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The Economist predicts the cessation of hostilities in Ukraine in 2025.

The ISW: Putin's plans to defeat Ukraine; and Kyiv needs more weapons to avoid prolonging the war.

A Ukrainian serviceman fires a mortar on a front line, as Russia's attack on Ukraine continues, in Zaporizhzhia region, Ukraine.

Fighting between Russia and Ukraine could end in 2025, as both sides are close to exhaustion. The Russian economy is suffering due to Western sanctions, labor shortages, and people leaving the country. Inflation in the country has reached double digits, interest rates have soared to 21%, and 40% of the budget is devoted to the war.

In parallel with this, the pressure on Ukraine to start one or another form of negotiations with Russia may increase next year. As part of a possible agreement, Ukraine “will have to come to terms with the loss of part of its territory.” However, the country must receive reliable security guarantees, with the ideal option being full NATO membership.

“However, with Trump’s return to power, Ukraine will probably not join NATO for many years, but it may still receive certain security guarantees,” the article says.

President Zelenskyy previously stated that Trump will not be able to force Ukraine to make territorial concessions, but Ukraine seeks to end the war no later than 2025.

 

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