Fitch has maintained Ukraine’s rating at Restricted Default but expects macroeconomic indicators to deteriorate. Fitch has affirmed Ukraine’s rating at Restricted Default for the second consecutive time in response to its foreign currency debts. The national currency rating stands at CCC+, indicating a ver... #DefaultUkraine #FitchRatings #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Dragon Capital has updated its macroeconomic forecast to reflect a potential peace agreement. Ukraine’s real GDP growth in 2025 could accelerate to 3.5-5.5% if Ukraine and Russia reach an agreement on a long-term ceasefire. If the war continues, Ukraine’s economic growth will slow ... #DragonCapital #GDPinUkraine #Hryvnia #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
April’s inflation in Ukraine exceeded 15% for the first time in two years. In April 2025, inflation in the consumer market was 0.7%. In annual terms, price growth accelerated to 15.1%, compared to 14.6% in March, as reported by the State Statistics Service. Prices for food p... #InflationinUkraine #OECD #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The National Bank of Ukraine keeps the discount rate unchanged at 15.5%. The Board of the NBU has decided to hold the discount rate steady at 15.5% to sustain the foreign exchange market’s stability, control inflation expectations, and gradually reduce inflation to t... #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineMonetaryPolicy
Ukraine’s economy is expected to grow by 3%, while inflation is anticipated to slow significantly. ICU analysts observe that that the Ukrainian economy has shown modest growth since the third quarter of 2024, and predict a low probability of a substantial acceleration in recovery. The need to gradu... #Hryvnia #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The National Bank of Ukraine has outlined the reasons for rising inflation in the country. In February 2025, both general and core inflation continued to rise in Ukraine. According to the NBU, inflation maintained its upward trend in March. The primary factors driving inflation’s acce... #ConsumerInflation #IndustrialInflation #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomy
Industrial inflation in Ukraine hits 40%, with food products seeing an 18% price increase. In February 2025, wholesale prices for industrial producers rose by 37% compared to February of the previous year. Domestic prices surged by 40%, while export prices increased by 15.9%, according to t... #FoodPrices #IndustrialInflation #InflationinUkraine #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
Ukrainian financiers anticipate inflation to slow over the next year after reaching 13.4% in February. Consequently, according to the NBU, financial analysts in February 2025 maintained their inflation forecast at 7.8% for the upcoming 12 months. The public’s inflation expectations have improved ... #financeUkraine #hryvniadevaluation #InflationinUkraine #UkraineCurrencyRate #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
To curb inflation, the NBU raised its key policy rate to 15.5%. The Board of the National Bank of Ukraine decided to increase the discount rate by one percentage point to 15.5% per annum and adjust the parameters of its interest rate policy framework. These decisi... #financeUkraine #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UkraineMonetaryPolicy
Economists forecaste Ukraine’s GDP growth, inflation, and international aid. Analysts from the Institute of Economic Research projected that, despite the devastating impact of the full-scale Russian invasion, Ukraine’s economy is showing resilience. The forecasted GDP gr... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineBudgetDeficit #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
In early 2025, the rise in industrial prices surpassed the 32% mark in annual terms. By January 2025, industrial inflation reached 32.5% compared to the same month last year. The growth in industrial production prices dropped to 0.6% from December, marking the lowest figure since Marc... #DanyloHetmantsev #FoodProductionUkraine #IndustryUkraine #InflationinUkraine #PharmaceuticalSector #UkraineEconomy
The EBRD downgrades Ukraine’s economic growth forecast for 2025, calls for 5% growth in 2026. The EBRD has downgraded its forecast for Ukraine’s economic growth in 2025 to 3.5%. Last September, the bank forecasted growth of 4.7%. It is noted that Ukraine started 2025 with weak economic i... #ebrd #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
By the end of March, inflation in Ukraine is expected to rise to 14%. Danylo Hetmantsev, the head of the parliamentary finance committee, noted that the NBU predicts inflation will accelerate to 14.3% in the first quarter of 2025. The politician stated that the primary ... #DanyloHetmantsev #hryvniaexchangerate #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The NBU forecast: What will happen to inflation and GDP in 2025-2026? Inflation in Ukraine is expected to decrease during 2025-2026, dropping to 5%. According to the National Bank’s forecast, inflation will peak in the second quarter of 2025, and begin to decline ... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The National Bank has worsened its 2025 key macro indicator forecasts. Considering security risks and the difficult situation in the labor market, the NBU has worsened its forecast for Ukraine’s 2025 GDP growth from 4.3% to 3.6%. At the same time, the bank predicts... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineBudget2025 #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The Central Bank of Ukraine expects inflation to accelerate at the beginning of the year. In the first months of 2025, inflation will likely continue to accelerate because of lower harvests, pressure from business spending on energy supplies and labor, and the effects of a weakening hryvni... #Inflation #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The advantage is on Ukraine’s side: What is happening with the economies of the warring countries? The Economist notes that the Ukrainian economy looks “healthier” than the Russian economy did after the start of the full-scale war. Ukraine’s economy has been rebuilt to navigate th... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #RussianEconomy #UkraineBudgetDeficit #UkraineEconomy #WarinUkraine
Investors have shared their 2025 macroeconomic forecast for Ukraine. The growth rate of Ukraine’s economy in 2025 will decrease to 3.4% compared to the expected result of 4% in 2024. At the same time, inflation will slow from 11.5% to 7%. ICU predicts that Ukrain... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #LaborMarketUkraine #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Due to inflation, the key rate in Ukraine was increased from 13% to 13.5%. The Board of the National Bank of Ukraine increased the discount rate to 13.5% per annum. This takes place after inflation accelerated to 11.2% per annum in November. It is noted that the inflationary... #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineBudgetDeficit #UkraineEconomy
FitchRatings: What awaits the Ukrainian economy and when the war will end. Fitch Ratings predicts a slowdown in Ukraine’s economic growth. In 2024, GDP growth is predicted to reach 4%, facilitated by the normalization of Black Sea trade activity, high government spendi... #FitchRatings #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #WarEnding #WarinUkraine
Inflation is accelerating in Ukraine, but the NBU predicts it will decrease next year. In October 2024, consumer prices increased by 1.8% compared to September; annual inflation accelerated to 9.7% (8.6% in September), according to the Ukrainian State Statistics Service. Since the begin... #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
In September, prices for goods and services in Ukraine rose faster than the National Bank’s forecast. Consumer inflation accelerated to 8.6% year-on-year in September against 7.5% in August. “The actual pace of price growth was higher than the forecast published in the Inflation Report for July ... #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Price increases accelerated in August: The NBU explains why. According to the National Bank, in August consumer inflation accelerated to 7.5% in annual terms (from 5.4% in July), as was expected. At the same time, core inflation increased more significantly tha... #FoodPrices #FuelPricesUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
Here are the main economic activity factors in Ukraine for the first half of the year. Macroeconomic indicators of the Ukrainian economy in 2024 show growth, but positive dynamics are slowing down. The growth potential represented by the economic recovery from the fall in 2022 has been ... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicActivity #UkraineEconomy
The Ministry of Economy names four critical price growth factors in Ukraine. In August, consumer prices increased by 0.6% for the month. On an annualized basis (August 2024 compared to August 2023), inflation accelerated to 7.5% from 5.4% a month earlier, according to the Moni... #ElectricityDeficitUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
What are the NBU’s plans regarding the key policy rate? Almost all (10 out of 11) of the NBU’s Monetary Policy Committee members support keeping the discount rate at 13%. The NBU notes that the majority believes that the current rate level provides n... #AndriiPyshnyi #financeUkraine #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy
The National Bank of Ukraine kept the key policy rate unchanged at 13%. This decision will contribute to the gradual return of inflation to the 5% target in the following years and support the foreign exchange market’s stability, the NBU reported. It is also aimed a... #financeUkraine #foreignexchangemarket #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy
National Bank: inflation will grow at a higher rate than predicted. Last week, the State Statistics Service announced that consumer inflation accelerated to 7.5% annually in August from 5.4% in July. In monthly terms, prices increased by 0.6%. However, the NBU noted t... #Hryvnia #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The IMF has worsened its GDP growth and inflation forecasts for Ukraine. The IMF predicts the growth of Ukraine’s real GDP at 3% in 2024 with inflation at 9%, the National Bank reported following the IMF mission. The IMF emphasized that Ukrainian fiscal policy, high ... #GDPinUkraine #imf #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The NBU explains why Ukraine’s price growth accelerated in the summer. In July, consumer inflation in Ukraine accelerated to 5.4% annually compared to 4.8% in June. According to the NBU’s estimates, the tendency toward accelerated consumer inflation continued in Au... #hryvniaexchangerate #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
This fall, the prices of products in Ukraine will increase by 30%. A short-term seasonal decrease in vegetable prices will be replaced by an increase in autumn, especially for high quality goods. Entrepreneurs complain that they have run out of security, and consumer... #ConsumerInflation #InflationinUkraine #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
Inflation in Ukraine will begin to grow – prices will rise in the fall. According to the State Statistics Service, zero inflation growth was recorded in Ukraine in July, but economists believe it will be different in August and the following months. The situation is unbal... #InflationinUkraine #ubnnews #UkraineEconomy #Ukrainenews #WarInflation
Financial analysts and businesses predict what will happen to prices and the dollar exchange rate in Ukraine. Inflation in Ukraine will accelerate over the next 12 months but will not exceed 9%. Such is the forecast given by bankers, financial analysts, and heads of enterprises. In July, financial analysts pr... #dollarexchangerate #financeUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The National Bank predicts a slowdown in inflation next year. The NBU will allow exchange rate fluctuations that will make it possible to maintain control over inflation expectations and achieve the 5% inflation target, said National Bank Chairman Andriy Pyshnyi... #AndriiPyshnyi #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The necessary conditions for further discount rate reductions in Ukraine are no longer present. Thanks to favorable macro-financial trends, the National Bank of Ukraine has reduced the discount rate from 25% to 13% in one year. However, the NBU does not currently see further prerequisites for lo... #CurrencyMarket #financeUkraine #InflationinUkraine #InterestRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy
The NBU leaves the key policy rate unchanged due to accelerated inflation. Ukraine halted a run of three interest-rate cuts after an acceleration in inflation prompted policymakers to signal that easing will only be possible to resume next year, reported Bloomberg. The Natio... #financeUkraine #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineEconomy
The NBU updated its forecast for key indicators in the Ukrainian economy. The NBU predicts the growth of Ukraine’s GDP in 2024 at 3.7% (April’s forecast was 3%). Economic growth in the year’s first half continued, although it has slowed down in recent mont... #foreignexchangemarket #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
In June, Ukrainians’ consumer sentiment worsened sharply. The Ukrainian consumer sentiment index decreased by eight points in June to 64.5. According to a study, all components of the indicator decreased. The index of the current situation has decreased to 5... #BusinessExpectation #consumersentiment #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicActivity #UkraineEconomy #UkrainiansIncome
Annual inflation in Ukraine jumped to almost 5%, pushed up by electricity tariffs. Inflation in Ukraine accelerated to 4.8% in June compared to the same month in 2023, the State Statistics Service reports. At the same time, in the previous three months, this indicator went almost un... #ConsumerPrices #ElectricityTariffs #InflationinUkraine #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomy
The Ukrainian government clarified its 2024 forecast for developing the Ukrainian economy. The Ministry of Economy updated its statistical data and revised their assumptions and forecast for Ukraine’s economic and social development in 2024. Accordingly, by the end of 2024, nominal GD... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #SalaryUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #UnemploymentUkraine
The government predicts an acceleration of inflation in the coming months. As noted by the Ministry of Economy, in January through May the trend of slowing inflation continued; consumer inflation was the lowest in recent years – 2% since the beginning of the year. Annual inf... #ConsumerInflation #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The CES provides a forecast for key macro indicators through the end of the year. The Ukrainian economy will grow by 3-4% by the end of 2024, which is less than 2023, according to the macro forecast from the Center for Economic Strategy (CES). As experts explain, the pessimism rega... #dollarexchangerate #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The National Bank has summarized the economic results for April-May. Here are the leading indicators: Inflation in April remained the same as in March – 3.2% annually. This was facilitated by a drop in prices for raw food products and persistent inflationary expe... #BusinessExpectation #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineEconomy #UkraineForeignTrade
World Bank: Almost a third of Ukrainians live in poverty. The number of Ukrainians living in poverty has increased by 1.8 million since 2020, accounting for about 29% of the population, as the Russian invasion continues to damage the country’s economy.... #FoodSecurity #InflationinUkraine #PovertyInUkraine #UkraineEconomy #UkrainePopulation #UkrainiansIncome #worldbank
A Ukrainian investment company revises its economic forecast for Ukraine. Investment group Dragon Capital has improved its inflation forecast in 2024 from 8% to 7.6%. At the same time, the previous estimate of a 4% increase in GDP in 2024 has been maintained thanks to the r... #DragonCapital #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The NBU predicts that consumer price growth will accelerate moderately in the coming months, although in April, it was lower than the regulator predicted. “The deviation from the forecast was provided by the dynamics of little-forecasted factors of a temporary nature, first of all, a sh... #ConsumerPrices #InflationinUkraine #nbu #pricesinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine’s economic growth will slow to 3% this year, and the budget deficit will reach 20.7% of GDP. “The National Bank of Ukraine predicts that economic growth will slow to 3% in 2024 due to the loss of energy infrastructure and an expected electricity deficit of about 5%. In 2025-2026, GDP growth w... #BudgetDeficit #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #nbu #UkraineBudget2024 #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomy
The government noted an acceleration of GDP growth in March to 4.6%, but analysts predict a further decline. The Ministry of Economy estimated GDP growth in March to be at the level of 4.6%, while in January, the growth was at 3.5%, and in February, 3.9%. The GDP growth trend is supported by stable seaport o... #GDPinUkraine #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The National Bank lowered the key policy rate to 13.5% and improved its inflation forecast. With the discount rate decrease, the rates on overnight deposit certificates and three-month deposit certificates are also reduced – to 13.5% and 16.5%, respectively. The National Bank of Ukrain... #CurrencyLiberalization #InflationinUkraine #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineEconomy
Due to slowing inflation, the interest rate on inflation-linked bonds will decrease to 5.4% per annum in May 2024. According to analyst Oleksiy Blinov, as the growth dynamics of the consumer price index slowed to 3.2% per annum in March, the interest rate for inflation-linked government bonds in May will be 5.4% p... #InflationinUkraine #InterestRate #nbu #OVDPselling #SecuritiesMarket #UkraineBond
