets by 12.3%. Credit unions and life... #BankLoans #financeUkraine #MicroCrediting #nbu #PawnShops #UkrainiansDebt
The National Bank of Ukraine kept the key policy rate unchanged at 13%. This decision will contribute to the gradual return of inflation to the 5% target in the following years and support the foreign exchange market’s stability, the NBU reported. It is also aimed a... #financeUkraine #foreignexchangemarket #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy
National Bank: inflation will grow at a higher rate than predicted. Last week, the State Statistics Service announced that consumer inflation accelerated to 7.5% annually in August from 5.4% in July. In monthly terms, prices increased by 0.6%. However, the NBU noted t... #Hryvnia #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The yield on deposits in Ukraine is falling, and loans are becoming cheaper. The average bank interest rates on new hryvnia consumer deposits in August amounted to 10.6% per annum, which is 0.1 percentage point lower than a month ago, NBU data shows. Interest rates on new cons... #BankDeposits #BankLoans #financeUkraine #nbu #UkrainianBanking
The IMF has worsened its GDP growth and inflation forecasts for Ukraine. The IMF predicts the growth of Ukraine’s real GDP at 3% in 2024 with inflation at 9%, the National Bank reported following the IMF mission. The IMF emphasized that Ukrainian fiscal policy, high ... #GDPinUkraine #imf #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The National Bank eased currency restrictions for businesses starting September 10. Beginning on September 10, Ukrainian businesses will be able to: Purchase and transfer foreign currency to cover carbon dioxide emissions. State-owned enterprises can buy currency and transfer it to ... #CurrencyRestrictions #foreigncurrency #internationalReserves #nbu #ukrainianbusiness
The NBU explains why Ukraine’s price growth accelerated in the summer. In July, consumer inflation in Ukraine accelerated to 5.4% annually compared to 4.8% in June. According to the NBU’s estimates, the tendency toward accelerated consumer inflation continued in Au... #hryvniaexchangerate #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
The situation in the Ukrainian labor market increases business costs and the price dynamics for goods and services. According to the September review by the National Bank of Ukraine, the improvement of Ukraine’s energy situation in August contributed to an increase in demand for labor and the number of employees. I... #EmployeeDeficit #JobInUkraine #LaborMarketUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomy #UnemploymentUkraine
Ukrainians are increasing their investment in government bonds: The share is already 4%. In August 2024, the Ministry of Finance raised ₴29.1B from the issuance of government bonds. Military bonds accounted for ₴6B of the total volume of government bonds issued in August. As of September ... #financeUkraine #investments #nbu #OVDP #UkraineBond
The IMF pushes Ukraine to raise taxes and depreciate the hryvnia, with $1.1B in new financial aid at stake. Ukrainian officials expect the IMF this week to push the country toward faster currency devaluation, lower interest rates, and to increase tax collection efforts to close the country’s budget de... #BudgetDeficit #financeUkraine #hryvniadevaluation #imf #nbu #UkraineBudget
Over the first half of the year, banks increased their profits by 17%. In the first six months of the year, solvent banks earned ₴79B in net profit, 17% more than the ₴67.6B profit obtained in the same period last year. Only seven small banks out of 62 solvent financial ... #IncomeTaxationUkraine #nbu #OVDP #UkraineBanksProfits #UkrainianBanks
The volume of foreign exchange earnings by exporters increased by 16%, but up to $8B still must be returned to Ukraine. According to the NBU, the amount of export earnings received in Ukraine for January-June 2024 exceeded the result for the same period in 2023 by 15.9%, or $3.3B, while the amount of unreturned foreign... #currencyexchange #CurrencyRestrictions #nbu #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport
