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Western countries must spend $10T on defense to effectively deter dictatorial regimes.

Germany suggests a possible Russian attack on NATO from 2026 on, while discussions about Western troops in Ukraine continue.

Europe is again backing down on sending troops to Ukraine, reversing its position.

In 2024, defense spending by European NATO members will reach 2% of GDP ($470B) for the first time. However, to ensure effective defense and maintain its deterrence policy, NATO countries must increase their military budgets to about 4% of GDP. If the G7 countries want to reach this level, they will need more than $10T in the next decade, writes Bloomberg.

Only the Russian Federation, which is waging a war, can afford such military expenditures. In 2023, it spent 4.4% of GDP on defense and security, and in the 2024 budget, more than ₽10.7T (about 6% of GDP) has been earmarked for these purposes.

Among NATO countries, Poland spent the most in 2023 (3.9%); for the US, this figure was 3.3%; South Korea spent 2.8%, and Iran, which provides the Russian Federation with drones, 2.2%. China’s spending was 1.3% of GDP, but this year it will grow to a five-year high of 7.2%.

 

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