Ukraine’s accession to the EU will ensure a 26% increase in its GDP.

According to the Polish Economic Institute, Ukraine’s accession to the EU could serve as a powerful economic stimulus for both the country itself and its neighbors in Central Europe. It is anticipated that Ukraine’s GDP could grow by 26%, and neighboring countries, particularly Poland, Hungary, and Lithuania, will also reap economic benefits, albeit more modestly.

Between 2021 and 2024, exports from Central European countries to Ukraine rose by 75% – from €13.7B to a record €24B. Kyiv’s main trading partners in the region remain Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Lithuania, Romania, and Bulgaria. These countries account for 50% of Ukrainian imports. The export situation is also progressing dynamically. Central European countries currently receive 25% of all Ukrainian exports, with Poland being the largest recipient at 10%. Warsaw is also Ukraine’s second-largest trading partner after China.

Analysts suggest that military equipment has played a significant role in the growth of trade, but other sectors are also experiencing steady growth and have already surpassed pre-war levels. This lays the groundwork for further development of trade relations after the end of the war.