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Despite the war, Ukraine has achieved a record GDP per capita; the World Bank worsens its forecast for 2025.

The Ukrainian government predicts the improvement of key macroeconomic indicators and economic growth, whether the war ends in 2024 or drags on longer.

Despite the war, Ukraine has achieved a record GDP per capita; the World Bank worsens its forecast for 2025.

Ukraine’s real GDP growth in 2024 was 3.6%.

“If we look at the level of GDP by the level of the available population, we have now reached a record GDP per capita,” said Deputy Minister of Economy of Ukraine Andriy Telyupa.

According to the Ministry of Economy forecast, 2025 GDP will grow by 2.7%, and inflation will slow to 9.5%. At the same time, the average salary in Ukraine in dollar terms is currently at a record high because of the country’s labor shortage. According to Telyupa, the average salary growth in 2024 was 13% (to ₴20,985 or $498.5), and in 2025 an increase of 8.1% (to ₴24,389 or $579.3) is expected.

Meanwhile, the World Bank predicts that Ukrainian GDP growth will slow to 2% in 2025 if active hostilities continue. The World Bank expects a sustained recovery of 7% in 2026, provided that active hostilities cease and with support from consumption and reconstruction spending.

 

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