A year and a half separate the Russian economy from collapse. According to the Carnegie Foundation, the Russian economy is still strong despite rising military spending and sanctions. In fact, the IMF predicts that the Russian Federation’s economy will gro... #imf #RussiaBudget #RussianEconomy #RussiaProfits #SberbankRussia
How will Ukraine’s partners help it close the hole in its budget this year? According to the Ukrainian government, the need for international financing in 2024 is $37.2B. As of April 20, Ukraine has received $10.2B: $4.9B from the EU (Ukraine Facility) $2.1B from Japan... #financialaidforUkraine #imf #SupportUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineBudgetDeficit #UkraineFacility #worldbank
IMF assistance acts as a catalyst for Ukraine’s financial support from other countries, the head of the IMF, Kristalina Georgieva, emphasized. She notes that the IMF’s 2023-2027 program with Ukraine for will provide $15.1B. However, Georgieva states the program will generate a total of $... #EFFprogram #financialaidforUkraine #imf #KristalinaGeorgieva #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineEconomy
Canada will provide Ukraine $1.2B in military aid and a soft loan of $300M. Over five years, Canada will provide CAD 1.6B (about $1.2B) for various lethal and non-lethal military aid packages to Ukraine, according to a project contained within the budget that has been submitt... #CanadaAId #ebrd #imf #LoansForUkraine #MilitaryAidforUkraine #UkraineReconstruction
The IMF expects Ukraine’s GDP to grow by 3.2% this year. Next year, Ukraine’s GDP growth will be 6.5%, according to the World Economic Outlook report. According to the IMF forecast, consumer inflation in Ukraine will decrease from 12.9% in 2023 to 6.4... #EFFprogram #GDPinUkraine #imf #SerhiyMarchenko #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
The US offers to provide Ukraine with billions of euros in aid secured by profits from the Russian Federation’s frozen assets. As the FT writes, the US is proposing to the G7 a compromise plan for the use of Russian assets rather than their confiscation or simply providing Ukraine with their profits. Daleep Singh, the US pres... #DaleepSingh #Euroclear #imf #ReparationsForUkraine #RussianAssetsArrested #RussianAssetsProfits
Ukraine’s debt to the IMF is recognized as stable and is not subject to restructuring. To the question of whether the IMF can write off Ukraine’s approximately $15B in debt, taking into account an analysis of Ukraine’s debt sustainability, the top manager of the IMF, Julie K... #DebtRestructuring #imf #JulieKozack #ukrainedebt
Ukraine increases its international reserves to a new record. Ukraine’s international reserves grew by 18% in March and amounted to $43.8B on April 1, the National Bank reported. The regulator explained that the increase is due to the volume of income from... #CurrencyMarket #imf #NationalBankReserves #nbu #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineFacility #worldbank
The IMF plans to discuss Ukraine at the spring meetings with the WB. The top manager of the IMF, Julie Kozack, said: “We will discuss during the spring meetings on April 15 (between the IMF and the World Bank) the situation in Ukraine and the critical importance of the... #DebtRestructuring #imf #JulieKozack #RussianAssets #RussianAssetsConfiscation #ukrainedebt #worldbank
Ukraine’s national debt increased by 54% during the first two years of the war. From February 2022 to February 2024, Ukraine’s state debt increased by $50.4B. To reduce debt pressure on the state budget, Ukraine has worked to attract loans on preferential terms. For example, the ... #DebtRestructuring #imf #UkraineBudget2024 #ukrainedebt #worldbank
Ukraine will defer payments on its national debt with the US, and the Eurobond restructuring might include a partial debt write-off. Ukraine and the US signed an agreement to postpone public debt payments with a group of Ukraine’s creditors from the G7 countries and the Paris Club. At the same time, the debt sustainability analysis... #DebtRestructuring #GDPinUkraine #imf #UkraineBudget2024 #ukrainedebt #UkraineEconomy
How Ukraine’s budget was funded in March: $9B in external financing and $4B in taxes and fees. In March, the state budget’s general fund received ₴158.1B (over $4B) in taxes, fees, and mandatory payments. About ₴105.7B was received from taxes and ₴45.8B from the State Customs Service, but... #financialaidforUkraine #GrantForUkraine #imf #UkraineBudget2024 #worldbank
Following the discount rate decrease, Ukrainian bonds’ yield fell as well. At the first auction, after the NBU decided to lower the discount rate, the Ministry of Finance lowered rates for OVDP by 20-30 basis points. The secondary market also reacted by lowering rates for hr... #financeUkraine #imf #KeyPolicyRate #nbu #OVDPselling #UkraineBond #ukrainedebt
The international financial aid deficit next year may reach $15B. As Deputy Chairman of the Finance Committee Yaroslav Zheleznyak said, the lack of financial aid from international partners next year may amount to $10-15B, and the hidden additional state budget defi... #EFFprogram #financialaidforUkraine #imf #SupportUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineBudgetDeficit #YaroslavZhelezniak
Ukraine refuses to import gas and is preparing for zero transit. As a memorandum with the IMF states, “Limited domestic consumption and growing domestic production limited the need for gas imports during the last heating season. For the next heating season of... #energyukraine #GasstorageUkraine #GasTransit #GasUkraine #imf #Naftogaz #UkraineGasimport #UkrainianGTS
The International Monetary Fund has updated its macro forecast for Ukraine. According to the IMF, the expectation for nominal GDP in 2024 has increased to ₴7.75T from the ₴7.64T predicted in December last year’ However, 2025’s forecast remains almost unchanged at ₴8.86T. At t... #GDPinUkraine #imf #InflationinUkraine #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineBudgetDeficit #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
IMF: Due to the intensification of the war, the shock to Ukraine’s economy will begin in the second quarter. According to the IMF, in a negative scenario, the war will end by the end of 2025 and not at the end of 2024 as in the base scenario. At the same time, “the shock will begin in the second quarte... #GDPinUkraine #imf #InflationinUkraine #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy #WarinUkraine
Each delayed reform within the framework of the Ukraine Facility will cost Ukraine $400M. Deputy Minister of Economy Oleksiy Sobolev voiced this prediction at the presentation of the Monitoring of the Implementation of the Conditions of the IMF Program and Support from the EU. According to... #imf #OleksiySobolev #ReformsinUkraine #SupportUkraine #UkraineFacility #worldbank
Ukraine awaits a decision on a new IMF tranche on March 21 and $10B in external financing in March-April. The National Bank assumes that Ukraine will receive over $10B in external funding in March-April. A favorable decision by the IMF board of directors will allow Ukraine to receive the fourth tranche of... #EFFprogram #financialaidforUkraine #imf #SerhiyMarchenko #UkraineFacility
The decision on the next IMF tranche for Ukraine will occur in the second half of March. The Executive Board of the IMF will hold a meeting on the third review of the Extended Financing Program (EFF) and the allocation of the next tranche for Ukraine in the second half of this month, said... #EFFprogram #financialaidforUkraine #imf #JuliaKozak
In March, Ukraine will receive about $9B in international aid. An expert from the Center for Economic Strategy said: “The first two months of 2024 were not very fruitful for Ukraine in terms of international aid. As of February 23, we had received only $436... #EFFprogram #financialaidforUkraine #imf #SupportUkraine #UkraineBudget2024
Ukraine has come close to an agreement with the IMF on a new $900M tranche. Bloomberg reports that Ukraine has reached a deal with the IMF, though the Fund’s executive board still needs to ratify it. The agreement is the result of the ongoing discussions over the past t... #financialaidforUkraine #imf #nbu #UkraineBudget2024 #UScongress
The IMF has created a trust fund to attract $65M to support reforms in Ukraine. The IMF has announced the official opening of a Ukraine Capacity Development Fund (UCDF) to support economic and financial reforms in Ukraine over the next five years. The fund’s goal is to attr... #imf #ReformsinUkraine #SupportUkraine #TrustFund #UCDF
An IMF team arrived in Kyiv to discuss reforms and financing for this year. The IMF team will participate in the inaugural meeting of the Steering Committee of the Fund for the Development of Potential of Ukraine, which the IMF administers. After these meetings, on February 1... #DenysShmyhal #EFFprogram #GavinGray #imf #IMFprogramm
At the request of the IMF, Ukraine develops a war risk insurance system. The National Bank of Ukraine reported that the Financial Stability Board approved a conceptual memorandum for creating a fully functional war risk insurance system in Ukraine. This is stipulated by th... #imf #InsuranceUkraine #MilitaryRiskInsurance #nbu
The IMF adjusted its global economic growth forecast in a positive direction. The International Monetary Fund raised its forecast for global economic growth in 2024 by 0.2 percentage points to 3.1%. In 2025, an increase of 3.2% is expected. The outlook has improved from last Oc... #GlobalEconomy #imf #IMFforecast #WorldEconomyForecast
Leading analysts predict a slowdown in the growth of the world economy. The pace of global economic growth will slow in 2024, according to more than half (56%) of the chief economists surveyed as part of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos. The remaining respondents e... #Davos #GlobalEconomy #imf #worldeconomicforum
The IMF is assessing the impact of the confiscation of Russian assets on the international financial system, and Russia is preparing its case for the courts. The top manager of the IMF, Julia Kozak, noted that the fund believes that decisions on the confiscation of Russian assets should be made by the countries where the frozen funds of the Russian Federat... #imf #JuliaKozak #ReparationsForUkraine #RussianAssets #RussianAssetsConfiscation #RussianCentralBank
The IMF says it will help Ukraine attract additional revenues to its budget. The IMF is focused on supporting the work of the Ukrainian state and its social obligations, and not on the military sphere, said Alfred Kemmer, director of the European Department of the IMF. “... #AlfredKemmer #financialaidforUkraine #imf #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineEconomy
IMF: Resources for clean energy will become more expensive. In addition to the influence of geopolitical factors, such as the pandemic or the Russian war in Ukraine, which have already pushed prices up on global markets, additional price increases are expected... #ClimateChange #GreenENergy #IEA #imf #RenewableEnergy
The IMF is concerned about Ukraine’s delayed financial assistance. The head of the IMF, Kristalina Georgieva, believes the West should provide financial aid to Ukraine as soon as possible. In her opinion, Ukraine can cope with the likely short-term financing deficit ... #DanyloHetmantsev #financialaidforUkraine #imf #KristalinaGeorgieva #UkraineBudget2024 #UkraineBudgetDeficit
The IMF insists on increasing bank lending to hasten Ukraine’s recovery. In Ukraine, the level of bank lending is low, which is a significant obstacle to the recovery of the country, according to former member of the NBU Council, Bohdan Danylyshyn. Danylyshyn states that, ... #BankLoans #BohdanDanylyshyn #financeUkraine #imf #LendingInUkraine #nbu
The IMF supports a moratorium on Ukraine’s national debt payment until 2027. To that end, the restructuring will be carried out by the middle of 2024, said the head of the IMF mission in Ukraine, Gavin Gray. “An ambitious external commercial debt restructuring should be ... #DebtRestructuring #GavinGray #imf #UkraineBudget #ukrainedebt
Ukraine will fully settle with the IMF under the 2018 stand-by program. Ukraine will fully repay the IMF under the 2018 stand-by program, which amounts to $166M at the current exchange rate, said Economist Oleksiy Blinov. According to him, the payment will be provided fro... #imf #nbu #OleksiyBlinov #ukrainedebt #UkraineLoans
The IMF has revised the forecast for Ukraine’s real GDP growth in 2023 to 4.5%. Ukraine’s macroeconomic indicators have been stronger than expected despite the ongoing war. This contributed to the upward revision of the IMF’s forecast for economic growth. The IMF revi... #GavinGray #GDPinUkraine #imf #UkraineEconomicForecast #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine has fulfilled most IMF and EU structural beacons on time, but there are some delays. During the nine months of the IMF program, requirements have been met for 16 of the IMF’s 23 structural beacons and eight of the 20 conditions under the EU program. The country has neither fulfilled n... #EKrecommendation #imf #IMFStructuralBeacons #ReformsinUkraine
IMF loans have turned out to be the most expensive for Ukraine. As of October 2023, the average cost of servicing all loans granted to Ukraine by external official creditors is about 2.1% per annum, said former NBU executive Bohdan Danylyshyn. According to him, IM... #BohdanDanylyshyn #imf #IMFloans #LoansForUkraine #nbu
The IMF has improved its expectations for Ukrainian economic growth to 4.5%. In the IMF’s notification regarding the arrangements for the second review of the program as part of the expanded financing of the EFF, it is noted that the Ukrainian economy continues to demons... #EFFprogram #GDPinUkraine #imf #IMFprogramforUkraine #UkraineEconomy
IMF: The war will determine Ukraine’s economic prospects. Ukraine’s economy continues to recover in 2023 amid infrastructure attacks, and its growth could reach 1-3% this year, 3.2% next year, and 6.5% in 2025. However, the duration and intensity of th... #GDPinUkraine #imf #IMFforecast #UkraineEconomy
By the end of the year, Ukraine needs to attract more than $9B in international aid, which will decrease in 2024-2025. The amount of international financial aid that Ukraine has received this year will exceed $45B, but in the next two years it will gradually decrease to $38.5B and $25B, respectively, the NBU predicts.... #financialaidforUkraine #imf #nbu #SupportUkraine #UkraineBudget
The IMF has started reviewing the EFF program with Ukraine. On November 6, the IMF mission began discussing the second review of the extended financing program with Ukrainian authorities, said IMF Resident Representative to Ukraine, Vahram Stepanyan. The NBU c... #AndriiPyshnyi #EFFprogram #imf #IMFprogramforUkraine #nbu #VahramStepanyan
Ukraine has fulfilled its IMF and EU requirements and strengthened control over the expenses of politically exposed persons, and moves toward another beacon. In the second reading, the Ukrainian Parliament supported draft law No. 9296-d on strengthening financial monitoring of politically exposed persons (PEP). The document’s main innovation is that top of... #imf #IMFStructuralBeacons #PEP #ReformsinUkraine
Ukraine presents the G7 financial block with its economic prospects, which the IMF assesses positively. Ukraine’s economy is showing stability during the current year, and GDP growth is forecast to be 4.7%, said Finance Minister Serhiy Marchenko. “Inflation is falling faster than expected: 7... #AlfredKammer #GDPinUkraine #imf #InflationinUkraine #SerhiyMarchenko #UkraineEconomy
Ukraine’s external financing needs in 2024 are $3B higher than previous estimates. Ukraine has shown outstanding results in the country’s economic management during the war, but its needs in external financing in 2024 will be $3B more, and it is necessary to help Ukraine cope ... #EFFprogram #imf #KristalinaGeorgieva #UkraineEconomy #UkraineRecovery
The IMF will allocate $900M to Ukraine at the end of 2023, but there are conditions. IMF Director Kristalina Georgieva stated that this financing will take place under the Enhanced Funding Program (EFF). “In June, we completed the first review of this program, bringing the IMF&#... #EFFprogram #financialaidforUkraine #imf #IMFprogramm #KristalinaGeorgieva
The IMF believes that the population of Ukraine will grow after a significant decline in the first years of the war. According to the October World Economic Outlook, the International Monetary Fund predicts the gradual return of refugees to Ukraine as early as 2024. The population of Ukraine in 2021 was 41 million p... #imf #RefugeesFromUkraine #RepatriationInUkraine #UkrainePopulation #WarinUkraine
The IMF has assessed Ukraine’s implementation of the memorandum program: what else needs to be done? According to the head of the IMF mission, Gavin Gray, Ukraine first must adopt the new gas transportation system operator statute. Secondly, it is still waiting for resolution on the issue of business... #BudgetCodeUkraine #GavinGray #imf #IMFprogramforUkraine #ReformsinUkraine
The IMF advises Ukraine to optimize tax collection against a possible decrease in international financial support. As the head of the IMF mission, Gavin Gray, noted, this should be considered because the need to finance social expenditures will increase after the war’s end. “That’s why the author... #financialaidforUkraine #GavinGray #imf #ReformsinUkraine #TaxesUkraine
Ukraine has started consultations to restructure the $20B state debt. As Reuters writes, preliminary consultations with foreign bondholders regarding the restructuring of payments began ahead of schedule and have been going on for several weeks. Talks with bondholders w... #DebtRestructuring #GavinGray #imf #UkraineBond #ukrainedebt
Ukraine receiving $115B in aid from its partners depends on an IMF program. According to the head of the NBU, Andriy Pyshnyi, implementing the IMF program will provide financial assistance of $15.6B and be critical for obtaining $115B in financing from partners over the next ... #AndriiPyshnyi #financialaidforUkraine #imf #IMFprogramforUkraine #SupportUkraine
