Russia is trying to resume an offensive movement, but cannot ensure their troops’ combat effectiveness.
Since January, the Russian Federation has been trying to resume major offensive operations in Ukraine to seize the remaining Ukrainian-controlled portions of the Donetsk region. However, Russian troops managed to capture only a few hundred meters of territory in a week. British intelligence analysts explain this by the fact that Russia currently lacks the ammunition and maneuverable units necessary for a successful offensive. In addition, senior commanders, likely due to political and professional pressure, develop plans that require undermanned, inexperienced units to achieve unrealistic goals. As a result, it remains unlikely that Russia will be able to build up the forces necessary to influence the war’s outcome in the coming weeks significantly, experts say.