Timothy Ash,

Timothy Ash, the senior sovereign analyst for Blue Bay Asset Management in London, writes: “Given a poll on second-round preferences from losing candidates, voters from all the above seem to favor Zelenskiy over Poroshenko. Unless he self destructs, Zelensky could be on for a landslide second-round win – think something like 60:40….It’s an uphill struggle for Poroshenko, and the risk now for him is that there is a migration of softer voters/supporters to the Zelensky camp, as is inevitable in the Ukrainian political context, as business likes winners.”