The G7 does not have a consensus on obligations for Ukraine security guarantees.

The WSJ writes that there is no consensus among the G7 countries on how detailed the obligations under security guarantees for Ukraine should be, citing European officials.

The G7 has yet to discuss with Ukraine the military needs in the event of a new war. It is also necessary to coordinate bilateral negotiations between Western capitals and ensure that allied defense industries can provide the promised military aid to Ukraine without undermining the needs of Western forces to replenish supplies and maintain their capabilities.

It is noted that Western officials recognize that without reliable Ukrainian support packages it is unlikely that Russia will be deterred from continuing the war. The main question is whether the current Western governments will be able to effectively allocate and protect Ukraine’s military spending in the years to come when these officials are no longer in power.

In this context, the biggest uncertainty is in Washington. The current administration cannot legally assign financial obligations to Ukraine to the future government, and the presidential election is looming in 2024.