The first stage of currency liberalization announced by the National Bank will cost Ukraine $5.5B. However, the NBU says it will significantly expand business opportunities, improve the conditions for attracting investment and private capital participation in reconstruction, and, as a result, posit... #AndriiPyshnyi #CurrencyLiberalization #financeUkraine #internationalReserves #nbu
The devaluation of the national currency against the dollar will continue in 2024. According to analysis from the ICU: “Given the NBU’s desire for devaluation and increased exchange rate volatility, we have revised the year-end exchange rate forecast to ₴42.3 per $1 comp... #CurrencyLiberalization #financeUkraine #foreignexchangemarket #Hryvnia #hryvniadevaluation #nbu
The National Bank lowered the key policy rate to 13.5% and improved its inflation forecast. With the discount rate decrease, the rates on overnight deposit certificates and three-month deposit certificates are also reduced – to 13.5% and 16.5%, respectively. The National Bank of Ukrain... #CurrencyLiberalization #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineEconomy
The NBU is considering lifting restrictions on currency withdrawals to service old debts. The head of the NBU, Andriy Pyshnyi, said: “Currently, we see the presence of sufficient prerequisites for continuing the process of currency liberalization following the strategy approved as pa... #AndriiPyshnyi #CurrencyLiberalization #CurrencyRestrictions #financeUkraine #nbu
Ukrainian banks expect an increase in lending and an increase in portfolio quality. Banks expect an increase in consumer and commercial lending volume over the next 12 months, and for the first time since the end of 2021, they forecast an increase in loan portfolio quality, the NBU r... #ConsumerLending #CreditPortfolio #financeUkraine #Lending #MortgagesUkraine #nbu #UkrainianBanks
The EU is approaching a decision on the use of profits from frozen Russian assets to help Ukraine; the US has found a way to transfer up to €50B. The Minister of Foreign Affairs of Lithuania, Gabrielius Landsbergis, believes that the EC and the Council of the EU are close to deciding to allocate to Ukraine the profits obtained from Russian Fede... #AndriiPyshnyi #GabrieliusLandsbergis #nbu #ReparationsForUkraine #RussianAssetsArrested #RussianAssetsProfits
The mortgage lending market grew by 17% in February; the main driver is the state’s affordable housing program. In February, Ukrainian banks issued 783 mortgage loans for a total amount of ₴1.3B. In particular, the volume of mortgage loans granted to the population increased by 17.3% compared to the previous mo... #eOselya #MortgageProgram #MortgagesUkraine #nbu
Ukrainians have begun to borrow money more actively and increase their deposits, but experts predict a rate decrease. The head of the Finance Committee, Danylo Hetmantsev, commenting on NBU data, notes that lending increased slightly in March but generally stagnated. The balance of hryvnia loans granted to businesses... #BankDepositsinUkraine #CreditPortfolio #DanyloHetmantsev #financeUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkrainianBanks
Due to slowing inflation, the interest rate on inflation-linked bonds will decrease to 5.4% per annum in May 2024. According to analyst Oleksiy Blinov, as the growth dynamics of the consumer price index slowed to 3.2% per annum in March, the interest rate for inflation-linked government bonds in May will be 5.4% p... #InflationinUkraine #InterestRate #nbu #OVDPselling #SecuritiesMarket #UkraineBond
Experts confirm the recovery of consumer lending in Ukraine. According to the NBU, as of March 1, 2024 the portfolio of bank loans to individuals amounted to ₴230.9B, 12.1% more than on the same date last year. For comparison, as of March 1, 2022, customer debt... #ConsumerLending #financeUkraine #FinancialBroker #LendingInUkraine #nbu #Rozetka
Ukraine increases its international reserves to a new record. Ukraine’s international reserves grew by 18% in March and amounted to $43.8B on April 1, the National Bank reported. The regulator explained that the increase is due to the volume of income from... #CurrencyMarket #imf #NationalBankReserves #nbu #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineFacility #worldbank
Ukraine lost up to $400M in imports due to the border blockade in February; exports are close to pre-war levels. According to the NBU, in February there was no increase in the import of goods, which is typical for this month, due to the resumption of the blockade of the western borders. Thus, import losses amoun... #BorderBlockade #nbu #UkraineEconomy #UkraineExport #UkraineForeignTrade #UkraineImport
The National Bank explains why in 2023, real GDP grew by 5.3%. As reported by the NBU, public sector consumption increased by 9% over the year, and its share in GDP in 2023 reached almost 42% compared to about 18% in 2021. Private consumption grew by 6.1% thanks ... #GDPinUkraine #investments #nbu #UkraineEconomicActivity #UkraineEconomy
NBU: After five months of declining sentiment, Ukrainian businesses have improved their expectations. According to the NBU Business Activity Expectations Index, the increase in sea and rail transportation, the preservation of a stable situation on the foreign exchange market, low inflationary expectat... #BusinessActivityExpectations #businessinukraine #nbu #UkraineBusinessActivity #UkraineBusinessExpectation #UkraineEconomy
Currency restrictions effectively stabilize the Ukrainian economy, but they hold back investment. The director of the NBU’s monetary policy department, Volodymyr Lepushynskyi, stated: “Currency restrictions are effective for stabilizing the economy, but they are burdensome for it and hold ba... #CurrencyLiberalization #CurrencyRestrictions #InvestmentsinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomy
Following the discount rate decrease, Ukrainian bonds’ yield fell as well. At the first auction, after the NBU decided to lower the discount rate, the Ministry of Finance lowered rates for OVDP by 20-30 basis points. The secondary market also reacted by lowering rates for hr... #financeUkraine #imf #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #OVDPselling #UkraineBond #ukrainedebt
The key policy rate in Ukraine may drop to 11-12% by the end of the year. Some members of the Monetary Policy Committee of the National Bank have not ruled out a lowering of the key policy rate to 11%–12% this year. This rate will be consistent with expected moderate inflat... #CurrencyLiberalization #financeUkraine #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy
The NBU predicts the stabilization of Ukraine’s FX market. The National Bank has reported that the upcoming arrival of international financial assistance should contribute to maintaining the stability of Ukraine’s foreign exchange market. As noted in th... #CurrencyMarket #financialaidforUkraine #nbu #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineFacility
Over the year, Ukraine’s gross foreign debt increased by almost 25%. How does this threaten the financial system? Ukraine’s gross foreign debt at the end of 2023 amounted to $161.5B. That is, it increased by almost 25% (+$30.6B). This debt includes the external debt from the government, the central bank, commerci... #DanyloHetmantsev #GDPinUkraine #nbu #UkraineBudget2024 #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomy
In January, the volume of mortgage loans issued increased by 100% to ₴1.1B. In January, Ukrainian banks issued 676 mortgage loans for a total amount of ₴1.1B, the National Bank reported. The volume of consumer mortgage loans granted decreased by 33% compared to December, whil... #eOselya #HousingProgram #MortgageProgram #MortgagesUkraine #nbu
The key rate in Ukraine has again decreased to 14.5%, and the National Bank predicts further weakening. The National Bank’s board has decided to reduce the discount rate by 0.5 percentage point to 14.5% beginning March 15. In addition, the NBU reported that the rates on three-month deposit certificates ... #AndriiPyshnyi #BankDepositsinUkraine #financeUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy
What worries foreign investors in Ukraine the most? By order of the NBU, foreign investors cannot withdraw their dividends from Ukraine, which is the biggest problem with the inflow of investment, said the head of the EBA, Anna Derevyanko. “If yo... #AnnaDerevyanko #EBA #ForeignInvestor #InvestmentsinUkraine #nbu
In January, Ukraine increased its exports by 12% and reduced imports of goods. The export of goods in January increased by 12.3% compared to the corresponding period last year, while imports decreased by 1.1%, the National Bank reports. Ukraine supplied $3.3B worth of goods to f... #nbu #UkraineForeignTrade #UkraineImport #UkraineTrade #ВідвантаженнятоварівУкраїна
Business activity expectations have improved, and companies are looking for new employees. According to the NBU, the index of business activity expectations rose to 47.5 from 41 in January. Trade enterprises are the only ones among the surveyed sectors to assess their business activity posi... #BusinessExpectation #nbu #UkraineBusinessActivity #UkraineEconomy #UkrainianEnterprises
Bankers are predicting an increase in the yield of hryvnia deposits in Ukraine. In March, the rates on stock hryvnia deposits, depending on the term of placement of funds, may reach 17% per annum, predicts the top manager of Globus Bank, Dmytro Zamotaev. He specified that until t... #financeUkraine #GlobusBank #HryvniaDeposits #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkrainianBanks
Analysts predict how Ukraine’s accession to the EU would affect the growth of the Ukrainian economy. According to the NBU, the Ukrainian economy will increase by 7%, and the GDP per person will be $15,500 within a decade after the country’s accession to the EU with the rapid implementation of a... #AssociationwithEU #EuropeanIntegration #nbu #UkraineDevelopment #UkraineEconomy #UkraineEU
The currency deficit in Ukraine has increased by 100%. The hryvnia fell to record-low levels but later stabilized. Last week, the National Bank increased the sale of dollars from reserves in connection with the growing currency deficit. The dollar rate in... #CurrencyMarket #CurrencySale #financeUkraine #hryvniaexchangerate #nbu
Ukraine has come close to an agreement with the IMF on a new $900M tranche. Bloomberg reports that Ukraine has reached a deal with the IMF, though the Fund’s executive board still needs to ratify it. The agreement is the result of the ongoing discussions over the past t... #financialaidforUkraine #imf #nbu #UkraineBudget2024 #UScongress
Ukrainian businesses increased the volume of soft loans by 34% over the year. The total volume of loans granted under the Affordable Loans 5-7-9% program increased by 2% in the fourth quarter of 2023 and by 34% for the entire year, according to the Banking Sector Review for Feb... #5-7-9loanprogram #AffordableLoans #CreditPortfolio #financeUkraine #LoansUkraine #nbu
Last year, banks in Ukraine earned 100% more than before the beginning of the war and almost completely paid off their refinancing debts. In 2023, Ukrainian banks produced almost ₴160B in pre-tax profit, 100% more than before the start of the full-scale invasion. Banks will have to pay a tax of half their total profit – more than ... #financeUkraine #nbu #TaxesUkraine #UkraineBanksProfits #UkrainianBanks
During the war, the exodus of foreign exchange from Ukraine increased by 100%. The NBU plans to gradually abolish currency restrictions, but at the same time, asks businesses to return foreign exchange revenues on time and in full and avoid fictitious import schemes, said NBU Ch... #AndriiPyshnyi #CurrencyMarket #CurrencyRestrictions #financeUkraine #nbu
During the second year of the war, banks increased their profits by 300%. In 2023, solvent Ukrainian banks earned ₴86.5B in net profit. “This is almost four times higher than the figure for 2022 and 12% higher than the results of 2021, before the full-scale invasion,&... #nbu #TaxesUkraine #UkraineBanksProfits #UkrainianBanks
Ukrainians have begun withdrawing money from banks, and the volume of deposits decreased for the first time in a year and a half. Consumer deposits in Ukrainian banks decreased by 2.1% to ₴2.35T in January of this year. A decline was recorded for the first time since August 2022. According to the NBU, household deposits decrease... #DanyloHetmantsev #financeUkraine #HryvniaDeposits #nbu #UkraineDeposits
At the request of the IMF, Ukraine develops a war risk insurance system. The National Bank of Ukraine reported that the Financial Stability Board approved a conceptual memorandum for creating a fully functional war risk insurance system in Ukraine. This is stipulated by th... #imf #InsuranceUkraine #MilitaryRiskInsurance #nbu
Bank loans for Ukrainians are becoming more expensive, but the profitability of deposits is decreasing. According to the NBU, the national currency’s average interest rates on new consumer loans in January 2024 amounted to 34.6% per annum. The hryvnia’s nominated loan rates increased by 0.9 ... #BankDepositsinUkraine #BankLoans #CreditPortfolio #financeUkraine #HryvniaDeposits #nbu
Ukraine has increased its budget revenues, but the deficit reaches 34% of all revenues. From January 1 to February 8, budget revenues increased by 26.9% compared to last year, the NBU reported. Without international financial aid, they increased by 60% due to a 70% increase in tax revenu... #BudgetDeficit #financeUkraine #nbu #TaxesUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineBudgetRevenue #UkraineEconomy
Last year, the amount of mortgage loans issued in Ukraine increased by 400%. In 2023, Ukrainian banks issued 6,114 mortgage loans for a total of ₴9.1B. According to a National Bank survey, the volume of consumer mortgage loans increased almost fivefold in 2023 compared to the ... #eOselya #LoansUkraine #MortgagesUkraine #nbu #UkrainianBanks
Here are the reasons for the slowdown of inflation in Ukraine and new risks for an opposite trend. Several factors influenced the slowdown in inflation in January of this year. For example, aggregate demand has decreased significantly – by 25% compared to before the full-scale invasion, said ... #BohdanDanylyshyn #CurrencyMarket #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomy
The NBU has developed a concept for a military-risk insurance mechanism. It has already been agreed upon within the Ministry of Economy and Finance, reported a Deputy Head of the NBU, Kateryna Rozhkova. According to her, this concept provides for mandatory insurance of mil... #InsuranceUkraine #KaterynaRozhkova #MilitaryRiskInsurance #nbu
Over the past year, the share of NPL loans in the banking system decreased to 37.4%. As noted by the NBU, this is 0.8 percentage points below the January 1, 2023, indicator. The volume of NPL decreased by ₴9.7B for the year to ₴422.4B. The regulator explained that the key factor in re... #financeUkraine #LoanPortfolio #nbu #NPL #NPLukraine #UkraineBankingSystem
The NBU is preparing for the second stage of currency policy liberalization. The head of the National Bank, Andriy Pyshnyi, said at a meeting with businesses: “The NBU is determined to continue currency liberalization despite all the challenges posed by the war. We will ... #AndriiPyshnyi #CurrencyLiberalization #financeUkraine #nbu #Ukrsibbank #YuriGeletiy
The NBU predicts a further decrease in the key policy rate. Most of the members of the Monetary Policy Committee of the National Bank predict a reduction of the discount rate to 14% by the end of the year. They believe that the NBU can return to lowering the d... #financeUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy #UkraineMonetaryPolicy
The NBU explains why the hryvnia strengthened at the beginning of the year. In January 2024, the situation on Ukraine’s foreign exchange market gradually improved, recovering amidst the fading effects of significant budget expenditures at the end of the year, explained NBU De... #AndriiPyshnyi #financeUkraine #Hryvnia #hryvniaexchangerate #nbu #UkraineEconomy #YuriGeletiy
The banking sector expects loan portfolios to grow during the year. According to the results of a quarterly NBU survey on lending conditions, improvement in the main indicators continues to be observed – most respondents expect an increase in lending to enterpri... #financeUkraine #LoanPortfolio #LoansUkraine #MortgagesUkraine #nbu
Analysts calculate the damage caused by the border closure and give their forecast for the coming months. The blockade of Ukraine’s western borders by protesters since the fall of 2023 has led to decreased exports and imports. At the same time, the flow of goods was quickly directed in other ways. T... #BorderBlockade #nbu #UkraineEconomy #UkraineEconomyLosses #UkrainePolandCheckpoints #ВідвантаженнятоварівУкраїна
The NBU presents a scenario for Ukraine’s rapid economic growth during the process of joining the EU. Sustainable economic growth at a high rate is possible only through a steady increase in productivity. European integration can become a driving force for growth, even before Ukraine’s official access... #EuropeanIntegration #GDPinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomy #UkraineRecovery
The index of business activity expectations in Ukraine has worsened. The index of business activity expectations, which the NBU calculates every month, decreased to 41.0 in January from 45.7 in December 2023. Given the growing pressure from production costs and logisti... #BusinessActivityExpectations #nbu #UkraineBusinessActivity #UkraineEconomy #бізнесвУкраїні
Ukraine is preparing for the second stage of currency liberalization. The head of the National Bank, Andriy Pyshnyi, specified that he foresees an easing of trade financing and the possibility of paying interest on the obligations of Ukrainian issuers. At the same time,... #AndriiPyshnyi #CurrencyLiberalization #financeUkraine #ICC #nbu #VolodymyrShchelkunov
The NBU decides to keep its key policy rate at 15%. Thus, the National Bank has suspended the cycle of lowering the discount rate, which began in July last year, NBU Chairman Andriy Pyshnyi said. As he noted, the decision is consistent with the need to... #AndriiPyshnyi #financeUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu
The Ministry of Economy has assessed 2023’s most important economic indicators. Preliminary operational estimates indicate that Ukraine’s real GDP grew by 5% in 2023 after falling by 28.8% in 2022. According to the Ministry of Economy, the service sector’s most positi... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomy
