The EU predicts Ukraine’s GDP will grow this year.
The Spring 2023 Economic Forecast states that Ukraine’s economy will stabilize this year, and GDP may grow by 0.6%. And after a year, growth may reach 4%. This growth is forecast even though during the first year of the war, Ukraine’s economy dropped by 29.1%.
According to the analysis, exports of goods and services, after falling by 42.4% last year, should grow by 1.5% this year and by 5.3% in 2024. After a reduction of 18.5%, imports should increase by 3-6.2% in the next two years. Ukraine’s trade balance deficit (for goods only) should be 11.9-11.8% of GDP after totaling 12.7% last year.
Note that according to the results from the first quarter of 2023, Ukraine’s real GDP decreased by 10.5% compared to the same period in 2022. At the same time, compared to the last quarter of the previous year, an increase of 2.4% was recorded.