The shortage of new workers in Ukraine will reach 5-10 million people by 2030: Experts advise how to overcome this challenge. According to the director of the USAID mission in Ukraine, Theodora Dell, human resources can be gathered from the country’s own potential. “Currently, the employment rate in Ukraine is 52... #EmployeeDeficit #JobInUkraine #LaborMarketUkraine #UkraineEconomy #USAID
The tax increase will bring a corresponding increase in Ukraine’s shadow economy. Because of the retrospective increase in taxes from October 1, businesses are transferring their workers to the shadow employment sector. This will increase the shadow economy by 10 percentage points,... #ShadowEconomy #TaxesUkraine #TaxIncrease #UkraineBudgetDeficit #UkraineEconomy
In September, prices for goods and services in Ukraine rose faster than the National Bank’s forecast. Consumer inflation accelerated to 8.6% year-on-year in September against 7.5% in August. “The actual pace of price growth was higher than the forecast published in the Inflation Report for July ... #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The Ministry of Finance explains the importance of the historic tax increase. All the tax revenue in the state budget is directed to the security and defense sector, but even that is not enough. The Ministry of Finance noted that the balance is covered through other sources, in... #BudgetDeficit #DefenseSpending #TaxesUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineEconomy
Price increases accelerated in August: The NBU explains why. According to the National Bank, in August consumer inflation accelerated to 7.5% in annual terms (from 5.4% in July), as was expected. At the same time, core inflation increased more significantly tha... #FoodPrices #FuelPricesUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
Here are the main economic activity factors in Ukraine for the first half of the year. Macroeconomic indicators of the Ukrainian economy in 2024 show growth, but positive dynamics are slowing down. The growth potential represented by the economic recovery from the fall in 2022 has been ... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicActivity #UkraineEconomy
The Ministry of Economy names four critical price growth factors in Ukraine. In August, consumer prices increased by 0.6% for the month. On an annualized basis (August 2024 compared to August 2023), inflation accelerated to 7.5% from 5.4% a month earlier, according to the Moni... #ElectricityDeficitUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
Ukrainian seaports increased their cargo turnover by 80% in 2024. According to the results of the first three quarters of the year from the Ukrainian sea corridor’s operation, Ukrainian seaports increased cargo transshipment by 80% compared to the same period ... #agroexportukraine #ExportCorridors #SeaPortsUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport
The new state agency providing military risk insurance will stimulate investment in Ukraine. The NBU and the Ministry of Economy presented a draft law on the war risk insurance system, which provides for the protection of insurance interests of individuals and legal entities, aimed at ensurin... #InsuranceUkraine #investments #UkraineEconomy #WarRiskInsurance
Ukraine’s indirect economic losses from the war exceed $1.1T. Since the beginning of the full-scale invasion through July 2024, the total amount of Ukraine’s indirect losses, including current and projected losses of revenue and added value, is estimated a... #DeminingUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineEconomyLosses #UkraineEnergyLosses #WarinUkraine
The final adoption of a bill raising taxes may negatively affect the economy: Businesses offer an alternative. The current version of the draft law provides for an increase in the military tax from 1.5% to 5%, a 50% tax on bank profits in 2024, and 25% for non-bank financial institutions. The bill foresees add... #ReformsinUkraine #ShadowEconomy #TaxesinUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineBudgetDeficit #UkraineEconomy
The NBU maintains this year’s economic growth forecast of 3.7% despite the situation in the energy sector and expects positive results from tax increases. As noted by the head of the National Bank, Andriy Pyshnyi, the regulator remains largely confident in the forecast it presented in July. “The economy will grow by 3.7% this year. The assumption ... #AndriiPyshnyi #ElectricityDeficitUkraine #EnergyRestore #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
What are the NBU’s plans regarding the key policy rate? Almost all (10 out of 11) of the NBU’s Monetary Policy Committee members support keeping the discount rate at 13%. The NBU notes that the majority believes that the current rate level provides n... #AndriiPyshnyi #financeUkraine #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy
The volume of completed construction work in Ukraine has increased by 37.1%. According to the first half of 2024’s results, the index of completed construction works in Ukraine increased by 37.1% compared to the same period in 2023. According to the State Statistics Serv... #BuildingUkraine #ConstructionUkraine #RealEstateUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineRecovery
Despite the war, Ukraine’s industrial production increased by 8.1%. The volume of the industrial output in Ukraine in January-June 2024 increased by 8.1% compared to the same period in 2023. In June, the indicator decreased by 0.3% compared to the corresponding month ... #IndustrialProduction #MetallurgyUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport
The state program of preferential business lending positively affects the economy but needs improvement. As of January 1, 2024, the state’s debt to banks under the 5-7-9% Available Loans program amounted to ₴7.1B, and barring changes, by the end of 2024 this figure may reach ₴11.5B, according to th... #5-7-9loanprogram #AffordableLoans #BankLoans #financeUkraine #LoansforBusiness #UkraineEconomy
A new industrial park with dozens of factories will be open in Prykarpattia. The Minister of Economy reported that the Cabinet of Ministers has registered the new Kalush Production industrial park in Kalush, Ivano-Frankivsk region. The park’s production capacity includes... #IndustrialParksUkraine #investments #IvanoFrankivsk #Prykarpattia #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine will restructure government derivatives tied to GDP growth rates. Yuriy Butsa, the government commissioner for public debt management, notes that Ukraine issued GDP warrants in 2015. According to the terms, any GDP growth above 3% per year triggers payments to warra... #Creditors #financeUkraine #GDPinUkraine #GDPwarrants #UkraineBond #UkraineEconomy
AmCham and Deloitte survey results: How businesses in Ukraine are preparing for winter. The vast majority (88%) of 139 companies, operating in various sectors of the Ukrainian economy, that participated in the survey are prepared for long-term power outages. 33% can provide their own ene... #ElectricityDeficitUkraine #energyukraine #HeatingSeason #UkraineBlackout #UkraineEconomy #ukrainianbusiness
The National Bank of Ukraine kept the key policy rate unchanged at 13%. This decision will contribute to the gradual return of inflation to the 5% target in the following years and support the foreign exchange market’s stability, the NBU reported. It is also aimed a... #financeUkraine #foreignexchangemarket #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine can become the titanium hub of Europe, but hundreds of millions of dollars are needed. To replace Russia in the global supply of titanium, Ukraine will require years of construction and hundreds of millions of dollars of investment, said the chairman of the board of the United Mining an... #investments #MiningIndustry #TitaniumUkraine #UkraineDevelopment #UkraineEconomy #UMCC
At the end of the summer, economic growth accelerated in Ukraine. In August, the Ukrainian economy grew by 3.5% (±1%) compared to August last year. Based on the results of eight months of the year, GDP growth is estimated at 3.9% against the corresponding period of ... #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomicActivity #UkraineEconomy #YuliyaSvyridenko
The share of businesses in Ukraine that expect growth in production and export is growing. According to the monthly survey of enterprises by the Institute of Economic Research, 38.2% of respondents expect an increase in production (against 35.7% in July) in the next three to four months. Ex... #BusinessExpectation #businessinukraine #BusinessProblem #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Odesa is actively working on the creation of two multi-disciplinary industrial parks. Despite the full-scale war, Odesa city authorities are actively working to create two industrial parks, said the mayor of Odesa, Gennady Trukhanov. The first park (Odesa Innovation Park) will be locat... #GennadiyTrukhanov #IndustrialPark #investments #Kulindorovo #Odesa #OdesaInnovationPark #UkraineEconomy
National Bank: inflation will grow at a higher rate than predicted. Last week, the State Statistics Service announced that consumer inflation accelerated to 7.5% annually in August from 5.4% in July. In monthly terms, prices increased by 0.6%. However, the NBU noted t... #Hryvnia #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine loses $11.2B annually due to mined territories; experts suggest raising funds for demining through bonds. According to a study by the Anthony Blair Institute, the safe demining of Ukraine will require $34.6B and extraordinary innovation. At the same time, at the current funding level and with the use of t... #AgriculturalBond #agroUkraine #AnthonyBlair #DeminingUkraine #HowardBuffett #UkraineEconomy
The IMF has worsened its GDP growth and inflation forecasts for Ukraine. The IMF predicts the growth of Ukraine’s real GDP at 3% in 2024 with inflation at 9%, the National Bank reported following the IMF mission. The IMF emphasized that Ukrainian fiscal policy, high ... #GDPinUkraine #imf #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The free trade agreement between Ukraine and Turkey will contribute to attracting investment and reconstruction. The Ukrainian Ambassador to Turkey, Vasyl Bodnar, said that because of the free trade agreement with Turkey, Ukrainian manufacturers will have access to the Turkish market, which tends to be more clos... #FreeTradeAgreement #InvestmentsinUkraine #Turkey #UkraineEconomy #UkraineReconstruction #UkraineTrade #VasylBodnar
The NBU explains why Ukraine’s price growth accelerated in the summer. In July, consumer inflation in Ukraine accelerated to 5.4% annually compared to 4.8% in June. According to the NBU’s estimates, the tendency toward accelerated consumer inflation continued in Au... #hryvniaexchangerate #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
After Ukraine’s successful debt restructuring, the Fitch agency raised the country’s hryvnia rating. The rating agency Fitch Ratings, after the completion of Eurobond debt restructuring, raised the long-term issuer default rating (IDR) of Ukraine in local currency to CCC+ from CCC- and confirmed the ... #CreditRatingUkraine #DefaultUkraine #Eurobond #FitchRatings #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomy
The situation in the Ukrainian labor market increases business costs and the price dynamics for goods and services. According to the September review by the National Bank of Ukraine, the improvement of Ukraine’s energy situation in August contributed to an increase in demand for labor and the number of employees. I... #EmployeeDeficit #JobInUkraine #LaborMarketUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomy #UnemploymentUkraine
In the first half of the year, Ukrainian retail improved its main indicators. The index of retail well-being is gradually improving, and vacancy in shopping centers is decreasing, but no significant changes in attendance have yet been observed. The situation’s improvement occur... #RealEstateVacancy #retailUkraine #ShoppingMallsUkraine #UkraineEconomy
Ukrainian banks increased their profits by 22%, with one of them accounting for 40% of the total amount. The total profit generated by Ukrainian banks for the first seven months of the year is ₴119.44B, which is 22% more than in the same period last year. Along with earnings, income tax increased by 80% ... #financeUkraine #MTBbank #PrivatBank #UkraineBanksProfits #UkraineEconomy #UkrainianBanks
Transcarpathia is turning into an economic hub; what makes the region attractive for businesses? As of July, more than 80,000 entrepreneurs worked in Zakarpattia Oblast. During the war, the number of entrepreneurs has increased by more than 6,000, which indicates favorable conditions for economic... #BusinessDevelopment #BusinessRelocation #SupportBusiness #Transcarpathia #UkraineEconomy #ukrainianbusiness
Despite widespread blackouts, GDP growth accelerates in Ukraine. In July, Ukraine’s GDP growth accelerated to 2.7% after rising 1.6% in June in response to early harvesting. For January-July, growth is estimated at 4% [±1%], which generally corresponds with t... #ElectricityDeficitUkraine #GDPinUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineMaritimeCorridor
Maintaining the discount rate level is necessary to develop lending and deposit programs. In autumn, against the background of increasing inflation, it will be essential to maintain the discount rate at 13% and the rate for 3-month deposit certificates at 16%, according to finance experts.... #DepositsInterestRate #financeUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #UkraineBankingSector #UkraineEconomy
This fall, the prices of products in Ukraine will increase by 30%. A short-term seasonal decrease in vegetable prices will be replaced by an increase in autumn, especially for high quality goods. Entrepreneurs complain that they have run out of security, and consumer... #ConsumerInflation #InflationinUkraine #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
Inflation in Ukraine will begin to grow – prices will rise in the fall. According to the State Statistics Service, zero inflation growth was recorded in Ukraine in July, but economists believe it will be different in August and the following months. The situation is unbal... #InflationinUkraine #ubnnews #UkraineEconomy #Ukrainenews #WarInflation
Despite a reduction in gold and foreign currency reserves, the NBU has enough of each to respond to possible crises. As of August, the National Bank’s gold and currency reserves reach $37.2B. Since the beginning of the year, the reserves have fluctuated from $37B to $43.8B. Currently, the NBU’s reserves ... #UkraineEconomy #UkraineReserves
Analysts have updated the forecast for this year’s main Ukrainian macroeconomic indicators. Ukraine’s economy will grow by 4% in 2024, inflation will accelerate to 8%, and the exchange rate is expected to be ₴42.6 to $1, according to an updated macro forecast from the ICU financial gro... #EconomicOutlookForUkraine #UkraineEconomy
Financial analysts and businesses predict what will happen to prices and the dollar exchange rate in Ukraine. Inflation in Ukraine will accelerate over the next 12 months but will not exceed 9%. Such is the forecast given by bankers, financial analysts, and heads of enterprises. In July, financial analysts pr... #dollarexchangerate #financeUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Most Ukrainians state that the economic situation is worsening, but the population works more and has higher income. The majority of Ukrainians (83%) believe that the economic situation in Ukraine has worsened over the past year, according to a study by the Rating group. Another 10% saw no change, and 2% saw an impr... #consumersentiment #SociologicalSurvey #UkraineEconomy #UkraineLaborMarket #UkrainiansIncome
The volume of foreign exchange earnings by exporters increased by 16%, but up to $8B still must be returned to Ukraine. According to the NBU, the amount of export earnings received in Ukraine for January-June 2024 exceeded the result for the same period in 2023 by 15.9%, or $3.3B, while the amount of unreturned foreign... #currencyexchange #CurrencyRestrictions #nbu #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport
The implementation of an investment project in Ukraine to develop hydrogen energy involves attracting about €33B in investment capital. Scientists presented research on the development of investment projects in Ukraine: To achieve the goals of the Development of hydrogen energy in Ukraine project, a total investment of €32.882B will b... #FreightCars #GDPinUkraine #hydrogenEnergy #investments #Titaniumproduction #UkraineEconomy
Unemployment is increasing in Ukraine, and job seeker activity remains consistently low. The number of new vacancies in the employment market during July practically did not change and remained at about 90% of the average level in 2021, according to data from the Center for Economic Strat... #JobInUkraine #Migration #MobilizationUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkraineLaborMarket #UnemploymentUkraine
Ukraine needs to reduce the size of its shadow economy to continue receiving help from Western partners. As FT writes, Ukrainian authorities are trying to improve the country’s financial condition by implementing several scenarios simultaneously, which can be called a mixture of debt restructuring,... #AmChamUkraine #ForeignInvestor #ReformsinUkraine #UkraineBudget #UkraineEconomy #UkraineShadowEconomy
Entrepreneurs note a satisfactory business climate only in the west of Ukraine. Business conditions in other regions of Ukraine are assessed by companies as difficult, and only in the Western region do most entrepreneurs consider them satisfactory, according to a survey by the Eu... #BusinessExpectation #Kharkiv #MobilizationUkraine #UkraineBusinessActivity #UkraineEconomy #ukrainianbusiness #Львів
The National Bank predicts a slowdown in inflation next year. The NBU will allow exchange rate fluctuations that will make it possible to maintain control over inflation expectations and achieve the 5% inflation target, said National Bank Chairman Andriy Pyshnyi... #AndriiPyshnyi #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine is increasing its export of value-added products more than the supply of raw materials abroad. According to Deputy Minister of Economy Taras Kachka, a certain shift in emphasis occurred even before the war. After the invasion by the Russian Federation, many businesses completely updated their a... #ProcessingPlantUkraine #TarasKachka #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport #ValueAddedProduct
Experts have analyzed the dynamics of Ukraine’s credit rating over 20 years. In August, S&P downgraded Ukraine’s long-term and short-term foreign currency credit ratings from CC/C to SD/SD, which indicates selective default. The rating will be upgraded after the debt... #CreditRatingUkraine #DefaultUkraine #StandartandPoor #UkraineEconomy
