Russia will lose the war against Ukraine owing to four factors, according to Peking University professor Feng Yujun.
The first is the high level of resistance and national unity displayed by Ukrainians.
The second is international support for Ukraine, which, despite its decline, remains significant.
The third is the nature of modern warfare, which depends on the combination of industrial power and systems of command, control, communication, and intelligence.
The last factor is information. According to Yujun, Putin has fallen into an information cocoon because of his long dictatorship, and the Kremlin lacks accurate intelligence. The expert emphasizes that the defeat of Russia is inevitable, and later, Moscow will have to withdraw its troops from all occupied Ukrainian territories, including Crimea.
“The Ukrainian war was a turning point for the Russian Federation. It put Putin’s regime in broad international isolation and created a fertile ground for unforeseen disasters. Also, the accession of Sweden and Finland to NATO showed Putin’s inability to use the war to prevent the expansion of the Alliance,” says Yujun.
In the case of freezing the war without “fundamental changes in the political system and ideology of Russia,” the Kremlin will regain its strength and unleash new wars.