In 2023, Ukraine expects $42B in international assistance, and next year it expects at least $37B, said the head of the NBU, Andriy Pishnyi, during an interview for ICTV.
He says Ukraine’s budget deficit is at 26% of GDP. “First, we balance the budget at the expense of international aid that comes to Ukraine. Last year we received more than $32B; this year, we expect $42B; the next year, we count on at least $ 37B.” He also emphasized that the challenges facing Ukraine’s economy will remain indefinitely.
The macro forecast prepared by the NBU for 2023, 2024, and 2025 considers several factors that present critical risks for its implementation, in particular, the duration of active hostilities. According to NBU estimates, the war, in the phase of active military operations, will last at least the first half of 2024.