Ukraine may export one billion cubic meters of biomethane to the EU by 2030.

Maciej Zaniewicz, an expert with the Green Deal Ukraine project, notes: “The actual volume of biomethane production in Ukraine may be around 0.5% of EU demand. We are discussing approximately one billion cubic meters of biomethane in 2030.”

According to Zaniewicz, the most interesting aspect of a study on potential cooperation in this area is that Ukrainian biomethane has already found buyers at market prices in the EU.

“At the same time, demand in the EU is so high that Ukrainian imports will not hinder the industry’s development,” the expert believes.

He adds that Ukrainian biomethane “will not become a major export success for Ukraine or a solution for the EU”; it will diversify but will not replace the EU’s natural gas imports. The first batches of biomethane exported to the EU have already been sent by Vitagro and MHP.

Zaniewicz also noted that the Ukrainian natural gas market does not support the production of biomethane for domestic use, as the price of natural gas in Ukraine is subsidized and low.