The US believes that economic pressure on Putin will stop the war against Ukraine, but analysts hold a different view.

US President Donald Trump plans to use the US’ economic power to achieve results in negotiations with Russia to end its war against Ukraine, said State Department spokeswoman Tammy Bruce.

However, analysts note that Russian dictator Vladimir Putin has made it clear that Russia is prepared to withstand any new economic hardships, so the likelihood that he will agree to a truce in response to Trump’s threats to impose tariffs and sanctions on Russia is nearly zero.

“If India and China stop buying oil, it would be a significant blow to the Russian economy and military efforts. But this is unlikely because China has stated that it will continue purchasing Russian oil”, experts observe.

Additionally, while secondary tariffs may harm the Russian economy, they could also have repercussions for Trump. For instance, oil prices are expected to rise, which could cause political issues for him. The tariffs might also hinder the administration’s efforts to negotiate trade deals with China and India. Russia might retaliate, potentially by shutting down the Caspian Pipeline Consortium oil pipeline from Kazakhstan, which could lead to a global supply crisis.