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ICU analysts explain what exactly ensured the growth of Ukraine’s economy by 5% last year.

The Ukrainian economy is recovering faster than the NBU forecast.

Businessman hand working with virtual chart business on touch screen computer

Ukrainian GDP growth of almost 5% resulted from stabilization following the previous year’s drop of 29.1%, ICU group analyst Vitaly Vavryshchuk said.

“Additional investments or infrastructure projects play a role in this recovery,” the expert explained.

He named the following reasons for stabilization:

  1. Defined and regular international financial assistance – at the beginning of 2023, it was unclear whether there would be any. The government received all the volumes it had planned.
  2. From February 2023, blackouts stopped – businesses operated with a stable electricity supply.
  3. The Ukrainian maritime grain corridor without Russia works better than the previous “grain initiative,” giving greater business security.
  4. The front line did not move – Ukraine did not achieved much in its counteroffensive, but Russia did not advance either.
  5. All these factors combined to give consumers a greater sense of security, and they began to consume more, save less, and buy more. Enterprises accordingly increased their capacity.
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